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IO Okpe betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT205459451614.8115.110.138.8HIGH
overallT2010851200666.618.2HIGH

Why we like it

Splits where IO Okpe scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Phase: death (T20)HIGH sample

    435 runs off 305 balls in 42 T20 matches — strike rate 142.6 vs 115.1 overall, average 14.5 vs 14.8 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (T20)MEDIUM sample

    307 runs off 227 balls in 40 T20 matches — strike rate 135.2 vs 115.1 overall, average 13.3 vs 14.8 overall.

  • Opposition: Sierra Leone (T20)LOW sample

    100 runs off 77 balls in 6 T20 matches — strike rate 129.9 vs 115.1 overall, average 50.0 vs 14.8 overall.

  • Venue: Tafawa Balewa Square Cricket Oval, Lagos (T20)LOW sample

    136 runs off 101 balls in 8 T20 matches — strike rate 134.7 vs 115.1 overall, average 27.2 vs 14.8 overall.

  • Venue: Nigeria Cricket Federation Oval 1, Abuja (T20)LOW sample

    123 runs off 74 balls in 7 T20 matches — strike rate 166.2 vs 115.1 overall, average 30.8 vs 14.8 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (T20)MEDIUM sample

    198 runs off 208 balls in 33 T20 matches — strike rate 95.2 vs 115.1 overall, average 14.1 vs 14.8 overall.

  • Phase: middle (T20)MEDIUM sample

    159 runs off 208 balls in 35 T20 matches — strike rate 76.4 vs 115.1 overall, average 15.9 vs 14.8 overall.

  • Opposition: Uganda (T20)LOW sample

    57 runs off 66 balls in 8 T20 matches — strike rate 86.4 vs 115.1 overall, average 9.5 vs 14.8 overall.

  • Venue: Gahanga International Cricket Stadium. Rwanda (T20)LOW sample

    96 runs off 106 balls in 12 T20 matches — strike rate 90.6 vs 115.1 overall, average 10.7 vs 14.8 overall.

Current projections

Nigeria v Gambia
World T20 Qualifier
4.4 runs
median 0 · 90th percentile 16 · plays 91% · 10 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

Sierra LeoneT2061007750.0129.99.128.6LOW
UgandaT20857669.586.43.042.4LOW
KenyaT20752528.7100.07.740.4LOW
RwandaT20749489.8102.18.345.8LOW
NamibiaT20439449.888.69.152.3LOW
GhanaT204443714.7118.98.129.7LOW
BotswanaT204323316.097.03.024.2LOW
TanzaniaT20322337.366.70.045.5LOW
ZimbabweT20218329.056.33.156.3LOW
ZambiaT203523026.0173.326.733.3LOW

Bowling

RwandaT20211187155.312.5MEDIUM
Sierra LeoneT20154104124.18.7MEDIUM
KenyaT2013214746.736.8LOW
UgandaT2012617958.535.8LOW
BotswanaT20659238.530.7LOW
ZambiaT20606876.89.7LOW
GhanaT20545656.211.2LOW
NamibiaT2054109312.136.3LOW
EswatiniT20424025.720.0LOW
TanzaniaT20425938.419.7LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Gahanga International Cricket Stadium. RwandaT20129610610.790.65.741.5LOW
Tafawa Balewa Square Cricket Oval, LagosT20813610127.2134.710.929.7LOW
Nigeria Cricket Federation Oval 1, AbujaT2071237430.8166.220.332.4LOW
Entebbe Cricket OvalT20648549.688.93.746.3LOW
United Cricket Club Ground, WindhoekT20427389.071.12.644.7LOW

Bowling

Gahanga International Cricket Stadium. RwandaT20239257176.515.1MEDIUM
Nigeria Cricket Federation Oval 1, AbujaT20220224156.114.9MEDIUM
Tafawa Balewa Square Cricket Oval, LagosT20150104174.26.1MEDIUM
Entebbe Cricket OvalT209511227.156.0LOW
Takashinga Sports Club, Highfield, HarareT2069117210.258.5LOW
United Cricket Club Ground, WindhoekT20658127.540.5LOW
Sikh Union Club Ground, NairobiT20556437.021.3LOW
Namibia Cricket Ground, WindhoekT204274010.6—LOW
Nigeria Cricket Federation Oval 2, AbujaT20363115.231.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT205358250414.9115.59.938.3HIGH

Bowling

UnknownT2010611154646.518.0HIGH

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

deathT204243530514.5142.615.433.8HIGH
middleT203515920815.976.42.445.2MEDIUM

Bowling

deathT20390470397.212.1HIGH
middleT20378412126.534.3HIGH
powerplayT20317318156.021.2MEDIUM

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACET204030722713.3135.214.536.1MEDIUM
SPINT203319820814.195.26.343.3MEDIUM
UNKNOWNT2020898129.7109.97.434.6LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.