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Tilak Varma betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT201203477238340.9145.918.530.1HIGH
overallFIRST_CLASS8716182859.739.25.380.6HIGH
overallODI46811922.757.15.964.7LOW
overallLIST_A3545818.093.112.151.7LOW
overallFIRST_CLASS18011603.9—MEDIUM
overallT20859256.518.4LOW
overallODI606806.8—LOW
overallLIST_A301713.417.0LOW

Why we like it

Splits where Tilak Varma scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: South Africa (T20)HIGH sample

    497 runs off 301 balls in 11 T20 matches — strike rate 165.1 vs 145.9 overall, average 71.0 vs 40.9 overall.

  • Venue: The Rose Bowl, Southampton (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    430 runs off 1136 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 37.9 vs 39.2 overall, average 71.7 vs 59.7 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (T20)HIGH sample

    1909 runs off 1210 balls in 112 T20 matches — strike rate 157.8 vs 145.9 overall, average 37.4 vs 40.9 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    294 runs off 880 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 33.4 vs 39.2 overall, average 73.5 vs 59.7 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (T20)HIGH sample

    1152 runs off 864 balls in 92 T20 matches — strike rate 133.3 vs 145.9 overall, average 52.4 vs 40.9 overall.

  • Phase: death (T20)HIGH sample

    974 runs off 503 balls in 58 T20 matches — strike rate 193.6 vs 145.9 overall, average 34.8 vs 40.9 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: Worcestershire (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    292 runs off 836 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 34.9 vs 39.2 overall, average 36.5 vs 59.7 overall.

  • Venue: Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai (T20)HIGH sample

    585 runs off 452 balls in 29 T20 matches — strike rate 129.4 vs 145.9 overall, average 24.4 vs 40.9 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    384 runs off 852 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 45.1 vs 39.2 overall, average 48.0 vs 59.7 overall.

  • Bowling type: UNKNOWN (T20)HIGH sample

    416 runs off 309 balls in 47 T20 matches — strike rate 134.6 vs 145.9 overall, average 34.7 vs 40.9 overall.

  • Phase: middle (T20)HIGH sample

    1925 runs off 1460 balls in 97 T20 matches — strike rate 131.8 vs 145.9 overall, average 43.8 vs 40.9 overall.

  • Phase: powerplay (T20)HIGH sample

    578 runs off 420 balls in 57 T20 matches — strike rate 137.6 vs 145.9 overall, average 44.5 vs 40.9 overall.

Current projections

New Zealand v India
Twenty20 International
16.2 runs
median 7 · 90th percentile 47 · plays 97% · 18 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

WorcestershireFIRST_CLASS429283636.534.94.581.3HIGH
NottinghamshireFIRST_CLASS2224510112.043.95.979.2HIGH
EssexFIRST_CLASS2200482100.041.55.880.9HIGH
South AfricaT201149730171.0165.123.329.2HIGH
EnglandT201125817532.3147.418.932.6MEDIUM
Rajasthan RoyalsT20723917539.8136.615.432.6MEDIUM
Chennai Super KingsT20721117442.2121.314.933.9MEDIUM
Delhi CapitalsT20823916029.9149.418.828.1MEDIUM
Gujarat TitansT20826315037.6175.322.723.3MEDIUM
West IndiesT20620013850.0144.920.331.2MEDIUM
Lucknow Super GiantsT20713912723.2109.49.426.0MEDIUM
PakistanT20415512777.5122.013.436.2MEDIUM
Kolkata Knight RidersT20715012625.0119.016.740.5MEDIUM
Punjab KingsT20822711956.8190.826.119.3LOW
Sunrisers HyderabadT20717611544.0153.020.934.8LOW
South AfricaODI36311031.557.35.563.6LOW
Royal Challengers BengaluruT2041308443.3154.819.027.4LOW
AustraliaT206847021.0120.012.931.4LOW
IrelandT204757018.8107.110.030.0LOW
ZimbabweT20412159—205.128.816.9LOW
EssexLIST_A1545254.0103.813.546.2LOW
Royal Challengers BangaloreT202844884.0175.027.131.3LOW
Sri LankaT2014934—144.114.78.8LOW
BangladeshT202603360.0181.824.230.3LOW

Bowling

WorcestershireFIRST_CLASS1206203.1—LOW
EssexFIRST_CLASS605405.4—LOW
South AfricaODI364707.8—LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

