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KIC Asalanka betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallODI562015222540.390.69.849.4HIGH
overallT20811509118021.6127.914.735.3HIGH
overallTEST38817014.751.88.277.1MEDIUM
overallFIRST_CLASS1128113128.0113.312.436.3LOW
overallODI494391164.724.4HIGH
overallFIRST_CLASS322205103.820.5MEDIUM
overallT2022628677.640.9MEDIUM
overallTEST251603.8—LOW

Why we like it

Splits where KIC Asalanka scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Australia (ODI)HIGH sample

    417 runs off 445 balls in 8 ODI matches — strike rate 93.7 vs 90.6 overall, average 69.5 vs 40.3 overall.

  • Opposition: Bangladesh (ODI)HIGH sample

    326 runs off 395 balls in 6 ODI matches — strike rate 82.5 vs 90.6 overall, average 65.2 vs 40.3 overall.

  • Venue: R Premadasa Stadium, Colombo (ODI)HIGH sample

    896 runs off 981 balls in 20 ODI matches — strike rate 91.3 vs 90.6 overall, average 52.7 vs 40.3 overall.

  • Venue: Pallekele International Cricket Stadium (ODI)HIGH sample

    416 runs off 453 balls in 10 ODI matches — strike rate 91.8 vs 90.6 overall, average 52.0 vs 40.3 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (ODI)HIGH sample

    1051 runs off 1170 balls in 42 ODI matches — strike rate 89.8 vs 90.6 overall, average 55.3 vs 40.3 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (T20)HIGH sample

    764 runs off 556 balls in 66 T20 matches — strike rate 137.4 vs 127.9 overall, average 20.1 vs 21.6 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: India (ODI)HIGH sample

    238 runs off 349 balls in 12 ODI matches — strike rate 68.2 vs 90.6 overall, average 19.8 vs 40.3 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (ODI)HIGH sample

    892 runs off 974 balls in 51 ODI matches — strike rate 91.6 vs 90.6 overall, average 29.7 vs 40.3 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (T20)HIGH sample

    636 runs off 549 balls in 67 T20 matches — strike rate 115.8 vs 127.9 overall, average 21.9 vs 21.6 overall.

  • Opposition: India (T20)MEDIUM sample

    146 runs off 133 balls in 11 T20 matches — strike rate 109.8 vs 127.9 overall, average 14.6 vs 21.6 overall.

  • Venue: R Premadasa Stadium, Colombo (T20)MEDIUM sample

    170 runs off 145 balls in 6 T20 matches — strike rate 117.2 vs 127.9 overall, average 28.3 vs 21.6 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    52 runs off 126 balls in 3 TEST matches — strike rate 41.3 vs 51.8 overall, average 10.4 vs 14.7 overall.

Current projections

Sri Lanka v England
ODI
39.9 runs
median 21 · 90th percentile 108 · plays 97% · 43 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

AustraliaODI841744569.593.710.648.1HIGH
BangladeshODI632639565.282.58.952.9HIGH
IndiaODI1223834919.868.26.357.3HIGH
South AfricaODI427526568.8103.810.942.6MEDIUM
ZimbabweODI524724749.4100.010.141.7MEDIUM
AustraliaT20920516725.6122.815.637.1MEDIUM
New ZealandT201021716024.1135.615.637.5MEDIUM
West IndiesODI314513572.5107.414.848.9MEDIUM
IndiaT201114613314.6109.812.042.1MEDIUM
Tamil Union Cricket and Athletic ClubFIRST_CLASS1128113128.0113.312.436.3LOW
NetherlandsODI38211027.374.56.454.5LOW
IndiaTEST25910014.859.011.079.0LOW
BangladeshT20101429820.3144.917.337.8LOW
New ZealandODI8839410.488.313.860.6LOW
ZimbabweT2041048626.0120.911.630.2LOW
West IndiesTEST1297014.541.44.374.3LOW
ScotlandODI1636563.096.99.244.6LOW
PakistanT204846421.0131.314.137.5LOW
MI EmiratesT203725924.0122.015.339.0LOW
NetherlandsT202775138.5151.017.633.3LOW
PakistanODI2505050.0100.08.042.0LOW
Dubai CapitalsT202834741.5176.621.317.0LOW
West IndiesT202684234.0161.926.226.2LOW
EnglandT203383619.0105.611.125.0LOW
IrelandODI1383038.0126.710.030.0LOW
Quetta GladiatorsT202373018.5123.316.740.0LOW

