MS Chapman betting stats, splits & projections
All-rounder
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 46 | 3828 | 5944 | 54.7 | 64.4 | 9.4 | 70.2 | HIGH |
| overall | T20 | 115 | 2765 | 1940 | 28.5 | 142.5 | 18.2 | 30.7 | HIGH |
| overall | ODI | 19 | 682 | 621 | 42.6 | 109.8 | 14.5 | 45.9 | HIGH |
| overall | HUNDRED | 4 | 52 | 40 | 17.3 | 130.0 | 15.0 | 40.0 | LOW |
| overall | T20 | 245 | 320 | 10 | 7.8 | 32.0 | MEDIUM |
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 60 | 36 | 0 | 3.6 | — | LOW |
Why we like it
Splits where MS Chapman scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Opposition: Canterbury (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
656 runs off 814 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 80.6 vs 64.4 overall, average 82.0 vs 54.7 overall.
- Opposition: Pakistan (T20)HIGH sample
627 runs off 386 balls in 19 T20 matches — strike rate 162.4 vs 142.5 overall, average 44.8 vs 28.5 overall.
- Venue: Basin Reserve, Wellington (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
310 runs off 620 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 50.0 vs 64.4 overall, average 77.5 vs 54.7 overall.
- Bowling type: UNKNOWN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
298 runs off 576 balls in 14 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 51.7 vs 64.4 overall, average 74.5 vs 54.7 overall.
- Phase: middle (ODI)HIGH sample
528 runs off 477 balls in 15 ODI matches — strike rate 110.7 vs 109.8 overall, average 58.7 vs 42.6 overall.
- Opposition: Sri Lanka (ODI)MEDIUM sample
257 runs off 261 balls in 6 ODI matches — strike rate 98.5 vs 109.8 overall, average 51.4 vs 42.6 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
- Opposition: Wellington Firebirds (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
724 runs off 1286 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 56.3 vs 64.4 overall, average 60.3 vs 54.7 overall.
- Opposition: Central Stags (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
406 runs off 714 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 56.9 vs 64.4 overall, average 33.8 vs 54.7 overall.
- Bowling type: PACE (ODI)HIGH sample
305 runs off 305 balls in 18 ODI matches — strike rate 100.0 vs 109.8 overall, average 43.6 vs 42.6 overall.
- Phase: new_ball (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
356 runs off 628 balls in 34 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 56.7 vs 64.4 overall, average 35.6 vs 54.7 overall.
- Phase: powerplay (T20)HIGH sample
413 runs off 391 balls in 61 T20 matches — strike rate 105.6 vs 142.5 overall, average 21.7 vs 28.5 overall.
- Opposition: Wellington (T20)MEDIUM sample
216 runs off 180 balls in 8 T20 matches — strike rate 120.0 vs 142.5 overall, average 36.0 vs 28.5 overall.
