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TB Robinson betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS522696421030.664.08.668.0HIGH
overallT20711714122526.4139.918.134.8HIGH
overallLIST_A617719429.591.212.451.5MEDIUM
overallODI3484716.0102.114.946.8LOW
overallFIRST_CLASS26422465.137.3MEDIUM
overallLIST_A618018.0—LOW

Why we like it

Splits where TB Robinson scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Auckland Aces (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    664 runs off 940 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 70.6 vs 64.0 overall, average 41.5 vs 30.6 overall.

  • Opposition: Otago Volts (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    644 runs off 898 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 71.7 vs 64.0 overall, average 46.0 vs 30.6 overall.

  • Venue: Basin Reserve, Wellington (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    754 runs off 932 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 80.9 vs 64.0 overall, average 47.1 vs 30.6 overall.

  • Venue: Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    650 runs off 858 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 75.8 vs 64.0 overall, average 65.0 vs 30.6 overall.

  • Venue: Seddon Park (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    216 runs off 352 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 61.4 vs 64.0 overall, average 54.0 vs 30.6 overall.

  • Bowling type: UNKNOWN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    540 runs off 632 balls in 28 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 85.4 vs 64.0 overall, average 54.0 vs 30.6 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: Northern Districts (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    438 runs off 792 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 55.3 vs 64.0 overall, average 24.3 vs 30.6 overall.

  • Venue: Cello Basin Reserve (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    198 runs off 432 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 45.8 vs 64.0 overall, average 11.0 vs 30.6 overall.

  • Venue: Fitzherbert Park (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    154 runs off 360 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 42.8 vs 64.0 overall, average 19.3 vs 30.6 overall.

  • Venue: University Oval, Dunedin (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    192 runs off 346 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 55.5 vs 64.0 overall, average 32.0 vs 30.6 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (T20)HIGH sample

    543 runs off 418 balls in 46 T20 matches — strike rate 129.9 vs 139.9 overall, average 22.6 vs 26.4 overall.

  • Opposition: Middlesex (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    120 runs off 220 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 54.5 vs 64.0 overall, average 30.0 vs 30.6 overall.

Current projections

New Zealand v India
Twenty20 International
18.9 runs
median 7 · 90th percentile 58 · plays 57% · 17 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

Central StagsFIRST_CLASS10650104636.162.17.867.3HIGH
Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS1066494041.570.610.467.4HIGH
Otago VoltsFIRST_CLASS1064489846.071.79.465.3HIGH
Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS1043879224.355.36.869.2HIGH
OtagoT201034222942.8149.320.133.2MEDIUM
MiddlesexFIRST_CLASS212022030.054.57.371.8MEDIUM
CanterburyFIRST_CLASS8701724.440.78.184.9MEDIUM
KentFIRST_CLASS211014255.077.511.360.6MEDIUM
Central DistrictsT20817612922.0136.417.834.1MEDIUM
South AfricaT20615612331.2126.814.635.0MEDIUM
Northern DistrictsT20515710631.4148.117.933.0LOW
West IndiesT2041349133.5147.323.138.5LOW
AustraliaT20211976119.0156.617.125.0LOW
CanterburyT2031207640.0157.919.723.7LOW
PakistanT2051017525.3134.717.338.7LOW
Sri LankaT205927118.4129.615.535.2LOW
DurhamLIST_A1636963.091.313.049.3LOW
SomersetLIST_A1695869.0119.015.541.4LOW
Sri LankaODI3484716.0102.114.946.8LOW
AucklandT20549429.8116.716.745.2LOW
St Lucia KingsT203634121.0153.722.041.5LOW
WarwickshireLIST_A1223222.068.89.462.5LOW
Jamaica KingsmenT201403040.0133.313.323.3LOW

Bowling

Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS966223.931.0LOW
Otago VoltsFIRST_CLASS729207.7—LOW
Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS482242.85.5LOW
Central StagsFIRST_CLASS363205.3—LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Basin Reserve, WellingtonFIRST_CLASS1075493247.180.910.159.0HIGH
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandFIRST_CLASS665085865.075.811.265.3HIGH
Cello Basin ReserveFIRST_CLASS1019843211.045.86.575.5HIGH
McLean Park, NapierFIRST_CLASS422637828.359.89.069.8HIGH
Fitzherbert ParkFIRST_CLASS415436019.342.85.077.2HIGH
Seddon ParkFIRST_CLASS221635254.061.46.364.8HIGH
University Oval, DunedinFIRST_CLASS419234632.055.58.175.1HIGH
Basin Reserve, WellingtonT201538726725.8144.918.033.0MEDIUM
County Ground, NorthamptonFIRST_CLASS212022030.054.57.371.8MEDIUM
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiT20725116541.8152.118.227.3MEDIUM
Cobham Oval, WhangareiFIRST_CLASS26815017.045.36.776.0MEDIUM
St Lawrence Ground, CanterburyFIRST_CLASS211014255.077.511.360.6MEDIUM
University Oval, DunedinT2041309543.3136.817.933.7LOW
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchT2051389034.5153.317.831.1LOW
Saxton Oval, NelsonT2031177839.0150.019.230.8LOW
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-StreetLIST_A1636963.091.313.049.3LOW
Eden Park, AucklandT204856621.3128.819.740.9LOW
Harare Sports ClubT202856685.0128.815.237.9LOW
The Cooper Associates County Ground, TauntonLIST_A1695869.0119.015.541.4LOW
Arnos Vale Ground, Kingstown, St VincentT202705035.0140.016.026.0LOW
John Davies Oval, QueenstownT201654865.0135.418.829.2LOW
Rangiri Dambulla International StadiumODI1353635.097.211.144.4LOW
County Ground, NorthamptonLIST_A323357.765.78.662.9LOW
Gaddafi Stadium, LahoreT201513551.0145.717.137.1LOW
Rugby School GroundLIST_A1223222.068.89.462.5LOW

Bowling

Kennards Hire Community OvalFIRST_CLASS966223.931.0LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonFIRST_CLASS729207.7—LOW
Cello Basin ReserveFIRST_CLASS482242.85.5LOW
McLean Park, NapierFIRST_CLASS363205.3—LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS522696421030.664.08.668.0HIGH
UnknownT20661597113426.2140.818.234.4HIGH
UnknownLIST_A617719429.591.212.451.5MEDIUM
ZimbabweT202856685.0128.815.237.9LOW
UnknownODI3484716.0102.114.946.8LOW

Bowling

UnknownFIRST_CLASS26422465.137.3MEDIUM

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS482280366230.862.38.168.1HIGH
powerplayT206294068126.1138.020.442.6HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS2441654829.775.912.467.2HIGH
middleT203358842829.4137.414.324.8HIGH
middleLIST_A516317832.691.611.849.4MEDIUM
deathT201218611620.7160.319.025.9LOW
powerplayODI3403420.0117.620.647.1LOW

Bowling

old_ballFIRST_CLASS26422465.137.3MEDIUM

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEFIRST_CLASS481188190625.862.38.970.6HIGH
SPINFIRST_CLASS44968167230.357.96.366.9HIGH
PACET206396267626.0142.320.137.0HIGH
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS2854063254.085.413.963.0HIGH
SPINT204654341822.6129.913.931.6HIGH
UNKNOWNT201620913152.3159.521.433.6MEDIUM
PACELIST_A513013026.0100.015.453.8MEDIUM
SPINLIST_A5466146.075.46.645.9LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.