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Arsenal vs Hull City Betting Tips, Prediction & Odds

Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 · Gameweek 10 · Arsenal (home)

By Clive Smalls · Updated

Predicted score

2–1

8% likely

Arsenal vs Hull City match prediction and tactical analysis

Arsenal vs Hull City betting tips, prediction and the latest Arsenal odds and Hull City odds for Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 at Arsenal (home), updated as prices and team news move.

Our model runs 20,000 simulations of Arsenal vs Hull City at Arsenal (home) and settles on ARS 61%, the draw 25% and HUL 13%, with 2.15 expected goals in the game and 2–1 the projected score. Both teams to score lands 34% of the time.

No fixed-odds selection currently clears the model's value threshold for this fixture. Every market below — match result, goals, cards, corners, shots and player props — is priced against the same simulation, so you can see where the bookmakers are behind the numbers.

Expected goals
1.58 – 0.57
Total 2.15
ARS win
61%
Draw 25%
HUL win
13%
BTTS 34%
Lineup confidence
80%
20,000 simulations

Minimum odds 1.50

Hides every fixed-odds selection priced shorter than 1.50 across the best bets and both fixed-odds tables.

On

Arsenal vs Hull City betting tips — three best fixed-odds bets

Top rated selections from different markets — game, team or player — so no two are correlated

No rated fixed-odds bets for this fixture.

Arsenal vs Hull City spread betting tips — three best positions

One per correlation family (goals, corners, cards, shots …) so the positions move independently

No rated spread bets for this fixture.

Predicted line-ups

Projected starting XI, bench and availability from the team-news model

Arsenal

4-5-1 · High confidence
  1. 1RayaGKP
  2. 2GabrielDEF
  3. 3CalafioriDEF
  4. 4WhiteDEF
  5. 5KonsaDEF
  6. 6RiceMID
  7. 7SakaMID
  8. 8MaduekeMID
  9. 9Bruno G.MID
  10. 10ØdegaardMID
  11. 11HavertzFWD

Bench: Lewis-Skelly, J.Timber, Mosquera, Eze

Doubts: Hincapie

Out: Tzolis, Saliba, Arrizabalaga

Full Arsenal predicted XI →

Hull City

5-4-1 · High confidence
  1. 1TzolakisGKP
  2. 2EganDEF
  3. 3AjayiDEF
  4. 4CoyleDEF
  5. 5GilesDEF
  6. 6HerringtonDEF
  7. 7IroegbunamMID
  8. 8BelloumiMID
  9. 9SlaterMID
  10. 10ThomasMID
  11. 11McBurnieFWD

Bench: Crooks, Stroud, Gelhardt, Morita

Doubts: Vaz

Out: Mendy, Targett, Hughes, Butland, Matazo, Gyabi, Gourna-Douath, Cho

Full Hull City predicted XI →

Match spread markets

Model projection versus the Spreadex sell / buy line

Floor → ceilingSignal
Total match goals——2.152.00
0.0
4.0
——53%0NO PRICE
Total match shots——21.020.0
14.0
29.0
——53%0NO PRICE
Total match shots on target——6.86.0
3.0
11.0
——53%0NO PRICE
Total match corners——8.58.0
4.0
13.0
——53%0NO PRICE
Total match cards——3.643.00
1.0
6.0
——53%0NO PRICE
Total match fouls——18.617.0
12.0
26.0
——53%0NO PRICE
Goal supremacy (home)——1.001.00
-1.0
3.0
——53%0NO PRICE
Shot supremacy (home)——11.610.0
5.0
18.0
——53%0NO PRICE
SOT supremacy (home)——3.33.0
0.0
7.0
——53%0NO PRICE
Corner supremacy (home)——5.24.0
1.0
9.0
——53%0NO PRICE
Card supremacy (home)——-1.82-1.00
-4.0
0.0
——53%0NO PRICE
Home team card minutes——520
0.0
138.0
——53%0NO PRICE
Away team card minutes——1550
21.0
304.0
——53%0NO PRICE
Total match card minutes——2070
57.0
382.0
——53%0NO PRICE
Card minute supremacy (home)——-1040
-266.0
42.0
——53%0NO PRICE

Arsenal vs Hull City odds — match markets

Model probability versus the priced selection · 1.50+ only

Signal
Match outcome (model price)ARS win——61%1.63—53%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)Draw——25%3.93—53%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)HUL win——13%7.54—53%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)Both teams to score——34%2.93—53%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)Both teams to score - No——66%1.52—53%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)ARS -1 goal handicap——34%2.98—53%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)HUL +1 goal handicap——66%1.51—53%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)ARS draw no bet——82%1.22—53%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)HUL draw no bet——18%5.62—53%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)ARS or draw——87%1.15—53%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)HUL or draw——39%2.58—53%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)ARS or HUL——75%1.34—53%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)ARS clean sheet——57%1.76—53%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)HUL clean sheet——22%4.63—53%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)ARS win to nil——44%2.26—53%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)HUL win to nil——9%11.14—53%0NO PRICE

ARS & HUL player odds

Every priced player selection for this fixture, model probability versus the market · 1.50+ only

No player fixed-odds selections priced for this fixture.

Player spread markets

Player projections against the Spreadex sell / buy lines

No player spread markets priced for this fixture.

Players most likely to be booked

Modelled booking chance from expected fouls, card rate and expected minutes

No card projections published for this fixture yet.

Players most likely to score

Modelled goal chance from expected shots, conversion rate and expected minutes

No goal projections published for this fixture yet.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–018.4%
  • 2–014.3%
  • 0–012.6%

Team news & model notes

Arsenal

Martinelli (u), Nelson (u), Saliba (i), G.Jesus (u), Tzolis (i), Nwaneri (u)

Hull City

Burstow (u), Mendy (i), Drameh (u), Targett (i), Millar (u), Gourna-Douath (d)

Model updated 21/10/2026, 12:48:17 · no live prices captured

Arsenal vs Hull City betting FAQs

Straight answers from the current model run

Who will win Arsenal vs Hull City?

Our simulation makes Arsenal 61% to win, the draw 25% and Hull City 13%, with 2–1 the projected score.

What is the score prediction for Arsenal vs Hull City?

2–1, calculated by rounding expected goals of 1.58 for Arsenal and 0.57 for Hull City. The three most likely individual scorelines are listed separately below.

Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Hull City?

Both teams to score is 34% on the model, against a total goals projection of 2.15.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Arsenal vs Hull City?

Over 2.5 goals runs at 36% across 20,000 simulations, from a total goals projection of 2.15. Under 2.5 is the other side of that price.

How many corners will there be in Arsenal vs Hull City?

The model projects 8.5 match corners, making over 8.5 corners 46%. ARS and HUL corner counts are priced separately on the corners board.

How many cards will be shown in Arsenal vs Hull City?

We project 3.6 bookings in total, so over 3.5 cards is 48%. The appointed referee's own foul and card rates are built into that number.

When does Arsenal vs Hull City kick off?

Arsenal vs Hull City kicks off Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 at Arsenal (home). Predicted line-ups, prices and projections on this page refresh automatically as team news lands.