Hull City vs Brighton Betting Tips, Prediction & Odds
Sun 22 Nov, 14:00 · Gameweek 11 · Hull City (home)
By Clive Smalls · Updated
Predicted score
1–1
13% likely
Hull City vs Brighton betting tips, prediction and the latest Hull City odds and Brighton odds for Sun 22 Nov, 14:00 at Hull City (home), updated as prices and team news move.
Our model runs 20,000 simulations of Hull City vs Brighton at Hull City (home) and settles on HUL 29%, the draw 32% and BHA 40%, with 1.93 expected goals in the game and 1–1 the projected score. Both teams to score lands 37% of the time.
No fixed-odds selection currently clears the model's value threshold for this fixture. Every market below — match result, goals, cards, corners, shots and player props — is priced against the same simulation, so you can see where the bookmakers are behind the numbers.
Minimum odds 1.50
Hides every fixed-odds selection priced shorter than 1.50 across the best bets and both fixed-odds tables.
Hull City vs Brighton betting tips — three best fixed-odds bets
Top rated selections from different markets — game, team or player — so no two are correlated
No rated fixed-odds bets for this fixture.
Hull City vs Brighton spread betting tips — three best positions
One per correlation family (goals, corners, cards, shots …) so the positions move independently
No rated spread bets for this fixture.
Predicted line-ups
Projected starting XI, bench and availability from the team-news model
Hull City
- 1TzolakisGKP
- 2EganDEF
- 3AjayiDEF
- 4CoyleDEF
- 5GilesDEF
- 6SlaterMID
- 7BelloumiMID
- 8CrooksMID
- 9StroudMID
- 10ThomasMID
- 11McBurnieFWD
Bench: Herrington, Gelhardt, Morita, Norton-Cuffy
Doubts: Vaz
Out: Mendy, Targett, Hughes, Butland, Matazo, Gyabi, Gourna-Douath, Cho
Full Hull City predicted XI →Brighton
- 1VerbruggenGKP
- 2F.KadıoğluDEF
- 3De CuyperDEF
- 4VuskovicDEF
- 5BoscagliDEF
- 6DunkDEF
- 7GomezMID
- 8GroßMID
- 9AyariMID
- 10AndrésMID
- 11KostoulasFWD
Bench: Yalcouyé, Hinshelwood, Georginio, David
Doubts: Struijk, Yohanna
Out: Wieffer, Mitoma, Minteh, Tzimas, Ferguson, Azeez
Full Brighton predicted XI →Match spread markets
Model projection versus the Spreadex sell / buy line
| Floor → ceiling | Signal | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total match goals | — | — | 1.93 | 1.00 | 0.0 4.0 | — | — | 33% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match shots | — | — | 19.8 | 20.0 | 13.0 27.0 | — | — | 33% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match shots on target | — | — | 6.7 | 6.0 | 3.0 10.0 | — | — | 33% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match corners | — | — | 7.3 | 7.0 | 4.0 11.0 | — | — | 33% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match cards | — | — | 4.35 | 4.00 | 2.0 7.0 | — | — | 33% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match fouls | — | — | 18.7 | 15.0 | 12.0 26.0 | — | — | 33% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Goal supremacy (home) | — | — | -0.22 | 0.00 | -2.0 1.0 | — | — | 33% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Shot supremacy (home) | — | — | -3.8 | -3.0 | -10.0 2.0 | — | — | 33% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| SOT supremacy (home) | — | — | -0.8 | -1.0 | -4.0 3.0 | — | — | 33% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Corner supremacy (home) | — | — | -1.6 | -2.0 | -5.0 2.0 | — | — | 33% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Card supremacy (home) | — | — | 0.41 | 0.00 | -2.0 3.0 | — | — | 33% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Home team card minutes | — | — | 136 | 0 | 0.0 275.0 | — | — | 33% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Away team card minutes | — | — | 112 | 0 | 0.0 238.0 | — | — | 33% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match card minutes | — | — | 248 | 0 | 81.0 439.0 | — | — | 33% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Card minute supremacy (home) | — | — | 23 | 0 | -140.0 191.1 | — | — | 33% | 0 | NO PRICE |
Hull City vs Brighton odds — match markets
Model probability versus the priced selection · 1.50+ only
| Signal | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match outcome (model price) | HUL win | — | — | 29% | 3.50 | — | 33% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | Draw | — | — | 32% | 3.17 | — | 33% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | BHA win | — | — | 40% | 2.51 | — | 33% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | Both teams to score | — | — | 37% | 2.68 | — | 33% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | Both teams to score - No | — | — | 63% | 1.59 | — | 33% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | HUL -1 goal handicap | — | — | 9% | 10.60 | — | 33% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | BHA +1 goal handicap | — | — | 91% | 1.10 | — | 33% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | HUL draw no bet | — | — | 42% | 2.39 | — | 33% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | BHA draw no bet | — | — | 58% | 1.72 | — | 33% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | HUL or draw | — | — | 60% | 1.66 | — | 33% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | BHA or draw | — | — | 71% | 1.40 | — | 33% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | HUL or BHA | — | — | 68% | 1.46 | — | 33% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | HUL clean sheet | — | — | 35% | 2.85 | — | 33% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | BHA clean sheet | — | — | 43% | 2.31 | — | 33% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | HUL win to nil | — | — | 19% | 5.17 | — | 33% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | BHA win to nil | — | — | 28% | 3.62 | — | 33% | 0 | NO PRICE |
HUL & BHA player odds
Every priced player selection for this fixture, model probability versus the market · 1.50+ only
No player fixed-odds selections priced for this fixture.
Player spread markets
Player projections against the Spreadex sell / buy lines
No player spread markets priced for this fixture.
Players most likely to be booked
Modelled booking chance from expected fouls, card rate and expected minutes
No card projections published for this fixture yet.
Players most likely to score
Modelled goal chance from expected shots, conversion rate and expected minutes
No goal projections published for this fixture yet.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–015.7%
- 0–115.3%
- 1–112.6%
Team news & model notes
Hull City
Gourna-Douath (i), Mendy (i), Cho (i), Drameh (u), Targett (i), Burstow (u)
Brighton
Howell (u), Tzimas (i), Yohanna (i), Igor (u), Watson (u), Wieffer (i)
Model updated 20/10/2026, 09:58:05 · no live prices captured
Hull City vs Brighton betting FAQs
Straight answers from the current model run
Who will win Hull City vs Brighton?
Our simulation makes Hull City 29% to win, the draw 32% and Brighton 40%, with 1–1 the projected score.
What is the score prediction for Hull City vs Brighton?
1–1, calculated by rounding expected goals of 0.85 for Hull City and 1.08 for Brighton. The three most likely individual scorelines are listed separately below.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Brighton?
Both teams to score is 37% on the model, against a total goals projection of 1.93.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Hull City vs Brighton?
Over 2.5 goals runs at 31% across 20,000 simulations, from a total goals projection of 1.93. Under 2.5 is the other side of that price.
How many corners will there be in Hull City vs Brighton?
The model projects 7.3 match corners, making over 7.5 corners 45%. HUL and BHA corner counts are priced separately on the corners board.
How many cards will be shown in Hull City vs Brighton?
We project 4.3 bookings in total, so over 4.5 cards is 43%. The appointed referee's own foul and card rates are built into that number.
When does Hull City vs Brighton kick off?
Hull City vs Brighton kicks off Sun 22 Nov, 14:00 at Hull City (home). Predicted line-ups, prices and projections on this page refresh automatically as team news lands.