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F Nsubuga betting stats, splits & projections

Bowler

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT201915414315.4107.711.944.8MEDIUM
overallT20930749484.815.6HIGH

Why we like it

Splits where F Nsubuga scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Venue: Gahanga International Cricket Stadium. Rwanda (T20)LOW sample

    108 runs off 74 balls in 9 T20 matches — strike rate 145.9 vs 107.7 overall, average 36.0 vs 15.4 overall.

  • Phase: death (T20)LOW sample

    115 runs off 97 balls in 14 T20 matches — strike rate 118.6 vs 107.7 overall, average 16.4 vs 15.4 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

No split is materially below their own format baseline.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

RwandaT204744674.0160.921.734.8LOW

Bowling

RwandaT201507993.28.8MEDIUM
NigeriaT2012610845.127.0LOW
TanzaniaT2012611685.514.5LOW
BotswanaT201146883.68.5LOW
KenyaT201029275.413.1LOW
NamibiaT207210318.6103.0LOW
Hong KongT20482523.112.5LOW
Papua New GuineaT20482042.55.0LOW
United Arab EmiratesT20425327.626.5LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Gahanga International Cricket Stadium. RwandaT2091087436.0145.918.937.8LOW

Bowling

Gahanga International Cricket Stadium. RwandaT20384277264.310.7HIGH
Gymkhana Club Ground, NairobiT20966454.012.8LOW
Entebbe Cricket OvalT20847965.613.2LOW
Queens Sports Club, BulawayoT20665044.512.5LOW
Takashinga Sports Club, Highfield, HarareT20664203.8—LOW
United Cricket Club Ground, WindhoekT20608218.282.0LOW
Willowmoore Park, BenoniT20606016.060.0LOW
Bulawayo Athletic ClubT20482633.38.7LOW
Providence Stadium, GuyanaT20423324.716.5LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT201915414315.4107.711.944.8MEDIUM

Bowling

UnknownT20930749484.815.6HIGH

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

deathT20141159716.4118.613.438.1LOW
middleT2011394613.084.88.758.7LOW

Bowling

powerplayT20516399274.614.8HIGH
middleT20360284174.716.7HIGH
deathT20546647.316.5LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACET201780738.9109.612.341.1LOW
SPINT2013726772.0107.511.949.3LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.