The Rose Bowl, SouthamptonFIRST_CLASS4430113671.737.95.181.3HIGH
County Ground, ChelmsfordFIRST_CLASS2200482100.041.55.880.9HIGH
Wankhede Stadium, MumbaiT202958545224.4129.416.633.6HIGH
Narendra Modi Stadium, AhmedabadT201036722152.4166.121.724.0MEDIUM
County Ground, New Road, WorcesterFIRST_CLASS28621021.541.04.876.2MEDIUM
Dubai International Cricket StadiumT20518414492.0127.813.227.8MEDIUM
MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chepauk, ChennaiT20517812559.3142.417.634.4MEDIUM
Arun Jaitley Stadium, DelhiT20518811737.6160.721.428.2LOW
Dr DY Patil Sports Academy, MumbaiT20415311151.0137.815.328.8LOW
Eden Gardens, KolkataT204988032.7122.518.841.3LOW
Providence Stadium, GuyanaT20210078100.0128.214.124.4LOW
Boland Park, PaarlODI1527752.067.57.858.4LOW
Civil Service Cricket Club, Stormont, BelfastT202746737.0110.410.428.4LOW
Himachal Pradesh Cricket Association Stadium, DharamsalaT20210167—150.722.435.8LOW
Brabourne Stadium, MumbaiT203695623.0123.212.526.8LOW
SuperSport Park, CenturionT20110753—201.928.317.0LOW
The Rose Bowl, SouthamptonLIST_A1545254.0103.813.546.2LOW
Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal, HyderabadT2031035251.5198.126.932.7LOW
Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium, PuneT204745137.0145.119.629.4LOW
Sawai Mansingh Stadium, JaipurT202664933.0134.716.328.6LOW
The Wanderers Stadium, JohannesburgT20212047120.0255.340.417.0LOW
M Chinnaswamy Stadium, BengaluruT2018445—186.728.926.7LOW
Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium, New ChandigarhT202874543.5193.322.217.8LOW
Harare Sports ClubT2037743—179.123.316.3LOW
Shaheed Veer Narayan Singh International Stadium, RaipurT201574257.0135.711.923.8LOW
St George's Park, GqeberhaT202493924.5125.617.946.2LOW
Zhejiang University of Technology Cricket FieldT202573657.0158.322.244.4LOW
Barsapara Cricket Stadium, GuwahatiT202453445.0132.417.629.4LOW
Bharat Ratna Shri Atal Bihari Vajpayee Ekana Cricket Stadium, LucknowT202323432.094.18.835.3LOW
Barabati Stadium, CuttackT201263226.081.39.453.1LOW
St George's Park, GqeberhaODI1103010.033.30.076.7LOW

Bowling

The Rose Bowl, SouthamptonFIRST_CLASS1086203.4—LOW
County Ground, ChelmsfordFIRST_CLASS605405.4—LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT201173400234040.0145.318.530.4HIGH
UnknownFIRST_CLASS8716182859.739.25.380.6HIGH
UnknownODI46811922.757.15.964.7LOW
UnknownLIST_A3545818.093.112.151.7LOW
ZimbabweT2037743—179.123.316.3LOW

Bowling

UnknownFIRST_CLASS18011603.9—MEDIUM
UnknownT20798346.320.8LOW
UnknownODI606806.8—LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS8634170852.837.14.981.0HIGH
middleT20971925146043.8131.815.129.6HIGH
deathT205897450334.8193.626.421.9HIGH
powerplayT205757842044.5137.621.241.9HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS482120—68.310.075.0MEDIUM
middleODI3497749.063.66.558.4LOW
middleLIST_A2545527.098.212.749.1LOW
powerplayODI2153815.039.52.676.3LOW

Bowling

old_ballFIRST_CLASS18011603.9—MEDIUM
middleT20666445.816.0LOW
middleODI546707.4—LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACET201121909121037.4157.821.831.2HIGH
PACEFIRST_CLASS829488073.533.44.182.7HIGH
SPINT2092115286452.4133.314.427.7HIGH
SPINFIRST_CLASS838485248.045.16.378.4HIGH
UNKNOWNT204741630934.7134.617.533.0HIGH
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS23896—39.66.381.3LOW
PACEODI4518025.563.77.563.7LOW
SPINODI2173917.043.62.666.7LOW
SPINLIST_A1293629.080.68.352.8LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.