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S Molineux betting stats, splits & projections

Bowler

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallTEST39718224.353.37.174.7MEDIUM
overallT2011967010.7137.117.135.7LOW
overallODI3343.075.00.050.0LOW
overallT20498532316.417.2HIGH
overallTEST46217472.324.9HIGH
overallODI357230123.919.2MEDIUM

Why we like it

Splits where S Molineux scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: England (TEST)LOW sample

    62 runs off 101 balls in 1 TEST match — strike rate 61.4 vs 53.3 overall, average 31.0 vs 24.3 overall.

  • Venue: The Cooper Associates County Ground (TEST)LOW sample

    62 runs off 101 balls in 1 TEST match — strike rate 61.4 vs 53.3 overall, average 31.0 vs 24.3 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

No split is materially below their own format baseline.

Current projections

Australia v New Zealand
Women's T20I
2.3 runs
median 0 · 90th percentile 8 · plays 82% · 6 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

EnglandTEST16210131.061.48.972.3LOW
South AfricaTEST1336733.049.36.076.1LOW

Bowling

IndiaODI25519774.628.1MEDIUM
EnglandTEST2229542.623.8MEDIUM
IndiaTEST1806832.322.7MEDIUM
BangladeshODI1023351.96.6LOW
IndiaT2010216289.520.3LOW
BangladeshT20966484.08.0LOW
New ZealandT20908945.922.3LOW
South AfricaTEST601101.1—LOW
PakistanT20362534.28.3LOW
South AfricaT20363525.817.5LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

The Cooper Associates County GroundTEST16210131.061.48.972.3LOW
Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, PerthTEST1336733.049.36.076.1LOW

Bowling

The Cooper Associates County GroundTEST2229542.623.8MEDIUM
Carrara OvalTEST1806832.322.7MEDIUM
Ray Mitchell Oval, Harrup Park, MackayODI15910854.121.6MEDIUM
Shere Bangla National Stadium, MirpurODI1023351.96.6LOW
Sharjah Cricket StadiumT20726765.611.2LOW
Shere Bangla National Stadium, MirpurT20725064.28.3LOW
Allan Border Field, BrisbaneODI666125.530.5LOW
Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, PerthTEST601101.1—LOW
Lord's, LondonT20487839.826.0LOW
Dubai International Cricket StadiumT20423715.337.0LOW
Great Barrier Reef Arena, MackayT20424015.740.0LOW
Headingley, LeedsT20362043.35.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

United StatesTEST16210131.061.48.972.3LOW
UnknownTEST2358117.543.24.977.8LOW
UnknownT209896611.1134.816.736.4LOW

Bowling

UnknownT20426465256.518.6HIGH
UnknownODI357230123.919.2MEDIUM
UnknownTEST2407932.026.3MEDIUM
United StatesTEST2229542.623.8MEDIUM
United Arab EmiratesT20726765.611.2LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballTEST29516831.756.57.773.8MEDIUM
deathT201059367.4163.922.236.1LOW

Bowling

old_ballTEST42015952.331.8HIGH
middleODI288180103.818.0MEDIUM
middleT20198165135.012.7MEDIUM
deathT20168251109.025.1MEDIUM
powerplayT2013211685.314.5LOW
deathODI454726.323.5LOW
new_ballTEST421522.17.5LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

SPINTEST26511721.755.66.874.4LOW
PACETEST2174517.037.84.477.8LOW
SPINT20945397.5115.412.835.9LOW
PACET205503016.7166.723.336.7LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.