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TM McGrath betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT2043106981041.1132.020.038.0HIGH
overallODI3171580131.189.311.951.4HIGH
overallTEST732461432.452.87.073.1HIGH
overallODI871745255.129.8HIGH
overallTEST51623782.829.6HIGH
overallT20375502218.023.9HIGH

Why we like it

Splits where TM McGrath scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: India (TEST)HIGH sample

    164 runs off 333 balls in 3 TEST matches — strike rate 49.2 vs 52.8 overall, average 41.0 vs 32.4 overall.

  • Opposition: India (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    295 runs off 270 balls in 11 ODI matches — strike rate 109.3 vs 89.3 overall, average 59.0 vs 31.1 overall.

  • Opposition: England (T20)MEDIUM sample

    220 runs off 142 balls in 7 T20 matches — strike rate 154.9 vs 132.0 overall, average 73.3 vs 41.1 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    230 runs off 232 balls in 21 ODI matches — strike rate 99.1 vs 89.3 overall, average 28.8 vs 31.1 overall.

  • Phase: powerplay (T20)MEDIUM sample

    212 runs off 182 balls in 20 T20 matches — strike rate 116.5 vs 132.0 overall, average 53.0 vs 41.1 overall.

  • Phase: death (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    243 runs off 179 balls in 12 ODI matches — strike rate 135.8 vs 89.3 overall, average 34.7 vs 31.1 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (TEST)HIGH sample

    172 runs off 388 balls in 6 TEST matches — strike rate 44.3 vs 52.8 overall, average 24.6 vs 32.4 overall.

  • Phase: middle (ODI)HIGH sample

    426 runs off 570 balls in 26 ODI matches — strike rate 74.7 vs 89.3 overall, average 26.6 vs 31.1 overall.

  • Opposition: England (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    169 runs off 233 balls in 9 ODI matches — strike rate 72.5 vs 89.3 overall, average 21.1 vs 31.1 overall.

  • Opposition: India (T20)MEDIUM sample

    234 runs off 201 balls in 11 T20 matches — strike rate 116.4 vs 132.0 overall, average 26.0 vs 41.1 overall.

  • Opposition: South Africa (T20)MEDIUM sample

    148 runs off 142 balls in 6 T20 matches — strike rate 104.2 vs 132.0 overall, average 29.6 vs 41.1 overall.

  • Venue: Dr DY Patil Sports Academy, Mumbai (T20)MEDIUM sample

    150 runs off 123 balls in 5 T20 matches — strike rate 122.0 vs 132.0 overall, average 50.0 vs 41.1 overall.

Current projections

Australia v New Zealand
Women's T20I
3.4 runs
median 0 · 90th percentile 13 · plays 36% · 12 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

IndiaTEST316433341.049.26.974.5HIGH
EnglandTEST316027732.057.87.271.1MEDIUM
IndiaODI1129527059.0109.314.441.9MEDIUM
EnglandODI916923321.172.58.657.5MEDIUM
IndiaT201123420126.0116.417.441.8MEDIUM
EnglandT20722014273.3154.925.434.5MEDIUM
South AfricaT20614814229.6104.214.847.9MEDIUM
New ZealandODI310111933.784.911.852.1LOW
South AfricaODI3989532.7103.214.747.4LOW
West IndiesT2061459048.3161.127.837.8LOW
PakistanT20310677106.0137.720.836.4LOW
New ZealandT207846528.0129.218.529.2LOW
BangladeshODI3225311.041.55.773.6LOW
BangladeshT202624862.0129.212.529.2LOW
IrelandT201704570.0155.624.426.7LOW
PakistanODI1303030.0100.016.760.0LOW

