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WIA Fernando betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallODI2975292825.981.09.655.4HIGH
overallT201825017215.6145.320.937.8MEDIUM
overallFIRST_CLASS1395739.068.48.863.2LOW

Why we like it

Splits where WIA Fernando scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: India (ODI)HIGH sample

    322 runs off 404 balls in 9 ODI matches — strike rate 79.7 vs 81.0 overall, average 35.8 vs 25.9 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (ODI)HIGH sample

    456 runs off 511 balls in 27 ODI matches — strike rate 89.2 vs 81.0 overall, average 25.3 vs 25.9 overall.

  • Phase: middle (ODI)HIGH sample

    380 runs off 446 balls in 9 ODI matches — strike rate 85.2 vs 81.0 overall, average 47.5 vs 25.9 overall.

  • Opposition: New Zealand (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    188 runs off 234 balls in 5 ODI matches — strike rate 80.3 vs 81.0 overall, average 37.6 vs 25.9 overall.

  • Opposition: South Africa (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    136 runs off 147 balls in 3 ODI matches — strike rate 92.5 vs 81.0 overall, average 45.3 vs 25.9 overall.

  • Phase: middle (T20)LOW sample

    161 runs off 97 balls in 9 T20 matches — strike rate 166.0 vs 145.3 overall, average 26.8 vs 15.6 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (ODI)HIGH sample

    266 runs off 366 balls in 14 ODI matches — strike rate 72.7 vs 81.0 overall, average 29.6 vs 25.9 overall.

  • Phase: powerplay (ODI)HIGH sample

    353 runs off 472 balls in 29 ODI matches — strike rate 74.8 vs 81.0 overall, average 17.6 vs 25.9 overall.

  • Opposition: West Indies (ODI)LOW sample

    48 runs off 69 balls in 3 ODI matches — strike rate 69.6 vs 81.0 overall, average 16.0 vs 25.9 overall.

  • Venue: Pallekele International Cricket Stadium (ODI)LOW sample

    53 runs off 78 balls in 4 ODI matches — strike rate 67.9 vs 81.0 overall, average 13.3 vs 25.9 overall.

Current projections

Sri Lanka v England
ODI
29.6 runs
median 13 · 90th percentile 91 · plays 91% · 32 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

IndiaODI932240435.879.78.453.0HIGH
New ZealandODI518823437.680.39.856.4MEDIUM
South AfricaODI313614745.392.510.245.6MEDIUM
West IndiesODI3486916.069.610.166.7LOW
Tamil Union Cricket and Athletic ClubFIRST_CLASS1395739.068.48.863.2LOW
BangladeshODI3374012.392.517.572.5LOW
Dubai CapitalsT202843284.0262.543.825.0LOW
BangladeshT20417315.754.83.254.8LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

R Premadasa Stadium, ColomboODI1343753633.681.58.451.1HIGH
Rangiri Dambulla International StadiumODI1100114100.087.79.648.2LOW
Pallekele International Cricket StadiumODI4537813.367.910.366.7LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonODI1566356.088.911.158.7LOW
Sinhalese Sports Club Ground, ColomboFIRST_CLASS1395739.068.48.863.2LOW
Sharjah Cricket StadiumT2041285432.0237.040.731.5LOW
Gaddafi Stadium, LahoreT202614330.5141.918.625.6LOW
Zahur Ahmed Chowdhury Stadium, ChattogramODI3374012.392.517.572.5LOW
Eden Park, AucklandODI1173317.051.56.169.7LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownODI2975292825.981.09.655.4HIGH
UnknownT201311511310.5101.811.541.6LOW
UnknownFIRST_CLASS1395739.068.48.863.2LOW
United Arab EmiratesT2041285432.0237.040.731.5LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

powerplayODI2935347217.674.811.065.9HIGH
middleODI938044647.585.27.645.1HIGH
middleT2091619726.8166.024.728.9LOW
old_ballFIRST_CLASS1395539.070.99.161.8LOW
powerplayT201268558.5123.620.058.2LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEODI2745651125.389.212.958.9HIGH
SPINODI1426636629.672.76.048.9HIGH
PACET201816410912.6150.522.944.0LOW
SPINT208755537.5136.416.425.5LOW
UNKNOWNODI5305115.058.82.066.7LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.