Model performance — which models to follow
Every selection a model publishes is stored with the price it was published at and settled against the real result. This page is that record, unedited. Bets we marked NO BET are opinions rather than bets, so they are left out, and any player bet where the player did not start is void — exactly as the bookmaker settles it.
Player model (spread markets)
Settled ROI
+130.7%
level 1-unit stake per bet
Win rate
80.9%
Settled bets
692
Voided (did not start)
58
excluded from the record
Record window: 5 Sept 2026 – 19 Oct 2026.
| card_minutes | 307 | 86.0% | +106.7% |
| goal_minutes | 178 | 87.6% | +387.4% |
| player_performance | 113 | 58.4% | -110.9% |
| shots_on_target | 94 | 78.7% | +13.8% |
Team model
Every team bet the model has suggested — goals, corners, bookings, card minutes and supremacy — settled against the real make-up. Spread bets are won and lost in make-up points, so the record is shown in points won per £1 a point rather than a percentage.
Profit
-5077.7 pts
at £1 a point
Win rate
47.4%
Settled bets
247
| Team card minutes | 72 | 45.8% | -1924.5 | -26.73 |
| Match goals | 49 | 53.1% | +4.5 | +0.09 |
| Match card minutes | 46 | 39.1% | -3186.5 | -69.27 |
| Supremacy | 44 | 43.2% | +6.4 | +0.14 |
| Card minute supremacy | 36 | 58.3% | +22.5 | +0.63 |
Record window: 13 Sept 2026 – 19 Oct 2026.
Team fixed odds
Settled ROI
+7.5%
level 1-unit stake
Win rate
38.2%
Settled bets
178
Cricket model
No cricket bet has settled yet — the model prices matches and is still being tested against past games before any tip is rated. See the full cricket record and backtests.
Which models to follow
- Player spreads — the longest record and the only model with enough settled bets to judge by market.
- Team spreads — the table above shows which team markets have paid and which have not.
- Cricket — priced and published as analysis only until the backtest gate opens.