Bowling

EnglandODI33326094.728.9MEDIUM
IndiaODI29427055.554.0MEDIUM
EnglandTEST24011362.818.8MEDIUM
IndiaTEST24011202.8—MEDIUM
EnglandT208710777.415.3LOW
South AfricaODI726935.823.0LOW
New ZealandT20729648.024.0LOW
West IndiesODI704433.814.7LOW
IrelandODI485136.417.0LOW
IndiaT2048102112.8102.0LOW
PakistanT20483834.812.7LOW
South AfricaT20425828.329.0LOW
West IndiesT204271010.1—LOW
PakistanODI363415.734.0LOW
South AfricaTEST361222.06.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Wankhede Stadium, MumbaiTEST112323361.552.87.773.0MEDIUM
Basin Reserve, WellingtonODI513616527.282.49.751.5MEDIUM
Manuka Oval, CanberraTEST18615543.055.57.171.0MEDIUM
Dr DY Patil Sports Academy, MumbaiT20515012350.0122.018.739.8MEDIUM
Edgbaston, BirminghamT20516811556.0146.123.534.8LOW
Ray Mitchell Oval, Harrup Park, MackayODI212110960.5111.014.741.3LOW
North Sydney Oval, SydneyODI49810424.594.216.357.7LOW
Manuka Oval, CanberraT203959347.5102.216.149.5LOW
Wankhede Stadium, MumbaiODI3928846.0104.514.843.2LOW
Trent Bridge, NottinghamTEST1628731.071.39.267.8LOW
Carrara OvalTEST1286828.041.25.980.9LOW
North Sydney Oval, SydneyT203785439.0144.424.140.7LOW
Bellerive Oval, HobartODI3575228.5109.615.440.4LOW
Adelaide OvalT2029251—180.427.523.5LOW
Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, PerthODI15650—112.010.034.0LOW
Manuka Oval, CanberraODI1294829.060.46.362.5LOW
Shere Bangla National Stadium, MirpurT202624862.0129.212.529.2LOW
Bready Cricket Club, Magheramason, BreadyT201704570.0155.624.426.7LOW
Shere Bangla National Stadium, MirpurODI2194219.045.27.173.8LOW
Brabourne Stadium, MumbaiT203364012.090.012.557.5LOW
The Cooper Associates County Ground, TauntonODI1263926.066.710.369.2LOW
Junction Oval, MelbourneODI2203710.054.15.462.2LOW
Allan Border Field, BrisbaneT202713771.0191.937.835.1LOW
County Ground, BristolODI1243624.066.75.658.3LOW
Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, PerthTEST213366.536.12.875.0LOW
Melbourne Cricket GroundTEST1123512.034.32.980.0LOW
Dubai International Cricket StadiumT201273327.081.89.151.5LOW
Sharjah Cricket StadiumT202413341.0124.215.227.3LOW
St George's Park, GqeberhaT201573357.0172.730.333.3LOW

Bowling

Trent Bridge, NottinghamTEST1565242.013.0MEDIUM
Ray Mitchell Oval, Harrup Park, MackayODI12612546.031.3LOW
Carrara OvalTEST1084602.6—LOW
Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, PerthTEST964222.621.0LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonODI908025.340.0LOW
Edgbaston, BirminghamT209010697.111.8LOW
Manuka Oval, CanberraTEST846124.430.5LOW
Junction Oval, MelbourneODI793762.86.2LOW
North Sydney Oval, SydneyODI725934.919.7LOW
Wankhede Stadium, MumbaiTEST723603.0—LOW
Manuka Oval, CanberraODI603423.417.0LOW
Seddon Park, HamiltonODI605125.125.5LOW
Allan Border Field, BrisbaneODI545025.625.0LOW
Castle Avenue, DublinODI485136.417.0LOW
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchODI484615.846.0LOW
The Rose Bowl, SouthamptonODI484205.3—LOW
Bellerive Oval, HobartODI423705.3—LOW
The Cooper Associates County Ground, TauntonODI423905.6—LOW
Adelaide OvalT20393645.59.0LOW
Eden Park, AucklandODI363505.8—LOW
Wankhede Stadium, MumbaiODI362303.8—LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownODI3171580131.189.311.951.4HIGH
UnknownT2041102877741.1132.320.238.5HIGH
UnknownTEST732461432.452.87.073.1HIGH
United Arab EmiratesT202413341.0124.215.227.3LOW

Bowling

UnknownODI871745255.129.8HIGH
UnknownTEST51623782.829.6HIGH
UnknownT20369498208.124.9HIGH

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

middleODI2642657026.674.78.454.7HIGH
old_ballTEST627456030.448.96.374.5HIGH
middleT203060745743.4132.819.535.4HIGH
powerplayT202021218253.0116.520.953.3MEDIUM
deathODI1224317934.7135.821.236.9MEDIUM
deathT202125017131.3146.220.528.7MEDIUM
new_ballTEST3505450.092.614.859.3LOW
powerplayODI44652—88.517.365.4LOW

Bowling

middleODI688560184.931.1HIGH
old_ballTEST48623082.828.8HIGH
middleT2025234388.242.9MEDIUM
deathODI12314046.835.0LOW
deathT2093118137.69.1LOW
powerplayODI604534.515.0LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

SPINT203667850445.2134.520.036.5HIGH
SPINODI2841248134.385.710.652.4HIGH
SPINTEST617238824.644.35.475.8HIGH
PACET203431624239.5130.621.541.7MEDIUM
PACEODI2123023228.899.114.748.7MEDIUM
PACETEST67513725.054.77.374.5MEDIUM
UNKNOWNTEST37789—86.513.559.6LOW
UNKNOWNODI11738824.383.011.453.4LOW
UNKNOWNT2012756425.0117.214.135.9LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.