Cricket betting

CE McConchie betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.


overall	FIRST_CLASS	94	5640	9814	37.6	57.5	7.2	71.3	HIGH
overall	T20	90	1724	1373	23.0	125.6	13.9	33.1	HIGH
overall	ODI	5	126	127	42.0	99.2	11.0	46.5	MEDIUM


overall	FIRST_CLASS	5734	2864	88	3.0	32.5	HIGH
overall	T20	1499	1946	62	7.8	31.4	HIGH
overall	ODI	168	135	4	4.8	33.8	MEDIUM

Why we like it

Splits where CE McConchie scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

Opposition: Otago Volts (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
1222 runs off 1910 balls in 16 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 64.0 vs 57.5 overall, average 47.0 vs 37.6 overall.
Opposition: Central Districts (T20)HIGH sample
456 runs off 323 balls in 15 T20 matches — strike rate 141.2 vs 125.6 overall, average 35.1 vs 23.0 overall.
Venue: Hagley Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
1632 runs off 2506 balls in 12 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 65.1 vs 57.5 overall, average 116.6 vs 37.6 overall.
Venue: Fitzherbert Park, Palmerston North (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
374 runs off 494 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 75.7 vs 57.5 overall, average 187.0 vs 37.6 overall.
Venue: University of Otago Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
328 runs off 484 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 67.8 vs 57.5 overall, average 82.0 vs 37.6 overall.
Venue: Saxton Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
206 runs off 322 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 64.0 vs 57.5 overall, average 51.5 vs 37.6 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

Opposition: Wellington Firebirds (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
1130 runs off 1982 balls in 24 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 57.0 vs 57.5 overall, average 28.3 vs 37.6 overall.
Venue: Mainpower Oval, Rangiora (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
410 runs off 780 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 52.6 vs 57.5 overall, average 22.8 vs 37.6 overall.
Venue: Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
282 runs off 670 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 42.1 vs 57.5 overall, average 35.3 vs 37.6 overall.
Venue: Basin Reserve, Wellington (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
154 runs off 438 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 35.2 vs 57.5 overall, average 12.8 vs 37.6 overall.
Bowling type: UNKNOWN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
588 runs off 1154 balls in 56 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 51.0 vs 57.5 overall, average 29.4 vs 37.6 overall.
Opposition: Auckland (T20)MEDIUM sample
164 runs off 141 balls in 14 T20 matches — strike rate 116.3 vs 125.6 overall, average 13.7 vs 23.0 overall.

Current projections

New Zealand v India

Twenty20 International

6.4 runs

median 0 · 90th percentile 24 · plays 53% · 12 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.


Central Stags	FIRST_CLASS	22	1376	2378	43.0	57.9	6.5	71.2	HIGH
Auckland Aces	FIRST_CLASS	16	1074	1994	44.8	53.9	7.3	73.2	HIGH
Wellington Firebirds	FIRST_CLASS	24	1130	1982	28.3	57.0	7.7	73.2	HIGH
Otago Volts	FIRST_CLASS	16	1222	1910	47.0	64.0	7.9	65.2	HIGH
Northern Districts	FIRST_CLASS	16	838	1550	29.9	54.1	6.7	74.1	HIGH
Wellington	T20	19	427	360	23.7	118.6	13.3	34.4	HIGH
Central Districts	T20	15	456	323	35.1	141.2	17.3	31.9	HIGH
Northern Districts	T20	17	305	243	25.4	125.5	12.3	30.5	MEDIUM
Otago	T20	12	210	164	21.0	128.0	14.0	32.3	MEDIUM
Auckland	T20	14	164	141	13.7	116.3	12.8	36.2	MEDIUM
Pakistan	ODI	3	98	84	49.0	116.7	13.1	39.3	LOW
Bangladesh	ODI	2	28	43	28.0	65.1	7.0	60.5	LOW
United Arab Emirates	T20	2	40	38	40.0	105.3	2.6	18.4	LOW
South Africa	T20	4	44	30	14.7	146.7	16.7	30.0	LOW

Bowling


Otago Volts	FIRST_CLASS	1428	448	18	1.9	24.9	HIGH
Auckland Aces	FIRST_CLASS	1368	744	18	3.3	41.3	HIGH
Wellington Firebirds	FIRST_CLASS	1226	616	12	3.0	51.3	HIGH
Central Stags	FIRST_CLASS	1114	646	26	3.5	24.8	HIGH
Northern Districts	FIRST_CLASS	598	410	14	4.1	29.3	HIGH
Wellington	T20	341	429	15	7.5	28.6	MEDIUM
Northern Districts	T20	288	380	19	7.9	20.0	MEDIUM
Otago	T20	228	287	11	7.6	26.1	MEDIUM
Auckland	T20	217	244	7	6.7	34.9	MEDIUM
Central Districts	T20	210	265	5	7.6	53.0	MEDIUM
Pakistan	ODI	126	114	1	5.4	114.0	LOW
South Africa	T20	102	145	5	8.5	29.0	LOW
Bangladesh	ODI	42	21	3	3.0	7.0	LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.


