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NJ Carey betting stats, splits & projections

Bowler

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallODI511210056.0112.08.026.0LOW
overallT207977032.3138.614.320.0LOW
overallODI34727484.734.3MEDIUM
overallT2012016148.040.3LOW

Current projections

Australia v New Zealand
Women's T20I
3.3 runs
median 0 · 90th percentile 12 · plays 71% · 9 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

IndiaODI38566—128.810.619.7LOW
New ZealandODI2273413.579.42.938.2LOW

Bowling

IndiaODI15614435.548.0MEDIUM
New ZealandODI1198144.120.3LOW
PakistanODI483614.536.0LOW
IndiaT203667111.267.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Ray Mitchell Oval, Harrup Park, MackayODI25151—100.03.923.5LOW
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiODI2273413.579.42.938.2LOW

Bowling

Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiODI1088324.641.5LOW
Ray Mitchell Oval, Harrup Park, MackayODI906814.568.0LOW
Bellerive Oval, HobartODI667626.938.0LOW
Bay OvalODI593433.511.3LOW
Bready Cricket Club, Magheramason, BreadyT20483534.411.7LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownODI511210056.0112.08.026.0LOW
UnknownT207977032.3138.614.320.0LOW

Bowling

UnknownODI34727484.734.3MEDIUM
UnknownT2012016148.040.3LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

deathODI4907590.0120.09.322.7LOW
deathT206684534.0151.117.817.8LOW

Bowling

middleODI22214844.037.0MEDIUM
deathODI839136.630.3LOW
middleT20606646.616.5LOW
powerplayODI423515.035.0LOW
deathT20365909.8—LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

SPINODI5756237.5121.011.327.4LOW
SPINT206524017.3130.015.022.5LOW
PACEODI53738—97.42.623.7LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.