Bournemouth vs Leeds Betting Tips, Prediction & Odds
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 · Gameweek 9 · Bournemouth (home)
By Clive Smalls · Updated
Predicted score
1–1
13% likely
Bournemouth vs Leeds betting tips, prediction and the latest Bournemouth odds and Leeds odds for Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 at Bournemouth (home), updated as prices and team news move.
Our model runs 20,000 simulations of Bournemouth vs Leeds at Bournemouth (home) and settles on BOU 31%, the draw 32% and LEE 37%, with 1.88 expected goals in the game and 1–1 the projected score. Both teams to score lands 36% of the time.
No fixed-odds selection currently clears the model's value threshold for this fixture. Every market below — match result, goals, cards, corners, shots and player props — is priced against the same simulation, so you can see where the bookmakers are behind the numbers.
Minimum odds 1.50
Hides every fixed-odds selection priced shorter than 1.50 across the best bets and both fixed-odds tables.
Bournemouth vs Leeds betting tips — three best fixed-odds bets
Top rated selections from different markets — game, team or player — so no two are correlated
No rated fixed-odds bets for this fixture.
Bournemouth vs Leeds spread betting tips — three best positions
One per correlation family (goals, corners, cards, shots …) so the positions move independently
No rated spread bets for this fixture.
Predicted line-ups
Projected starting XI, bench and availability from the team-news model
Bournemouth
- 1PetrovićGKP
- 2TruffertDEF
- 3HillDEF
- 4SmithDEF
- 5SilvaDEF
- 6TavernierMID
- 7RayanMID
- 8AdamsMID
- 9KluivertMID
- 10CookMID
- 11EvanilsonFWD
Bench: Christie, Brooks, Diakité, Rodríguez
Doubts: Milosavljević
Out: Scott, Kroupi.Jr, J.Araujo
Full Bournemouth predicted XI →Leeds
- 1TraffordGKP
- 2BogleDEF
- 3JustinDEF
- 4MuharemovićDEF
- 5GudmundssonDEF
- 6ElvediDEF
- 7AmpaduMID
- 8StachMID
- 9OkaforMID
- 10TanakaMID
- 11Calvert-LewinFWD
Bench: Aaronson, Bijol, Wilson, Gruev
Doubts: James
Out: Rodon, Mateo Joseph
Full Leeds predicted XI →Match spread markets
Model projection versus the Spreadex sell / buy line
| Floor → ceiling | Signal | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total match goals | — | — | 1.88 | 1.00 | 0.0 4.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match shots | — | — | 20.8 | 19.0 | 14.0 29.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match shots on target | — | — | 6.8 | 6.0 | 3.0 11.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match corners | — | — | 8.9 | 8.0 | 5.0 13.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match cards | — | — | 3.46 | 3.00 | 1.0 6.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match fouls | — | — | 21.6 | 19.0 | 14.0 30.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Goal supremacy (home) | — | — | -0.13 | 0.00 | -2.0 2.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Shot supremacy (home) | — | — | 1.8 | 0.0 | -4.0 8.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| SOT supremacy (home) | — | — | -0.8 | -1.0 | -4.0 3.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Corner supremacy (home) | — | — | 2.7 | 2.0 | -1.0 7.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Card supremacy (home) | — | — | 0.80 | 1.00 | -1.0 3.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Home team card minutes | — | — | 121 | 0 | 0.0 249.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Away team card minutes | — | — | 76 | 0 | 0.0 176.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match card minutes | — | — | 197 | 0 | 52.0 366.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Card minute supremacy (home) | — | — | 45 | 0 | -95.0 196.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
Bournemouth vs Leeds odds — match markets
Model probability versus the priced selection · 1.50+ only
| Signal | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match outcome (model price) | BOU win | — | — | 31% | 3.25 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | Draw | — | — | 32% | 3.10 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | LEE win | — | — | 37% | 2.70 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | Both teams to score | — | — | 36% | 2.77 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | Both teams to score - No | — | — | 64% | 1.56 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | BOU -1 goal handicap | — | — | 10% | 9.56 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | LEE +1 goal handicap | — | — | 90% | 1.12 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | BOU draw no bet | — | — | 45% | 2.20 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | LEE draw no bet | — | — | 55% | 1.83 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | BOU or draw | — | — | 63% | 1.59 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | LEE or draw | — | — | 69% | 1.44 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | BOU or LEE | — | — | 68% | 1.48 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | BOU clean sheet | — | — | 38% | 2.64 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | LEE clean sheet | — | — | 42% | 2.36 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | BOU win to nil | — | — | 22% | 4.65 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | LEE win to nil | — | — | 26% | 3.84 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
BOU & LEE player odds
Every priced player selection for this fixture, model probability versus the market · 1.50+ only
No player fixed-odds selections priced for this fixture.
Player spread markets
Player projections against the Spreadex sell / buy lines
No player spread markets priced for this fixture.
Players most likely to be booked
Modelled booking chance from expected fouls, card rate and expected minutes
No card projections published for this fixture yet.
Players most likely to score
Modelled goal chance from expected shots, conversion rate and expected minutes
No goal projections published for this fixture yet.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–016.4%
- 0–115.2%
- 1–013.8%
Team news & model notes
Bournemouth
Milosavljević (i), Scott (i), Enes Ünal (u), Kroupi.Jr (i)
Leeds
Bornauw (u), Gnonto (u), Harrison (u), Rodon (i), Perri (u), Piroe (u)
Model updated 20/10/2026, 09:57:43 · no live prices captured
Bournemouth vs Leeds betting FAQs
Straight answers from the current model run
Who will win Bournemouth vs Leeds?
Our simulation makes Bournemouth 31% to win, the draw 32% and Leeds 37%, with 1–1 the projected score.
What is the score prediction for Bournemouth vs Leeds?
1–1, calculated by rounding expected goals of 0.88 for Bournemouth and 1.00 for Leeds. The three most likely individual scorelines are listed separately below.
Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs Leeds?
Both teams to score is 36% on the model, against a total goals projection of 1.88.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bournemouth vs Leeds?
Over 2.5 goals runs at 29% across 20,000 simulations, from a total goals projection of 1.88. Under 2.5 is the other side of that price.
How many corners will there be in Bournemouth vs Leeds?
The model projects 8.9 match corners, making over 8.5 corners 52%. BOU and LEE corner counts are priced separately on the corners board.
How many cards will be shown in Bournemouth vs Leeds?
We project 3.5 bookings in total, so over 3.5 cards is 45%. The appointed referee's own foul and card rates are built into that number.
When does Bournemouth vs Leeds kick off?
Bournemouth vs Leeds kicks off Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 at Bournemouth (home). Predicted line-ups, prices and projections on this page refresh automatically as team news lands.