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Fulham vs Hull City Betting Tips, Prediction & Odds

Sat 17 Oct, 14:00 · Gameweek 7 · Fulham (home)

By Clive Smalls · Updated

Predicted score

1–1

12% likely

Fulham vs Hull City match prediction and tactical analysis

Fulham vs Hull City betting tips, prediction and the latest Fulham odds and Hull City odds for Sat 17 Oct, 14:00 at Fulham (home), updated as prices and team news move.

Our model runs 20,000 simulations of Fulham vs Hull City at Fulham (home) and settles on FUL 37%, the draw 27% and HUL 36%, with 2.46 expected goals in the game and 1–1 the projected score. Both teams to score lands 49% of the time.

No fixed-odds selection currently clears the model's value threshold for this fixture. Every market below — match result, goals, cards, corners, shots and player props — is priced against the same simulation, so you can see where the bookmakers are behind the numbers.

Expected goals
1.24 – 1.22
Total 2.46
FUL win
37%
Draw 27%
HUL win
36%
BTTS 49%
Lineup confidence
0%
20,000 simulations

Minimum odds 1.50

Hides every fixed-odds selection priced shorter than 1.50 across the best bets and both fixed-odds tables.

On

Fulham vs Hull City betting tips — three best fixed-odds bets

Top rated selections from different markets — game, team or player — so no two are correlated

No rated fixed-odds bets for this fixture.

Fulham vs Hull City spread betting tips — three best positions

One per correlation family (goals, corners, cards, shots …) so the positions move independently

No rated spread bets for this fixture.

Recommended bet builders

Model-picked multi-leg selections for this fixture — always check the price with your bookmaker

Bookings bet builder

The three players our card model rates most likely to see a yellow in this fixture.

  1. 1.McBurnieHUL

    McBurnie to be carded

    Player to be Carded

    18% modelled booking chance from 0.65 expected fouls

    —
  2. 2.BasseyFUL

    Bassey to be carded

    Player to be Carded

    16% modelled booking chance from 0.76 expected fouls

    —
  3. 3.AjayiHUL

    Ajayi to be carded

    Player to be Carded

    13% modelled booking chance from 0.67 expected fouls

    —

Combined price — · model chance 0.4%

Predicted line-ups

Projected starting XI, bench and availability from the team-news model

Fulham

4-5-1 · Low confidence
  1. 1LenoGKP
  2. 2BasseyDEF
  3. 3CastagneDEF
  4. 4RobinsonDEF
  5. 5AffengruberDEF
  6. 6IwobiMID
  7. 7BergeMID
  8. 8KingMID
  9. 9BobbMID
  10. 10CharlesMID
  11. 11GonzaloFWD

Bench: Andersen, Palacios, Tete, J.Cuenca

Doubts: Larsson

Out: Sessegnon

Full Fulham predicted XI →

Hull City

4-5-1 · Low confidence
  1. 1TzolakisGKP
  2. 2EganDEF
  3. 3AjayiDEF
  4. 4CoyleDEF
  5. 5GilesDEF
  6. 6SlaterMID
  7. 7BelloumiMID
  8. 8CrooksMID
  9. 9StroudMID
  10. 10ThomasMID
  11. 11McBurnieFWD

Bench: Herrington, Gelhardt, Morita, Norton-Cuffy

Doubts: Vaz

Out: Mendy, Targett, Hughes, Butland, Matazo, Gyabi, Gourna-Douath, Cho

Full Hull City predicted XI →

Referee: C Kavanagh

58 matches on record · 22.21 fouls and 4.07 yellows a game (league average 21.94 fouls, 3.9 yellows)

Season by season

2026/2027427.255.250.5
2025/20263022.473.970.1
2024/20252421.0440.21

With these two clubs

  • Fulham7 games · 10.29 fouls · 3.14 yellows
  • Hull Cityno matches on record

Players he has booked

No player in either predicted squad has been booked by him in the matches we hold card data for.

Player card history covers 31 of his matches across the last three Premier League seasons.

Match spread markets

Model projection versus the Spreadex sell / buy line

Floor → ceilingSignal
Total match goals——2.462.00
1.0
5.0
——53%0NO PRICE
Total match shots——25.923.0
17.0
35.0
——53%0NO PRICE
Total match shots on target——7.57.0
4.0
12.0
——53%0NO PRICE
Total match corners——9.39.0
5.0
14.0
——53%0NO PRICE
Total match cards——4.274.00
2.0
7.0
——53%0NO PRICE
Total match fouls——19.318.0
12.0
27.0
——53%0NO PRICE
Goal supremacy (home)——0.020.00
-2.0
2.0
——53%0NO PRICE
Shot supremacy (home)——7.76.0
1.0
15.0
——53%0NO PRICE
SOT supremacy (home)——1.21.0
-2.0
5.0
——53%0NO PRICE
Corner supremacy (home)——4.24.0
0.0
8.0
——53%0NO PRICE
Card supremacy (home)——-0.620.00
-3.0
2.0
——53%0NO PRICE
Home team card minutes——1040
0.0
227.0
——53%0NO PRICE
Away team card minutes——1390
5.0
280.0
——53%0NO PRICE
Total match card minutes——2440
77.0
434.0
——53%0NO PRICE
Card minute supremacy (home)——-350
-200.0
127.0
——53%0NO PRICE

