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BKG Mendis betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallTEST402362388735.860.87.969.3HIGH
overallODI551844207437.688.910.951.5HIGH
overallT20912708193933.4139.718.233.8HIGH
overallTEST546307.0—LOW

Why we like it

Splits where BKG Mendis scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: New Zealand (TEST)HIGH sample

    445 runs off 728 balls in 6 TEST matches — strike rate 61.1 vs 60.8 overall, average 44.5 vs 35.8 overall.

  • Opposition: Ireland (TEST)HIGH sample

    385 runs off 484 balls in 2 TEST matches — strike rate 79.5 vs 60.8 overall, average 192.5 vs 35.8 overall.

  • Opposition: Australia (ODI)HIGH sample

    378 runs off 419 balls in 8 ODI matches — strike rate 90.2 vs 88.9 overall, average 54.0 vs 37.6 overall.

  • Venue: Galle International Stadium (TEST)HIGH sample

    1078 runs off 1638 balls in 14 TEST matches — strike rate 65.8 vs 60.8 overall, average 53.9 vs 35.8 overall.

  • Venue: R Premadasa Stadium, Colombo (ODI)HIGH sample

    652 runs off 769 balls in 15 ODI matches — strike rate 84.8 vs 88.9 overall, average 46.6 vs 37.6 overall.

  • Venue: Pallekele International Cricket Stadium (ODI)HIGH sample

    342 runs off 378 balls in 10 ODI matches — strike rate 90.5 vs 88.9 overall, average 48.9 vs 37.6 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: Zimbabwe (TEST)HIGH sample

    218 runs off 465 balls in 2 TEST matches — strike rate 46.9 vs 60.8 overall, average 109.0 vs 35.8 overall.

  • Opposition: Pakistan (TEST)HIGH sample

    188 runs off 380 balls in 6 TEST matches — strike rate 49.5 vs 60.8 overall, average 18.8 vs 35.8 overall.

  • Opposition: South Africa (TEST)HIGH sample

    234 runs off 362 balls in 6 TEST matches — strike rate 64.6 vs 60.8 overall, average 21.3 vs 35.8 overall.

  • Opposition: Bangladesh (ODI)HIGH sample

    239 runs off 357 balls in 9 ODI matches — strike rate 66.9 vs 88.9 overall, average 26.6 vs 37.6 overall.

  • Venue: Harare Sports Club (TEST)HIGH sample

    218 runs off 465 balls in 2 TEST matches — strike rate 46.9 vs 60.8 overall, average 109.0 vs 35.8 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (TEST)HIGH sample

    935 runs off 1748 balls in 39 TEST matches — strike rate 53.5 vs 60.8 overall, average 24.0 vs 35.8 overall.

Current projections

Sri Lanka v England
ODI
47.6 runs
median 26 · 90th percentile 129 · plays 94% · 44 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

New ZealandTEST644572844.561.18.469.8HIGH
AustraliaTEST634959534.958.76.665.5HIGH
BangladeshTEST631651135.161.87.267.3HIGH
IrelandTEST2385484192.579.59.960.7HIGH
ZimbabweTEST2218465109.046.95.275.3HIGH
AustraliaODI837841954.090.29.544.6HIGH
PakistanTEST618838018.849.56.374.5HIGH
South AfricaTEST623436221.364.610.571.8HIGH
BangladeshODI923935726.666.97.359.7HIGH
New ZealandODI828131940.188.110.348.3HIGH
IndiaODI917426019.366.97.361.5MEDIUM
ZimbabweODI722325244.688.512.355.2MEDIUM
BangladeshT201037524737.5151.820.230.4MEDIUM
IndiaT20825918532.4140.019.536.8MEDIUM
AustraliaT20819918333.2108.711.539.3MEDIUM
PakistanODI2213164106.5129.917.740.9MEDIUM
New ZealandT201020416320.4125.219.046.6MEDIUM
ZimbabweT20916815924.0105.711.338.4MEDIUM
EnglandTEST39215315.360.19.873.9MEDIUM
West IndiesTEST27914219.855.68.577.5MEDIUM
West IndiesT20618513837.0134.116.739.9MEDIUM
Karachi KingsT20423712479.0191.127.418.5MEDIUM
West IndiesODI41068653.0123.318.641.9LOW
IrelandT20212486—144.215.124.4LOW
NetherlandsODI3648321.377.110.859.0LOW
EnglandT2051178123.4144.422.237.0LOW
PakistanT2081018112.6124.716.034.6LOW
NetherlandsT2021257362.5171.220.524.7LOW
Lahore QalandarsT2031096936.3158.021.729.0LOW
IndiaTEST1566728.083.613.464.2LOW
United Arab EmiratesODI1786378.0123.815.933.3LOW
Quetta GladiatorsT2021046352.0165.123.825.4LOW
OmanT2016144—138.615.925.0LOW
South AfricaODI1764276.0181.028.645.2LOW
Peshawar ZalmiT202674167.0163.424.424.4LOW
Multan SultansT201684068.0170.022.520.0LOW
Hyderabad KingsmenT202363118.0116.116.141.9LOW
South AfricaT201193019.063.33.356.7LOW

