Everton vs Liverpool Betting Tips, Prediction & Odds
Sun 29 Nov, 12:00 · Gameweek 12 · Everton (home)
By Clive Smalls · Updated
Predicted score
1–1
13% likely
Everton vs Liverpool betting tips, prediction and the latest Everton odds and Liverpool odds for Sun 29 Nov, 12:00 at Everton (home), updated as prices and team news move.
Our model runs 20,000 simulations of Everton vs Liverpool at Everton (home) and settles on EVE 46%, the draw 27% and LIV 27%, with 2.45 expected goals in the game and 1–1 the projected score. Both teams to score lands 48% of the time.
No fixed-odds selection currently clears the model's value threshold for this fixture. Every market below — match result, goals, cards, corners, shots and player props — is priced against the same simulation, so you can see where the bookmakers are behind the numbers.
Minimum odds 1.50
Hides every fixed-odds selection priced shorter than 1.50 across the best bets and both fixed-odds tables.
Everton vs Liverpool betting tips — three best fixed-odds bets
Top rated selections from different markets — game, team or player — so no two are correlated
No rated fixed-odds bets for this fixture.
Everton vs Liverpool spread betting tips — three best positions
One per correlation family (goals, corners, cards, shots …) so the positions move independently
No rated spread bets for this fixture.
Predicted line-ups
Projected starting XI, bench and availability from the team-news model
Everton
- 1PickfordGKP
- 2TarkowskiDEF
- 3MykolenkoDEF
- 4BranthwaiteDEF
- 5Maitland-NilesDEF
- 6Dewsbury-HallMID
- 7GarnerMID
- 8ArmstrongMID
- 9JohnsonMID
- 10GeorgeMID
- 11BarryFWD
Bench: Röhl, Grealish, Keane, O'Brien
Full Everton predicted XI →Match spread markets
Model projection versus the Spreadex sell / buy line
| Floor → ceiling | Signal | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total match goals | — | — | 2.45 | 2.00 | 1.0 5.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match shots | — | — | 24.8 | 23.0 | 16.0 34.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match shots on target | — | — | 7.5 | 7.0 | 4.0 12.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match corners | — | — | 9.2 | 8.0 | 5.0 14.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match cards | — | — | 3.75 | 3.00 | 1.0 7.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match fouls | — | — | 21.0 | 20.0 | 14.0 29.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Goal supremacy (home) | — | — | 0.40 | 0.00 | -1.0 2.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Shot supremacy (home) | — | — | -3.3 | -4.0 | -10.0 4.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| SOT supremacy (home) | — | — | -0.3 | 0.0 | -4.0 3.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Corner supremacy (home) | — | — | -0.1 | 0.0 | -4.0 4.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Card supremacy (home) | — | — | -0.60 | 0.00 | -3.0 2.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Home team card minutes | — | — | 90 | 0 | 0.0 203.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Away team card minutes | — | — | 124 | 0 | 0.0 255.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match card minutes | — | — | 214 | 0 | 62.0 390.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Card minute supremacy (home) | — | — | -34 | 0 | -189.0 119.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
Everton vs Liverpool odds — match markets
Model probability versus the priced selection · 1.50+ only
| Signal | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match outcome (model price) | EVE win | — | — | 46% | 2.18 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | Draw | — | — | 27% | 3.66 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | LIV win | — | — | 27% | 3.73 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | Both teams to score | — | — | 48% | 2.09 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | Both teams to score - No | — | — | 52% | 1.92 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | EVE -1 goal handicap | — | — | 23% | 4.41 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | LIV +1 goal handicap | — | — | 77% | 1.29 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | EVE draw no bet | — | — | 63% | 1.58 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | LIV draw no bet | — | — | 37% | 2.71 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | EVE or draw | — | — | 73% | 1.37 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | LIV or draw | — | — | 54% | 1.85 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | EVE or LIV | — | — | 73% | 1.38 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | EVE clean sheet | — | — | 37% | 2.72 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | LIV clean sheet | — | — | 25% | 4.03 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | EVE win to nil | — | — | 27% | 3.65 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | LIV win to nil | — | — | 15% | 6.50 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
EVE & LIV player odds
Every priced player selection for this fixture, model probability versus the market · 1.50+ only
No player fixed-odds selections priced for this fixture.
Player spread markets
Player projections against the Spreadex sell / buy lines
No player spread markets priced for this fixture.
Players most likely to be booked
Modelled booking chance from expected fouls, card rate and expected minutes
No card projections published for this fixture yet.
Players most likely to score
Modelled goal chance from expected shots, conversion rate and expected minutes
No goal projections published for this fixture yet.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–012.4%
- 0–09.4%
Team news & model notes
Everton
Beto (u), Patterson (u)
Liverpool
C.Jones (u), Szoboszlai (i), Elliott (u), Ekitiké (i), Bradley (i), Jaros (i)
Model updated 20/10/2026, 09:13:14 · no live prices captured
Everton vs Liverpool betting FAQs
Straight answers from the current model run
Who will win Everton vs Liverpool?
Our simulation makes Everton 46% to win, the draw 27% and Liverpool 27%, with 1–1 the projected score.
What is the score prediction for Everton vs Liverpool?
1–1, calculated by rounding expected goals of 1.43 for Everton and 1.02 for Liverpool. The three most likely individual scorelines are listed separately below.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Liverpool?
Both teams to score is 48% on the model, against a total goals projection of 2.45.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Everton vs Liverpool?
Over 2.5 goals runs at 44% across 20,000 simulations, from a total goals projection of 2.45. Under 2.5 is the other side of that price.
How many corners will there be in Everton vs Liverpool?
The model projects 9.2 match corners, making over 9.5 corners 43%. EVE and LIV corner counts are priced separately on the corners board.
How many cards will be shown in Everton vs Liverpool?
We project 3.8 bookings in total, so over 3.5 cards is 51%. The appointed referee's own foul and card rates are built into that number.
When does Everton vs Liverpool kick off?
Everton vs Liverpool kicks off Sun 29 Nov, 12:00 at Everton (home). Predicted line-ups, prices and projections on this page refresh automatically as team news lands.