Fulham vs Hull City odds — match markets

Model probability versus the priced selection · 1.50+ only

Signal
Match outcome (model price)FUL win——37%2.71—53%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)Draw——27%3.69—53%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)HUL win——36%2.78—53%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)Both teams to score——49%2.04—53%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)Both teams to score - No——51%1.96—53%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)FUL -1 goal handicap——16%6.11—53%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)HUL +1 goal handicap——84%1.20—53%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)FUL draw no bet——51%1.97—53%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)HUL draw no bet——49%2.03—53%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)FUL or draw——64%1.56—53%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)HUL or draw——63%1.59—53%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)FUL or HUL——73%1.37—53%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)FUL clean sheet——31%3.27—53%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)HUL clean sheet——30%3.35—53%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)FUL win to nil——21%4.72—53%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)HUL win to nil——20%4.90—53%0NO PRICE

FUL & HUL player odds

Every priced player selection for this fixture, model probability versus the market · 1.50+ only

No player fixed-odds selections priced for this fixture.

Player spread markets

Player projections against the Spreadex sell / buy lines

No player spread markets priced for this fixture.

Players most likely to be booked

Modelled booking chance from expected fouls, card rate and expected minutes — carded prices appear automatically once the bookmaker opens its player card market (usually a few hours before kick-off)

Sell / BuySignal
McBurnieHULFWD18%0.6591%16.415.0 / 19.0—NO BET
BasseyFULDEF16%0.7692%15.08.0 / 12.0—NO BET
AjayiHULDEF13%0.6795%12.412.0 / 16.0—NO BET
CastagneFULDEF13%0.6480%11.98.0 / 12.0—NO BET
SlaterHULMID13%0.8086%12.612.0 / 16.0—NO BET
BelloumiHULMID12%0.8274%13.812.0 / 16.0—NO BET
AndersenFULDEF12%0.7372%14.013.0 / 17.0—NO BET
EganHULDEF12%0.6080%12.515.0 / 19.0—SELL
KingFULMID12%0.6683%10.510.0 / 14.0—NO BET
GilesHULDEF11%0.6677%12.212.0 / 16.0—NO BET
CrooksHULMID11%0.5966%10.027.0 / 31.0—SELL
CoyleHULDEF10%0.5683%8.719.0 / 23.0—SELL

Players most likely to score

Modelled goal chance from expected shots, conversion rate and expected minutes — anytime scorer prices appear automatically once the bookmaker opens its goalscorer market (usually a few hours before kick-off)

Sell / BuySignal
GonzaloFULFWD24%0.3777%14.824.0 / 27.0—SELL
McBurnieHULFWD18%0.2291%9.714.0 / 17.0—SELL
KingFULMID15%0.1983%7.414.0 / 17.0—SELL
BelloumiHULMID14%0.2174%8.16.0 / 9.0—NO BET
IwobiFULMID11%0.1389%4.812.0 / 15.0—SELL
SlaterHULMID6%0.0886%3.12.0 / 4.0—NO BET
BobbFULMID6%0.0874%2.57.0 / 10.0—SELL
BergeFULMID6%0.0786%2.52.5 / 5.0—NO BET
CharlesFULMID5%0.0766%2.94.0 / 7.0—NO BET
CastagneFULDEF5%0.0680%2.42.0 / 4.0—NO BET
BasseyFULDEF4%0.0492%2.01.0 / 3.0—NO BET
CrooksHULMID4%0.0666%1.83.0 / 6.0—NO BET

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 1–010.6%
  • 0–110.5%

Team news & model notes

Fulham

Sessegnon (s), Larsson (d)

Hull City

Gourna-Douath (i), Mendy (i), Cho (i), Drameh (u), Targett (i), Burstow (u)

Model updated 20/10/2026, 09:58:00 · no live prices captured

Fulham vs Hull City betting FAQs

Straight answers from the current model run

Who will win Fulham vs Hull City?

Our simulation makes Fulham 37% to win, the draw 27% and Hull City 36%, with 1–1 the projected score.

What is the score prediction for Fulham vs Hull City?

1–1, calculated by rounding expected goals of 1.24 for Fulham and 1.22 for Hull City. The three most likely individual scorelines are listed separately below.

Will both teams score in Fulham vs Hull City?

Both teams to score is 49% on the model, against a total goals projection of 2.46.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Fulham vs Hull City?

Over 2.5 goals runs at 44% across 20,000 simulations, from a total goals projection of 2.46. Under 2.5 is the other side of that price.

How many corners will there be in Fulham vs Hull City?

The model projects 9.3 match corners, making over 9.5 corners 45%. FUL and HUL corner counts are priced separately on the corners board.

How many cards will be shown in Fulham vs Hull City?

We project 4.3 bookings in total, so over 4.5 cards is 42%. The appointed referee's own foul and card rates are built into that number.

When does Fulham vs Hull City kick off?

Fulham vs Hull City kicks off Sat 17 Oct, 14:00 at Fulham (home). Predicted line-ups, prices and projections on this page refresh automatically as team news lands.