Current projections
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| Otago Volts | FIRST_CLASS | 14 | 1048 | 1692 | 52.4 | 61.9 | 9.7 | 71.7 | HIGH |
| Northern Districts | FIRST_CLASS | 12 | 994 | 1438 | 55.2 | 69.1 | 9.6 | 68.0 | HIGH |
| Wellington Firebirds | FIRST_CLASS | 8 | 724 | 1286 | 60.3 | 56.3 | 7.6 | 71.9 | HIGH |
| Canterbury | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 656 | 814 | 82.0 | 80.6 | 11.1 | 62.2 | HIGH |
| Central Stags | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 406 | 714 | 33.8 | 56.9 | 9.5 | 76.8 | HIGH |
| Pakistan | T20 | 19 | 627 | 386 | 44.8 | 162.4 | 23.3 | 29.5 | HIGH |
| Sri Lanka | ODI | 6 | 257 | 261 | 51.4 | 98.5 | 12.3 | 47.5 | MEDIUM |
| Pakistan | ODI | 7 | 289 | 240 | 41.3 | 120.4 | 17.5 | 44.2 | MEDIUM |
| Otago | T20 | 10 | 288 | 211 | 28.8 | 136.5 | 16.6 | 28.9 | MEDIUM |
| Wellington | T20 | 8 | 216 | 180 | 36.0 | 120.0 | 11.7 | 28.3 | MEDIUM |
| Central Districts | T20 | 9 | 293 | 177 | 41.9 | 165.5 | 24.9 | 29.4 | MEDIUM |
| India | T20 | 9 | 119 | 115 | 13.2 | 103.5 | 11.3 | 40.9 | LOW |
| Canterbury | T20 | 9 | 111 | 104 | 13.9 | 106.7 | 9.6 | 37.5 | LOW |
| Northern Districts | T20 | 7 | 131 | 104 | 18.7 | 126.0 | 17.3 | 33.7 | LOW |
| Sri Lanka | T20 | 8 | 124 | 100 | 13.8 | 124.0 | 13.0 | 33.0 | LOW |
| United Arab Emirates | T20 | 3 | 129 | 96 | 43.0 | 134.4 | 13.5 | 28.1 | LOW |
| England | T20 | 6 | 117 | 79 | 29.3 | 148.1 | 19.0 | 31.6 | LOW |
| Scotland | ODI | 1 | 101 | 75 | — | 134.7 | 17.3 | 41.3 | LOW |
| Hyderabad Kingsmen | T20 | 2 | 85 | 56 | 42.5 | 151.8 | 21.4 | 25.0 | LOW |
| Multan Sultans | T20 | 2 | 109 | 54 | 109.0 | 201.9 | 27.8 | 22.2 | LOW |
| West Indies | T20 | 3 | 106 | 52 | 53.0 | 203.8 | 28.8 | 23.1 | LOW |
| Scotland | T20 | 1 | 83 | 44 | 83.0 | 188.6 | 27.3 | 34.1 | LOW |
| South Africa | T20 | 3 | 61 | 41 | 20.3 | 148.8 | 22.0 | 26.8 | LOW |
| Australia | T20 | 5 | 41 | 37 | 13.7 | 110.8 | 10.8 | 32.4 | LOW |
| Peshawar Zalmi | T20 | 2 | 37 | 34 | 18.5 | 108.8 | 8.8 | 26.5 | LOW |
Bowling
| Wellington | T20 | 78 | 96 | 3 | 7.4 | 32.0 | LOW |
| Canterbury | T20 | 48 | 67 | 2 | 8.4 | 33.5 | LOW |
| Central Districts | T20 | 42 | 44 | 2 | 6.3 | 22.0 | LOW |
| Otago Volts | FIRST_CLASS | 36 | 6 | 0 | 1.0 | — | LOW |
| Otago | T20 | 36 | 58 | 2 | 9.7 | 29.0 | LOW |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| Kennards Hire Community Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 10 | 1066 | 1548 | 59.2 | 68.9 | 10.1 | 68.9 | HIGH |
| Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland | FIRST_CLASS | 12 | 898 | 1278 | 56.1 | 70.3 | 9.4 | 65.9 | HIGH |
| Basin Reserve, Wellington | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 310 | 620 | 77.5 | 50.0 | 8.1 | 77.7 | HIGH |
| Colin Maiden Park | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 300 | 426 | 150.0 | 70.4 | 8.5 | 63.8 | HIGH |
