Chelsea vs Spurs Betting Tips, Prediction & Odds
Sat 24 Oct, 16:30 · Gameweek 8 · Chelsea (home)
By Clive Smalls · Updated
Predicted score
2–1
9% likely
Chelsea vs Spurs betting tips, prediction and the latest Chelsea odds and Spurs odds for Sat 24 Oct, 16:30 at Chelsea (home), updated as prices and team news move.
Our model runs 20,000 simulations of Chelsea vs Spurs at Chelsea (home) and settles on CHE 62%, the draw 22% and TOT 16%, with 2.79 expected goals in the game and 2–1 the projected score. Both teams to score lands 48% of the time.
No fixed-odds selection currently clears the model's value threshold for this fixture. Every market below — match result, goals, cards, corners, shots and player props — is priced against the same simulation, so you can see where the bookmakers are behind the numbers.
Minimum odds 1.50
Hides every fixed-odds selection priced shorter than 1.50 across the best bets and both fixed-odds tables.
Chelsea vs Spurs betting tips — three best fixed-odds bets
Top rated selections from different markets — game, team or player — so no two are correlated
No rated fixed-odds bets for this fixture.
Chelsea vs Spurs spread betting tips — three best positions
One per correlation family (goals, corners, cards, shots …) so the positions move independently
No rated spread bets for this fixture.
Predicted line-ups
Projected starting XI, bench and availability from the team-news model
Match spread markets
Model projection versus the Spreadex sell / buy line
| Floor → ceiling | Signal | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total match goals | — | — | 2.79 | 2.00 | 1.0 5.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match shots | — | — | 24.2 | 23.0 | 16.0 33.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match shots on target | — | — | 7.8 | 7.0 | 4.0 12.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match corners | — | — | 10.7 | 9.0 | 6.0 16.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match cards | — | — | 4.64 | 4.00 | 2.0 8.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match fouls | — | — | 22.0 | 21.0 | 14.0 30.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Goal supremacy (home) | — | — | 1.09 | 1.00 | -1.0 3.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Shot supremacy (home) | — | — | 7.2 | 7.0 | 0.0 14.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| SOT supremacy (home) | — | — | 0.7 | 0.0 | -3.0 4.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Corner supremacy (home) | — | — | 2.2 | 2.0 | -2.0 7.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Card supremacy (home) | — | — | -0.09 | 0.00 | -3.0 3.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Home team card minutes | — | — | 130 | 0 | 0.0 266.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Away team card minutes | — | — | 135 | 0 | 0.0 275.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match card minutes | — | — | 265 | 0 | 86.0 467.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Card minute supremacy (home) | — | — | -6 | 0 | -179.0 165.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
Chelsea vs Spurs odds — match markets
Model probability versus the priced selection · 1.50+ only
| Signal | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match outcome (model price) | CHE win | — | — | 62% | 1.61 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | Draw | — | — | 22% | 4.63 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | TOT win | — | — | 16% | 6.21 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | Both teams to score | — | — | 48% | 2.08 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | Both teams to score - No | — | — | 52% | 1.93 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | CHE -1 goal handicap | — | — | 38% | 2.64 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | TOT +1 goal handicap | — | — | 62% | 1.61 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | CHE draw no bet | — | — | 79% | 1.26 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | TOT draw no bet | — | — | 21% | 4.87 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | CHE or draw | — | — | 84% | 1.19 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | TOT or draw | — | — | 38% | 2.65 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | CHE or TOT | — | — | 78% | 1.28 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | CHE clean sheet | — | — | 43% | 2.30 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | TOT clean sheet | — | — | 15% | 6.51 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | CHE win to nil | — | — | 37% | 2.74 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | TOT win to nil | — | — | 8% | 11.80 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
CHE & TOT player odds
Every priced player selection for this fixture, model probability versus the market · 1.50+ only
No player fixed-odds selections priced for this fixture.
Player spread markets
Player projections against the Spreadex sell / buy lines
No player spread markets priced for this fixture.
Players most likely to be booked
Modelled booking chance from expected fouls, card rate and expected minutes
No card projections published for this fixture yet.
Players most likely to score
Modelled goal chance from expected shots, conversion rate and expected minutes
No goal projections published for this fixture yet.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.4%
- 2–011.4%
- 1–110.1%
Team news & model notes
Chelsea
D.Essugo (u), Marc Guiu (u), Sánchez (u), Jörgensen (u), Chalobah (u), B.Badiashile (u)
Spurs
Pedro Porro (i), Romero (u), Bentancur (s), Scarlett (u), Vicario (u), Spence (u)
Model updated 20/10/2026, 09:13:23 · no live prices captured
Chelsea vs Spurs betting FAQs
Straight answers from the current model run
Who will win Chelsea vs Spurs?
Our simulation makes Chelsea 62% to win, the draw 22% and Spurs 16%, with 2–1 the projected score.
What is the score prediction for Chelsea vs Spurs?
2–1, calculated by rounding expected goals of 1.94 for Chelsea and 0.85 for Spurs. The three most likely individual scorelines are listed separately below.
Will both teams score in Chelsea vs Spurs?
Both teams to score is 48% on the model, against a total goals projection of 2.79.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Chelsea vs Spurs?
Over 2.5 goals runs at 52% across 20,000 simulations, from a total goals projection of 2.79. Under 2.5 is the other side of that price.
How many corners will there be in Chelsea vs Spurs?
The model projects 10.7 match corners, making over 10.5 corners 48%. CHE and TOT corner counts are priced separately on the corners board.
How many cards will be shown in Chelsea vs Spurs?
We project 4.6 bookings in total, so over 4.5 cards is 48%. The appointed referee's own foul and card rates are built into that number.
When does Chelsea vs Spurs kick off?
Chelsea vs Spurs kicks off Sat 24 Oct, 16:30 at Chelsea (home). Predicted line-ups, prices and projections on this page refresh automatically as team news lands.