Bowling

South AfricaTEST424105.9—LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Galle International StadiumTEST141078163853.965.88.064.7HIGH
R Premadasa Stadium, ColomboODI1565276946.684.89.952.3HIGH
Harare Sports ClubTEST2218465109.046.95.275.3HIGH
Pallekele International Cricket StadiumODI1034237848.990.511.449.5HIGH
Zahur Ahmed Chowdhury Stadium, ChattogramTEST219732449.360.87.468.8HIGH
Pallekele International Cricket StadiumT201138928838.9135.118.134.0MEDIUM
National Stadium, KarachiT20843526054.4167.323.825.4MEDIUM
R Premadasa Stadium, ColomboT20917817722.3100.610.242.4MEDIUM
Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, AntiguaTEST27914219.855.68.577.5MEDIUM
Zahur Ahmed Chowdhury Stadium, ChattogramODI310413934.774.88.656.1MEDIUM
Rangiri Dambulla International StadiumT20816713923.9120.115.143.2MEDIUM
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchTEST110113850.573.212.371.7MEDIUM
Queens Sports Club, BulawayoODI511413628.583.89.651.5MEDIUM
P Sara OvalTEST15213326.039.15.379.7MEDIUM
Sinhalese Sports Club Ground, ColomboTEST210413134.779.49.958.8MEDIUM
Dubai International Cricket StadiumT20818512923.1143.417.129.5MEDIUM
Rangiri Dambulla International StadiumODI1143128143.0111.714.840.6MEDIUM
St George's ParkTEST1100124100.080.612.961.3MEDIUM
Gaddafi Stadium, LahoreT20619512339.0158.520.323.6MEDIUM
Basin Reserve, WellingtonTEST15011525.043.57.081.7LOW
Sylhet International Cricket StadiumT20318111360.3160.223.031.0LOW
Rawalpindi Cricket StadiumT20715111237.8134.817.029.5LOW
St George's Park, GqeberhaTEST16210131.061.47.971.3LOW
Harare Sports ClubODI2779577.081.19.549.5LOW
Kingsmead, DurbanTEST1488024.060.011.376.3LOW
Melbourne Cricket GroundT2029679—121.511.427.8LOW
Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal, HyderabadODI112277122.0158.426.039.0LOW
Manuka OvalTEST1487324.065.86.860.3LOW
Arun Jaitley Stadium, DelhiODI2957247.5131.919.452.8LOW
Shere Bangla National Stadium, MirpurODI2467223.063.94.254.2LOW
M Chinnaswamy Stadium, BengaluruTEST1566728.083.613.464.2LOW
Eden Park, AucklandODI2546427.084.410.956.3LOW
GMHBA Stadium, South Geelong, VictoriaT2031036334.3163.519.028.6LOW
Harare Sports ClubT203695523.0125.514.532.7LOW
Brisbane Cricket Ground, WoolloongabbaTEST115517.529.42.084.3LOW
Kennington Oval, LondonTEST1535026.5106.020.058.0LOW
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiT202564828.0116.716.737.5LOW
John Davies Oval, QueenstownT201734873.0152.122.939.6LOW
Shere Bangla National Stadium, MirpurTEST1114811.022.90.081.3LOW
Sabina Park, Kingston, JamaicaT203724724.0153.221.336.2LOW
Rawalpindi Cricket StadiumTEST1104610.021.72.287.0LOW
Bellerive Oval, HobartT2016843—158.118.625.6LOW
Old Trafford, ManchesterTEST1243812.063.210.576.3LOW
Sylhet International Cricket StadiumTEST119359.554.35.771.4LOW
Eden Gardens, KolkataODI1343434.0100.011.850.0LOW
KingsmeadTEST112326.037.59.490.6LOW
National StadiumTEST113316.541.93.277.4LOW
Bharat Ratna Shri Atal Bihari Vajpayee Ekana Cricket Stadium, LucknowODI2203010.066.76.753.3LOW
Nassau County International Cricket Stadium, New YorkT201193019.063.33.356.7LOW

Bowling

SuperSport ParkTEST424105.9—LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownTEST332010319535.962.98.268.2HIGH
UnknownODI531767197936.889.311.051.6HIGH
UnknownT20812488177233.6140.418.334.1HIGH
ZimbabweTEST2218465109.046.95.275.3HIGH
South AfricaTEST412418117.768.511.670.2MEDIUM
PakistanT20715111237.8134.817.029.5LOW
ZimbabweODI2779577.081.19.549.5LOW
ZimbabweT203695523.0125.514.532.7LOW
PakistanTEST1104610.021.72.287.0LOW

Bowling

South AfricaTEST424105.9—LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballTEST392139345038.962.08.068.7HIGH
middleODI331195125749.895.110.143.4HIGH
powerplayT2084124792836.7134.419.942.7HIGH
middleT2055126788733.3142.816.125.7HIGH
powerplayODI4552171323.773.111.868.2HIGH
new_ballTEST2722343720.351.07.174.6HIGH
deathT201619412421.6156.519.425.0MEDIUM
deathODI612810442.7123.115.435.6LOW

Bowling

old_ballTEST546307.0—LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

SPINTEST321408210154.267.07.964.4HIGH
PACETEST39935174824.053.57.975.2HIGH
PACEODI55902103633.487.112.357.3HIGH
PACET20911449100430.2144.321.038.3HIGH
SPINODI3582189743.291.59.645.4HIGH
SPINT2066106280035.4132.814.529.0HIGH
UNKNOWNODI1212114140.385.89.948.2MEDIUM
UNKNOWNT202119713565.7145.918.528.1MEDIUM
UNKNOWNTEST3193819.050.05.368.4LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.