Hagley Oval	FIRST_CLASS	12	1632	2506	116.6	65.1	8.5	66.2	HIGH
Mainpower Oval	FIRST_CLASS	14	744	1248	31.0	59.6	6.3	70.5	HIGH
Hagley Oval, Christchurch	FIRST_CLASS	12	620	1146	38.8	54.1	5.2	72.1	HIGH
Mainpower Oval, Rangiora	FIRST_CLASS	10	410	780	22.8	52.6	5.1	69.7	HIGH
Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland	FIRST_CLASS	4	282	670	35.3	42.1	6.0	80.6	HIGH
Fitzherbert Park, Palmerston North	FIRST_CLASS	2	374	494	187.0	75.7	8.9	62.3	HIGH
University of Otago Oval	FIRST_CLASS	2	328	484	82.0	67.8	9.1	66.1	HIGH
Basin Reserve, Wellington	FIRST_CLASS	8	154	438	12.8	35.2	4.1	81.7	HIGH
Hagley Oval, Christchurch	T20	23	436	348	20.8	125.3	12.6	32.8	HIGH
Saxton Oval	FIRST_CLASS	4	206	322	51.5	64.0	10.6	77.0	HIGH
McLean Park, Napier	FIRST_CLASS	4	124	296	20.7	41.9	3.4	71.6	MEDIUM
Cello Basin Reserve	FIRST_CLASS	6	122	292	10.2	41.8	7.5	84.2	MEDIUM
Bert Sutcliffe Oval, Lincoln	FIRST_CLASS	2	180	256	45.0	70.3	14.1	72.7	MEDIUM
Hagley Oval	T20	13	296	233	32.9	127.0	13.3	27.0	MEDIUM
Kennards Hire Community Oval	FIRST_CLASS	2	150	230	37.5	65.2	10.4	74.8	MEDIUM
Seddon Park	FIRST_CLASS	2	98	180	24.5	54.4	6.7	72.2	MEDIUM
Molyneux Park, Alexandra	FIRST_CLASS	2	60	168	30.0	35.7	3.6	79.8	MEDIUM
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui	FIRST_CLASS	2	74	120	18.5	61.7	10.0	76.7	MEDIUM
Basin Reserve	T20	4	145	115	36.3	126.1	14.8	33.9	LOW
Basin Reserve, Wellington	T20	7	112	106	18.7	105.7	9.4	36.8	LOW
McLean Park	FIRST_CLASS	2	30	102	7.5	29.4	3.9	82.4	LOW
National Stadium, Karachi	ODI	3	98	84	49.0	116.7	13.1	39.3	LOW
Pukekura Park, New Plymouth	T20	3	131	81	65.5	161.7	23.5	35.8	LOW
Seddon Park, Hamilton	FIRST_CLASS	2	52	78	13.0	66.7	10.3	71.8	LOW
Seddon Park, Hamilton	T20	6	112	75	28.0	149.3	18.7	33.3	LOW
Molyneux Park, Alexandra	T20	3	94	69	31.3	136.2	15.9	30.4	LOW
McLean Park	T20	3	94	61	31.3	154.1	21.3	32.8	LOW
Eden Park Outer Oval	T20	3	55	53	27.5	103.8	11.3	35.8	LOW
Shere Bangla National Stadium, Mirpur	ODI	2	28	43	28.0	65.1	7.0	60.5	LOW
Dubai International Cricket Stadium	T20	2	40	38	40.0	105.3	2.6	18.4	LOW
R Premadasa Stadium, Colombo	T20	2	45	35	45.0	128.6	20.0	45.7	LOW
Seddon Park	T20	2	31	35	15.5	88.6	8.6	34.3	LOW

