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SG Mangela betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT201636130725.8117.611.732.2HIGH

Why we like it

Splits where SG Mangela scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Phase: powerplay (T20)MEDIUM sample

    159 runs off 130 balls in 13 T20 matches — strike rate 122.3 vs 117.6 overall, average 39.8 vs 25.8 overall.

  • Opposition: Botswana (T20)LOW sample

    109 runs off 71 balls in 3 T20 matches — strike rate 153.5 vs 117.6 overall, average 54.5 vs 25.8 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Phase: middle (T20)MEDIUM sample

    159 runs off 161 balls in 12 T20 matches — strike rate 98.8 vs 117.6 overall, average 19.9 vs 25.8 overall.

  • Opposition: Nigeria (T20)LOW sample

    91 runs off 92 balls in 5 T20 matches — strike rate 98.9 vs 117.6 overall, average 22.8 vs 25.8 overall.

Current projections

Uganda v Zambia
World T20 Qualifier
12.0 runs
median 0 · 90th percentile 41 · plays 49% · 20 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

NigeriaT205919222.898.97.631.5LOW
BotswanaT2031097154.5153.519.728.2LOW
United Arab EmiratesT202495724.586.05.338.6LOW
RwandaT202433621.5119.411.125.0LOW
BahrainT202383519.0108.611.445.7LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Entebbe Cricket OvalT20616414232.8115.59.927.5MEDIUM
Gahanga International Cricket Stadium. RwandaT20815913022.7122.313.833.8MEDIUM
Jinja Cricket GroundT202383519.0108.611.445.7LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT201636130725.8117.611.732.2HIGH

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

middleT201215916119.998.86.230.4MEDIUM
powerplayT201315913039.8122.314.636.2MEDIUM

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACET201519215724.0122.312.129.9MEDIUM
SPINT201012210630.5115.112.337.7LOW
UNKNOWNT208474423.5106.89.127.3LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.