Brentford vs Everton Betting Tips, Prediction & Odds
Mon 23 Nov, 20:00 · Gameweek 11 · Brentford (home)
By Clive Smalls · Updated
Predicted score
1–1
11% likely
Brentford vs Everton betting tips, prediction and the latest Brentford odds and Everton odds for Mon 23 Nov, 20:00 at Brentford (home), updated as prices and team news move.
Our model runs 20,000 simulations of Brentford vs Everton at Brentford (home) and settles on BRE 55%, the draw 28% and EVE 17%, with 2.08 expected goals in the game and 1–1 the projected score. Both teams to score lands 36% of the time.
No fixed-odds selection currently clears the model's value threshold for this fixture. Every market below — match result, goals, cards, corners, shots and player props — is priced against the same simulation, so you can see where the bookmakers are behind the numbers.
Minimum odds 1.50
Hides every fixed-odds selection priced shorter than 1.50 across the best bets and both fixed-odds tables.
Brentford vs Everton betting tips — three best fixed-odds bets
Top rated selections from different markets — game, team or player — so no two are correlated
No rated fixed-odds bets for this fixture.
Brentford vs Everton spread betting tips — three best positions
One per correlation family (goals, corners, cards, shots …) so the positions move independently
No rated spread bets for this fixture.
Predicted line-ups
Projected starting XI, bench and availability from the team-news model
Brentford
- 1KelleherGKP
- 2KayodeDEF
- 3AjerDEF
- 4CollinsDEF
- 5Van den BergDEF
- 6Lewis-PotterMID
- 7SchadeMID
- 8AnthonyMID
- 9O.DangoMID
- 10M.SangaréMID
- 11ThiagoFWD
Bench: Damsgaard, Jensen, Diouf, Hickey
Doubts: Schuster
Out: Janelt, Furo, Yarmoliuk, Milambo, Dasilva
Full Brentford predicted XI →Everton
- 1PickfordGKP
- 2TarkowskiDEF
- 3MykolenkoDEF
- 4BranthwaiteDEF
- 5Maitland-NilesDEF
- 6Dewsbury-HallMID
- 7GarnerMID
- 8ArmstrongMID
- 9JohnsonMID
- 10GeorgeMID
- 11BarryFWD
Bench: Röhl, Grealish, Keane, O'Brien
Full Everton predicted XI →Match spread markets
Model projection versus the Spreadex sell / buy line
| Floor → ceiling | Signal | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total match goals | — | — | 2.08 | 2.00 | 0.0 4.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match shots | — | — | 22.4 | 23.0 | 15.0 31.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match shots on target | — | — | 7.5 | 7.0 | 4.0 12.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match corners | — | — | 9.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 13.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match cards | — | — | 3.08 | 2.00 | 1.0 6.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match fouls | — | — | 20.2 | 19.0 | 13.0 28.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Goal supremacy (home) | — | — | 0.77 | 0.00 | -1.0 3.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Shot supremacy (home) | — | — | 6.7 | 5.0 | 0.0 14.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| SOT supremacy (home) | — | — | 1.7 | 1.0 | -2.0 5.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Corner supremacy (home) | — | — | 2.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 6.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Card supremacy (home) | — | — | -0.27 | 0.00 | -2.0 2.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Home team card minutes | — | — | 80 | 0 | 0.0 186.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Away team card minutes | — | — | 95 | 0 | 0.0 213.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match card minutes | — | — | 175 | 0 | 39.0 333.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Card minute supremacy (home) | — | — | -15 | 0 | -155.0 123.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
Brentford vs Everton odds — match markets
Model probability versus the priced selection · 1.50+ only
| Signal | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match outcome (model price) | BRE win | — | — | 55% | 1.82 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | Draw | — | — | 28% | 3.57 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | EVE win | — | — | 17% | 5.83 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | Both teams to score | — | — | 36% | 2.77 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | Both teams to score - No | — | — | 64% | 1.57 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | BRE -1 goal handicap | — | — | 28% | 3.58 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | EVE +1 goal handicap | — | — | 72% | 1.39 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | BRE draw no bet | — | — | 76% | 1.31 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | EVE draw no bet | — | — | 24% | 4.20 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | BRE or draw | — | — | 83% | 1.21 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | EVE or draw | — | — | 45% | 2.21 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | BRE or EVE | — | — | 72% | 1.39 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | BRE clean sheet | — | — | 52% | 1.91 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | EVE clean sheet | — | — | 25% | 3.99 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | BRE win to nil | — | — | 39% | 2.58 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | EVE win to nil | — | — | 12% | 8.63 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
BRE & EVE player odds
Every priced player selection for this fixture, model probability versus the market · 1.50+ only
No player fixed-odds selections priced for this fixture.
Player spread markets
Player projections against the Spreadex sell / buy lines
No player spread markets priced for this fixture.
Players most likely to be booked
Modelled booking chance from expected fouls, card rate and expected minutes
No card projections published for this fixture yet.
Players most likely to score
Modelled goal chance from expected shots, conversion rate and expected minutes
No goal projections published for this fixture yet.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–017.5%
- 0–013.5%
- 2–012.3%
Team news & model notes
Brentford
Yarmoliuk (s), Janelt (s), Dasilva (i), Milambo (i), Furo (i)
Everton
Beto (u), Patterson (u)
Model updated 20/10/2026, 09:58:17 · no live prices captured
Brentford vs Everton betting FAQs
Straight answers from the current model run
Who will win Brentford vs Everton?
Our simulation makes Brentford 55% to win, the draw 28% and Everton 17%, with 1–1 the projected score.
What is the score prediction for Brentford vs Everton?
1–1, calculated by rounding expected goals of 1.42 for Brentford and 0.66 for Everton. The three most likely individual scorelines are listed separately below.
Will both teams score in Brentford vs Everton?
Both teams to score is 36% on the model, against a total goals projection of 2.08.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Brentford vs Everton?
Over 2.5 goals runs at 34% across 20,000 simulations, from a total goals projection of 2.08. Under 2.5 is the other side of that price.
How many corners will there be in Brentford vs Everton?
The model projects 9.0 match corners, making over 9.5 corners 41%. BRE and EVE corner counts are priced separately on the corners board.
How many cards will be shown in Brentford vs Everton?
We project 3.1 bookings in total, so over 3.5 cards is 37%. The appointed referee's own foul and card rates are built into that number.
When does Brentford vs Everton kick off?
Brentford vs Everton kicks off Mon 23 Nov, 20:00 at Brentford (home). Predicted line-ups, prices and projections on this page refresh automatically as team news lands.