| University of Otago Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 250 | 400 | 62.5 | 62.5 | 10.0 | 69.5 | HIGH |
| University Oval, Dunedin | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 210 | 332 | 105.0 | 63.3 | 11.4 | 74.7 | HIGH |
| Cobham Oval (New), Whangarei | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 152 | 240 | 76.0 | 63.3 | 9.2 | 70.0 | MEDIUM |
| Eden Park Outer Oval | T20 | 14 | 353 | 239 | 27.2 | 147.7 | 20.1 | 29.3 | MEDIUM |
| Molyneux Park | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 144 | 222 | 72.0 | 64.9 | 9.0 | 71.2 | MEDIUM |
| McLean Park | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 208 | 206 | 52.0 | 101.0 | 18.4 | 65.0 | MEDIUM |
| Cobham Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 62 | 196 | 31.0 | 31.6 | 3.1 | 83.7 | MEDIUM |
| Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore | T20 | 11 | 281 | 185 | 35.1 | 151.9 | 20.0 | 28.6 | MEDIUM |
| Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium | T20 | 5 | 294 | 163 | 294.0 | 180.4 | 27.0 | 22.7 | MEDIUM |
| Molyneux Park, Alexandra | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 78 | 160 | 19.5 | 48.8 | 6.3 | 71.3 | MEDIUM |
| Eden Park, Auckland | T20 | 9 | 268 | 147 | 29.8 | 182.3 | 27.2 | 23.8 | MEDIUM |
| Cello Basin Reserve | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 56 | 132 | 28.0 | 42.4 | 6.1 | 77.3 | MEDIUM |
| Hagley Oval, Christchurch | T20 | 9 | 150 | 125 | 16.7 | 120.0 | 13.6 | 38.4 | MEDIUM |
| McLean Park, Napier | ODI | 2 | 134 | 118 | 67.0 | 113.6 | 16.1 | 48.3 | LOW |
| Bert Sutcliffe Oval, Lincoln | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 62 | 108 | 15.5 | 57.4 | 7.4 | 70.4 | LOW |
| Dubai International Cricket Stadium | T20 | 3 | 129 | 96 | 43.0 | 134.4 | 13.5 | 28.1 | LOW |
| Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland | T20 | 6 | 125 | 95 | 20.8 | 131.6 | 14.7 | 30.5 | LOW |
| National Stadium, Karachi | T20 | 4 | 138 | 90 | 46.0 | 153.3 | 18.9 | 28.9 | LOW |
| Basin Reserve | T20 | 3 | 113 | 89 | 113.0 | 127.0 | 13.5 | 25.8 | LOW |
| National Stadium, Karachi | ODI | 3 | 102 | 86 | 34.0 | 118.6 | 16.3 | 47.7 | LOW |
| Eden Park, Auckland | ODI | 1 | 81 | 81 | 81.0 | 100.0 | 13.6 | 46.9 | LOW |
| Pallekele International Cricket Stadium | ODI | 1 | 76 | 81 | 76.0 | 93.8 | 12.3 | 54.3 | LOW |
| Seddon Park | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 32 | 76 | 8.0 | 42.1 | 7.9 | 86.8 | LOW |
| Grange Cricket Club Ground, Raeburn Place, Edinburgh | ODI | 1 | 101 | 75 | — | 134.7 | 17.3 | 41.3 | LOW |
| Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui | T20 | 6 | 86 | 69 | 17.2 | 124.6 | 14.5 | 37.7 | LOW |
| John Davies Oval, Queenstown | T20 | 3 | 71 | 55 | 23.7 | 129.1 | 14.5 | 27.3 | LOW |
| Seddon Park | T20 | 3 | 71 | 55 | 23.7 | 129.1 | 18.2 | 38.2 | LOW |
| Seddon Park, Hamilton | ODI | 1 | 62 | 52 | 62.0 | 119.2 | 13.5 | 38.5 | LOW |
