Arsenal vs Everton Betting Tips, Prediction & Odds
Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 · Gameweek 8 · Arsenal (home)
By Clive Smalls · Updated
Predicted score
1–1
12% likely
Arsenal vs Everton betting tips, prediction and the latest Arsenal odds and Everton odds for Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 at Arsenal (home), updated as prices and team news move.
Our model runs 20,000 simulations of Arsenal vs Everton at Arsenal (home) and settles on ARS 51%, the draw 31% and EVE 18%, with 1.82 expected goals in the game and 1–1 the projected score. Both teams to score lands 31% of the time.
No fixed-odds selection currently clears the model's value threshold for this fixture. Every market below — match result, goals, cards, corners, shots and player props — is priced against the same simulation, so you can see where the bookmakers are behind the numbers.
Minimum odds 1.50
Hides every fixed-odds selection priced shorter than 1.50 across the best bets and both fixed-odds tables.
Arsenal vs Everton betting tips — three best fixed-odds bets
Top rated selections from different markets — game, team or player — so no two are correlated
No rated fixed-odds bets for this fixture.
Arsenal vs Everton spread betting tips — three best positions
One per correlation family (goals, corners, cards, shots …) so the positions move independently
No rated spread bets for this fixture.
Predicted line-ups
Projected starting XI, bench and availability from the team-news model
Arsenal
- 1RayaGKP
- 2GabrielDEF
- 3CalafioriDEF
- 4KonsaDEF
- 5WhiteDEF
- 6RiceMID
- 7SakaMID
- 8ØdegaardMID
- 9Lewis-SkellyMID
- 10Bruno G.MID
- 11HavertzFWD
Bench: J.Timber, Mosquera, Eze, Madueke
Doubts: Hincapie, Zubimendi
Out: Tzolis, Saliba, Arrizabalaga
Full Arsenal predicted XI →Everton
- 1PickfordGKP
- 2TarkowskiDEF
- 3MykolenkoDEF
- 4BranthwaiteDEF
- 5Maitland-NilesDEF
- 6Dewsbury-HallMID
- 7GarnerMID
- 8ArmstrongMID
- 9JohnsonMID
- 10GeorgeMID
- 11BarryFWD
Bench: Röhl, Grealish, Keane, O'Brien
Full Everton predicted XI →Match spread markets
Model projection versus the Spreadex sell / buy line
| Floor → ceiling | Signal | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total match goals | — | — | 1.82 | 1.00 | 0.0 4.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match shots | — | — | 21.2 | 19.0 | 14.0 29.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match shots on target | — | — | 6.7 | 6.0 | 3.0 11.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match corners | — | — | 8.7 | 8.0 | 5.0 13.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match cards | — | — | 2.67 | 2.00 | 1.0 5.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match fouls | — | — | 19.9 | 19.0 | 13.0 28.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Goal supremacy (home) | — | — | 0.64 | 0.00 | -1.0 2.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Shot supremacy (home) | — | — | 9.6 | 9.0 | 3.0 16.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| SOT supremacy (home) | — | — | 2.8 | 2.0 | -1.0 6.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Corner supremacy (home) | — | — | 3.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 8.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Card supremacy (home) | — | — | -0.70 | 0.00 | -3.0 1.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Home team card minutes | — | — | 56 | 0 | 0.0 145.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Away team card minutes | — | — | 96 | 0 | 0.0 214.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match card minutes | — | — | 152 | 0 | 21.0 299.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Card minute supremacy (home) | — | — | -41 | 0 | -173.0 85.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
Arsenal vs Everton odds — match markets
Model probability versus the priced selection · 1.50+ only
| Signal | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match outcome (model price) | ARS win | — | — | 51% | 1.96 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | Draw | — | — | 31% | 3.21 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | EVE win | — | — | 18% | 5.65 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | Both teams to score | — | — | 31% | 3.21 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | Both teams to score - No | — | — | 69% | 1.45 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | ARS -1 goal handicap | — | — | 24% | 4.25 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | EVE +1 goal handicap | — | — | 76% | 1.31 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | ARS draw no bet | — | — | 74% | 1.35 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | EVE draw no bet | — | — | 26% | 3.89 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | ARS or draw | — | — | 82% | 1.22 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | EVE or draw | — | — | 49% | 2.05 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | ARS or EVE | — | — | 69% | 1.45 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | ARS clean sheet | — | — | 56% | 1.79 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | EVE clean sheet | — | — | 30% | 3.30 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | ARS win to nil | — | — | 39% | 2.59 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | EVE win to nil | — | — | 13% | 7.65 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
ARS & EVE player odds
Every priced player selection for this fixture, model probability versus the market · 1.50+ only
No player fixed-odds selections priced for this fixture.
Player spread markets
Player projections against the Spreadex sell / buy lines
No player spread markets priced for this fixture.
Players most likely to be booked
Modelled booking chance from expected fouls, card rate and expected minutes
No card projections published for this fixture yet.
Players most likely to score
Modelled goal chance from expected shots, conversion rate and expected minutes
No goal projections published for this fixture yet.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–019.8%
- 0–017.2%
- 1–111.6%
Team news & model notes
Arsenal
Martinelli (u), Nelson (u), Saliba (i), G.Jesus (u), Hincapie (i), Tzolis (i)
Everton
Beto (u), Patterson (u)
Model updated 20/10/2026, 09:13:11 · no live prices captured
Arsenal vs Everton betting FAQs
Straight answers from the current model run
Who will win Arsenal vs Everton?
Our simulation makes Arsenal 51% to win, the draw 31% and Everton 18%, with 1–1 the projected score.
What is the score prediction for Arsenal vs Everton?
1–1, calculated by rounding expected goals of 1.23 for Arsenal and 0.59 for Everton. The three most likely individual scorelines are listed separately below.
Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Everton?
Both teams to score is 31% on the model, against a total goals projection of 1.82.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Arsenal vs Everton?
Over 2.5 goals runs at 27% across 20,000 simulations, from a total goals projection of 1.82. Under 2.5 is the other side of that price.
How many corners will there be in Arsenal vs Everton?
The model projects 8.7 match corners, making over 8.5 corners 49%. ARS and EVE corner counts are priced separately on the corners board.
How many cards will be shown in Arsenal vs Everton?
We project 2.7 bookings in total, so over 2.5 cards is 49%. The appointed referee's own foul and card rates are built into that number.
When does Arsenal vs Everton kick off?
Arsenal vs Everton kicks off Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 at Arsenal (home). Predicted line-ups, prices and projections on this page refresh automatically as team news lands.