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Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Betting Tips, Prediction & Odds

Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 · Gameweek 10 · Crystal Palace (home)

By Clive Smalls · Updated

Predicted score

2–2

7% likely

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool match prediction and tactical analysis

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool betting tips, prediction and the latest Crystal Palace odds and Liverpool odds for Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 at Crystal Palace (home), updated as prices and team news move.

Our model runs 20,000 simulations of Crystal Palace vs Liverpool at Crystal Palace (home) and settles on CRY 32%, the draw 21% and LIV 47%, with 3.64 expected goals in the game and 2–2 the projected score. Both teams to score lands 68% of the time.

No fixed-odds selection currently clears the model's value threshold for this fixture. Every market below — match result, goals, cards, corners, shots and player props — is priced against the same simulation, so you can see where the bookmakers are behind the numbers.

Expected goals
1.63 – 2.01
Total 3.64
CRY win
32%
Draw 21%
LIV win
47%
BTTS 68%
Lineup confidence
80%
20,000 simulations

Minimum odds 1.50

Hides every fixed-odds selection priced shorter than 1.50 across the best bets and both fixed-odds tables.

On

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool betting tips — three best fixed-odds bets

Top rated selections from different markets — game, team or player — so no two are correlated

No rated fixed-odds bets for this fixture.

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool spread betting tips — three best positions

One per correlation family (goals, corners, cards, shots …) so the positions move independently

No rated spread bets for this fixture.

Predicted line-ups

Projected starting XI, bench and availability from the team-news model

Crystal Palace

4-4-2 · Low confidence
  1. 1BenitezGKP
  2. 2MitchellDEF
  3. 3RichardsDEF
  4. 4CanvotDEF
  5. 5KhalailiDEF
  6. 6WhartonMID
  7. 7KamadaMID
  8. 8YeremyMID
  9. 9TimberMID
  10. 10Strand LarsenFWD
  11. 11NketiahFWD

Bench: Disasi, Mateta, Ahanor, Lerma

Doubts: Henderson, Chilwell, Tomiyasu

Out: Chadi Riad

Full Crystal Palace predicted XI →

Liverpool

4-5-1 · Low confidence
  1. 1A.BeckerGKP
  2. 2VirgilDEF
  3. 3KerkezDEF
  4. 4JacquetDEF
  5. 5AraujoDEF
  6. 6WirtzMID
  7. 7Mac AllisterMID
  8. 8GakpoMID
  9. 9MunozMID
  10. 10BarcolaMID
  11. 11IsakFWD

Bench: Tsimikas, Ngumoha, Koumas, Mamardashvili

Out: Szoboszlai, Frimpong, Gravenberch, Ekitiké, Bradley, Leoni

Full Liverpool predicted XI →

Match spread markets

Model projection versus the Spreadex sell / buy line

Floor → ceilingSignal
Total match goals——3.643.00
1.0
6.0
——77%0NO PRICE
Total match shots——26.524.0
18.0
36.0
——77%0NO PRICE
Total match shots on target——8.58.0
4.0
13.0
——77%0NO PRICE
Total match corners——7.67.0
4.0
12.0
——77%0NO PRICE
Total match cards——3.203.00
1.0
6.0
——77%0NO PRICE
Total match fouls——18.217.0
11.0
26.0
——77%0NO PRICE
Goal supremacy (home)——-0.380.00
-3.0
2.0
——77%0NO PRICE
Shot supremacy (home)——-4.1-4.0
-11.0
3.0
——77%0NO PRICE
SOT supremacy (home)——-1.6-1.0
-5.0
2.0
——77%0NO PRICE
Corner supremacy (home)——-1.8-1.0
-5.0
2.0
——77%0NO PRICE
Card supremacy (home)——-0.78-1.00
-3.0
1.0
——77%0NO PRICE
Home team card minutes——690
0.0
167.0
——77%0NO PRICE
Away team card minutes——1130
0.0
239.0
——77%0NO PRICE
Total match card minutes——1820
43.0
347.0
——77%0NO PRICE
Card minute supremacy (home)——-440
-191.0
91.1
——77%0NO PRICE

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool odds — match markets

Model probability versus the priced selection · 1.50+ only

Signal
Match outcome (model price)CRY win——32%3.16—77%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)Draw——21%4.70—77%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)LIV win——47%2.13—77%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)Both teams to score——68%1.47—77%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)Both teams to score - No——32%3.13—77%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)CRY -1 goal handicap——16%6.44—77%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)LIV +1 goal handicap——84%1.18—77%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)CRY draw no bet——40%2.48—77%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)LIV draw no bet——60%1.67—77%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)CRY or draw——53%1.89—77%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)LIV or draw——68%1.46—77%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)CRY or LIV——79%1.27—77%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)CRY clean sheet——15%6.75—77%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)LIV clean sheet——20%4.93—77%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)CRY win to nil——12%8.57—77%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)LIV win to nil——17%5.84—77%0NO PRICE

CRY & LIV player odds

Every priced player selection for this fixture, model probability versus the market · 1.50+ only

No player fixed-odds selections priced for this fixture.

Player spread markets

Player projections against the Spreadex sell / buy lines

No player spread markets priced for this fixture.

Players most likely to be booked

Modelled booking chance from expected fouls, card rate and expected minutes

No card projections published for this fixture yet.

Players most likely to score

Modelled goal chance from expected shots, conversion rate and expected minutes

No goal projections published for this fixture yet.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–18.5%
  • 1–28.5%
  • 2–26.5%

Team news & model notes

Crystal Palace

Chadi Riad (i), Uche (u), Chilwell (i), Devenny (u), Sosa (u), Tomiyasu (i)

Liverpool

C.Jones (u), Szoboszlai (i), Elliott (u), Ekitiké (i), Bradley (i), Jaros (i)

Model updated 20/10/2026, 10:44:40 · no live prices captured

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool betting FAQs

Straight answers from the current model run

Who will win Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?

Our simulation makes Crystal Palace 32% to win, the draw 21% and Liverpool 47%, with 2–2 the projected score.

What is the score prediction for Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?

2–2, calculated by rounding expected goals of 1.63 for Crystal Palace and 2.01 for Liverpool. The three most likely individual scorelines are listed separately below.

Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?

Both teams to score is 68% on the model, against a total goals projection of 3.64.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?

Over 2.5 goals runs at 69% across 20,000 simulations, from a total goals projection of 3.64. Under 2.5 is the other side of that price.

How many corners will there be in Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?

The model projects 7.6 match corners, making over 7.5 corners 48%. CRY and LIV corner counts are priced separately on the corners board.

How many cards will be shown in Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?

We project 3.2 bookings in total, so over 3.5 cards is 39%. The appointed referee's own foul and card rates are built into that number.

When does Crystal Palace vs Liverpool kick off?

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool kicks off Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 at Crystal Palace (home). Predicted line-ups, prices and projections on this page refresh automatically as team news lands.