| University Oval, Dunedin | T20 | 4 | 62 | 49 | 20.7 | 126.5 | 14.3 | 30.6 | LOW |
| Basin Reserve, Wellington | T20 | 1 | 55 | 48 | 55.0 | 114.6 | 8.3 | 22.9 | LOW |
| Grange Cricket Club Ground, Raeburn Place, Edinburgh | T20 | 1 | 83 | 44 | 83.0 | 188.6 | 27.3 | 34.1 | LOW |
| McLean Park, Napier | T20 | 3 | 52 | 42 | 17.3 | 123.8 | 19.0 | 50.0 | LOW |
| Basin Reserve, Wellington | ODI | 1 | 29 | 36 | — | 80.6 | 8.3 | 47.2 | LOW |
| Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad | T20 | 3 | 51 | 36 | 17.0 | 141.7 | 22.2 | 38.9 | LOW |
| M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru | ODI | 2 | 46 | 33 | 23.0 | 139.4 | 24.2 | 27.3 | LOW |
Bowling
| Eden Park Outer Oval | T20 | 72 | 76 | 3 | 6.3 | 25.3 | LOW |
| Kennards Hire Community Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 36 | 6 | 0 | 1.0 | — | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 46 | 3828 | 5944 | 54.7 | 64.4 | 9.4 | 70.2 | HIGH |
| Unknown | T20 | 107 | 2458 | 1760 | 26.4 | 139.7 | 17.6 | 31.4 | HIGH |
| Unknown | ODI | 17 | 666 | 604 | 47.6 | 110.3 | 14.6 | 46.0 | HIGH |
| Pakistan | T20 | 5 | 294 | 163 | 294.0 | 180.4 | 27.0 | 22.7 | MEDIUM |
| Unknown | HUNDRED | 4 | 52 | 40 | 17.3 | 130.0 | 15.0 | 40.0 | LOW |
Bowling
| Unknown | T20 | 245 | 320 | 10 | 7.8 | 32.0 | MEDIUM |
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 60 | 36 | 0 | 3.6 | — | LOW |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 46 | 3472 | 5316 | 57.9 | 65.3 | 9.4 | 69.4 | HIGH |
| middle | T20 | 89 | 1855 | 1254 | 33.7 | 147.9 | 18.3 | 26.5 | HIGH |
| new_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 34 | 356 | 628 | 35.6 | 56.7 | 8.9 | 76.4 | HIGH |
| middle | ODI | 15 | 528 | 477 | 58.7 | 110.7 | 14.9 | 46.1 | HIGH |
| powerplay | T20 | 61 | 413 | 391 | 21.7 | 105.6 | 13.6 | 45.8 | HIGH |
| death | T20 | 39 | 497 | 295 | 21.6 | 168.5 | 24.4 | 28.8 | MEDIUM |
| death | ODI | 8 | 108 | 84 | 15.4 | 128.6 | 14.3 | 32.1 | LOW |
| powerplay | ODI | 4 | 46 | 60 | — | 76.7 | 11.7 | 63.3 | LOW |
Bowling
| middle | T20 | 168 | 221 | 4 | 7.9 | 55.3 | MEDIUM |
| death | T20 | 77 | 99 | 6 | 7.7 | 16.5 | LOW |
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 60 | 36 | 0 | 3.6 | — | LOW |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| PACE | FIRST_CLASS | 42 | 1944 | 3094 | 48.6 | 62.8 | 10.3 | 72.8 | HIGH |
| SPIN | FIRST_CLASS | 38 | 1586 | 2274 | 61.0 | 69.7 | 8.9 | 65.6 | HIGH |
| PACE | T20 | 99 | 1296 | 933 | 30.1 | 138.9 | 18.3 | 32.5 | HIGH |
| SPIN | T20 | 93 | 1223 | 836 | 25.0 | 146.3 | 18.2 | 28.9 | HIGH |
| UNKNOWN | FIRST_CLASS | 14 | 298 | 576 | 74.5 | 51.7 | 6.6 | 74.0 | HIGH |
| PACE | ODI | 18 | 305 | 305 | 43.6 | 100.0 | 13.1 | 44.9 | HIGH |
| SPIN | ODI | 15 | 350 | 299 | 43.8 | 117.1 | 15.4 | 47.8 | MEDIUM |
| UNKNOWN | T20 | 28 | 246 | 171 | 49.2 | 143.9 | 18.1 | 29.8 | MEDIUM |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.