Bowling


Hagley Oval	FIRST_CLASS	890	388	4	2.6	97.0	HIGH
Mainpower Oval, Rangiora	FIRST_CLASS	874	376	16	2.6	23.5	HIGH
Hagley Oval, Christchurch	FIRST_CLASS	772	390	12	3.0	32.5	HIGH
Mainpower Oval	FIRST_CLASS	616	316	18	3.1	17.6	HIGH
Bert Sutcliffe Oval, Lincoln	FIRST_CLASS	602	272	12	2.7	22.7	HIGH
Molyneux Park, Alexandra	FIRST_CLASS	432	112	6	1.6	18.7	HIGH
McLean Park, Napier	FIRST_CLASS	408	232	10	3.4	23.2	HIGH
Hagley Oval, Christchurch	T20	377	494	15	7.9	32.9	HIGH
Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland	FIRST_CLASS	312	256	2	4.9	128.0	MEDIUM
Basin Reserve, Wellington	FIRST_CLASS	276	118	4	2.6	29.5	MEDIUM
Hagley Oval	T20	259	271	14	6.3	19.4	MEDIUM
Cello Basin Reserve	FIRST_CLASS	240	190	2	4.8	95.0	MEDIUM
National Stadium, Karachi	ODI	126	114	1	5.4	114.0	LOW
University of Otago Oval	FIRST_CLASS	96	28	2	1.8	14.0	LOW
Basin Reserve	T20	96	132	3	8.3	44.0	LOW
Seddon Park, Hamilton	FIRST_CLASS	84	96	0	6.9	—	LOW
Seddon Park, Hamilton	T20	84	137	7	9.8	19.6	LOW
Basin Reserve, Wellington	T20	66	97	1	8.8	97.0	LOW
Fitzherbert Park, Palmerston North	FIRST_CLASS	60	34	0	3.4	—	LOW
Eden Park Outer Oval	T20	54	64	1	7.1	64.0	LOW
Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland	T20	48	71	2	8.9	35.5	LOW
McLean Park	T20	48	63	0	7.9	—	LOW
Molyneux Park, Alexandra	T20	48	56	5	7.0	11.2	LOW
University Oval, Dunedin	T20	48	59	1	7.4	59.0	LOW
Shere Bangla National Stadium, Mirpur	ODI	42	21	3	3.0	7.0	LOW
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui	T20	42	41	1	5.9	41.0	LOW
Molyneux Park	T20	42	68	3	9.7	22.7	LOW
Kennards Hire Community Oval	FIRST_CLASS	36	22	0	3.7	—	LOW
Saxton Oval	FIRST_CLASS	36	34	0	5.7	—	LOW
Eden Park, Auckland	T20	36	40	2	6.7	20.0	LOW
National Stadium, Karachi	T20	36	63	0	10.5	—	LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.


Unknown	FIRST_CLASS	94	5640	9814	37.6	57.5	7.2	71.3	HIGH
Unknown	T20	89	1709	1355	23.1	126.1	14.0	33.0	HIGH
Unknown	ODI	5	126	127	42.0	99.2	11.0	46.5	MEDIUM

Bowling


Unknown	FIRST_CLASS	5734	2864	88	3.0	32.5	HIGH
Unknown	T20	1498	1942	62	7.8	31.3	HIGH
Unknown	ODI	168	135	4	4.8	33.8	MEDIUM

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.


old_ball	FIRST_CLASS	92	5116	8986	37.6	56.9	7.0	71.2	HIGH
middle	T20	73	1066	873	22.2	122.1	12.6	31.7	HIGH
new_ball	FIRST_CLASS	48	524	828	37.4	63.3	9.2	72.9	HIGH
death	T20	30	450	286	25.0	157.3	17.8	24.5	MEDIUM
powerplay	T20	33	208	214	23.1	97.2	14.0	50.0	MEDIUM
middle	ODI	5	53	86	26.5	61.6	4.7	59.3	LOW
death	ODI	2	73	41	73.0	178.0	24.4	19.5	LOW

Bowling


old_ball	FIRST_CLASS	5616	2802	84	3.0	33.4	HIGH
middle	T20	1104	1363	48	7.4	28.4	HIGH
powerplay	T20	288	414	10	8.6	41.4	MEDIUM
middle	ODI	168	135	4	4.8	33.8	MEDIUM
new_ball	FIRST_CLASS	118	62	4	3.2	15.5	LOW
death	T20	107	169	4	9.5	42.3	LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.


PACE	FIRST_CLASS	90	3248	5424	31.8	59.9	8.2	72.1	HIGH
SPIN	FIRST_CLASS	72	1804	3236	64.4	55.7	5.9	68.9	HIGH
UNKNOWN	FIRST_CLASS	56	588	1154	29.4	51.0	6.2	74.4	HIGH
PACE	T20	76	894	692	23.5	129.2	16.0	33.8	HIGH
SPIN	T20	73	750	604	21.4	124.2	12.3	32.8	HIGH
UNKNOWN	T20	17	80	77	40.0	103.9	7.8	28.6	LOW
SPIN	ODI	5	72	70	72.0	102.9	11.4	45.7	LOW
PACE	ODI	5	52	49	52.0	106.1	12.2	42.9	LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.