Bowling

Tamil Union Cricket and Athletic ClubFIRST_CLASS322205103.820.5MEDIUM
IndiaODI18297103.29.7MEDIUM
New ZealandODI1028635.128.7LOW
West IndiesODI9610116.3101.0LOW
New ZealandT205491310.130.3LOW
AustraliaODI423014.330.0LOW
ZimbabweODI424606.6—LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

R Premadasa Stadium, ColomboODI2089698152.791.39.247.5HIGH
Pallekele International Cricket StadiumODI1041645352.091.810.848.8HIGH
Zahur Ahmed Chowdhury Stadium, ChattogramODI314617548.783.49.753.7MEDIUM
Arun Jaitley Stadium, DelhiODI218717093.5110.013.544.1MEDIUM
R Premadasa Stadium, ColomboT20617014528.3117.212.437.2MEDIUM
Zayed Cricket Stadium, Abu DhabiT20919113427.3142.517.933.6MEDIUM
Queens Sports Club, BulawayoODI415112650.3119.812.737.3MEDIUM
Sinhalese Sports Club Ground, ColomboFIRST_CLASS1128113128.0113.312.436.3LOW
Bharat Ratna Shri Atal Bihari Vajpayee Ekana Cricket Stadium, LucknowODI26910534.565.73.854.3LOW
Rangiri Dambulla International StadiumT20714710424.5141.317.330.8LOW
Pallekele International Cricket StadiumT2081038417.2122.615.533.3LOW
Daren Sammy National Cricket Stadium, Gros Islet, St LuciaT2051057321.0143.815.128.8LOW
Dubai International Cricket StadiumT208817311.6111.09.635.6LOW
Punjab Cricket Association IS Bindra Stadium, Mohali, ChandigarhTEST1497224.568.112.576.4LOW
Galle International StadiumTEST1297014.541.44.374.3LOW
Gaddafi Stadium, LahoreT203645321.3120.815.137.7LOW
Bharat Ratna Shri Atal Bihari Vajpayee Ekana Cricket Stadium, LucknowT2015347—112.810.627.7LOW
Eden Park, AucklandT201774277.0183.323.828.6LOW
Sydney Cricket GroundT20428417.068.34.948.8LOW
Sylhet International Cricket StadiumT203754037.5187.525.037.5LOW
Harare Sports ClubODI1363636.0100.011.144.4LOW
GMHBA Stadium, South Geelong, VictoriaT202313115.5100.09.741.9LOW

Bowling

Sinhalese Sports Club Ground, ColomboFIRST_CLASS322205103.820.5MEDIUM
R Premadasa Stadium, ColomboODI242148123.712.3MEDIUM
Pallekele International Cricket StadiumODI19217625.588.0MEDIUM
R Premadasa Stadium, ColomboT20484705.9—LOW
Rangiri Dambulla International StadiumT20405237.817.3LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownODI551979218940.490.49.849.5HIGH
UnknownT20791490115521.9129.014.935.2HIGH
UnknownTEST38817014.751.88.277.1MEDIUM
UnknownFIRST_CLASS1128113128.0113.312.436.3LOW
ZimbabweODI1363636.0100.011.144.4LOW

Bowling

UnknownODI494391164.724.4HIGH
UnknownFIRST_CLASS322205103.820.5MEDIUM
UnknownT2020826777.738.1MEDIUM

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

middleODI451499175155.585.68.749.8HIGH
middleT206193974628.5125.913.030.8HIGH
deathODI1742928733.0149.518.128.6MEDIUM
deathT203538425314.2151.819.433.6MEDIUM
powerplayODI21871878.746.57.077.5MEDIUM
powerplayT202818618118.6102.814.955.8MEDIUM
old_ballTEST38817014.751.88.277.1MEDIUM
old_ballFIRST_CLASS1888188.0108.611.137.0LOW
new_ballFIRST_CLASS14032—125.015.634.4LOW

Bowling

middleODI432360105.036.0HIGH
old_ballFIRST_CLASS28417393.719.2MEDIUM
middleT2016821177.530.1MEDIUM
deathODI552162.33.5LOW
new_ballFIRST_CLASS383215.132.0LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

SPINODI421051117055.389.88.446.4HIGH
PACEODI5189297429.791.611.753.7HIGH
PACET206676455620.1137.418.238.8HIGH
SPINT206763654921.9115.810.432.8HIGH
SPINTEST35212610.441.35.677.8MEDIUM
UNKNOWNODI8728172.088.97.440.7LOW
UNKNOWNT20141097536.3145.320.026.7LOW
SPINFIRST_CLASS1575457.0105.69.337.0LOW
PACEFIRST_CLASS14738—123.715.831.6LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.