Man Utd vs Bournemouth Betting Tips, Prediction & Odds
Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 · Gameweek 8 · Man Utd (home)
By Clive Smalls · Updated
Predicted score
2–1
9% likely
Man Utd vs Bournemouth betting tips, prediction and the latest Man Utd odds and Bournemouth odds for Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 at Man Utd (home), updated as prices and team news move.
Our model runs 20,000 simulations of Man Utd vs Bournemouth at Man Utd (home) and settles on MUN 55%, the draw 22% and BOU 24%, with 3.27 expected goals in the game and 2–1 the projected score. Both teams to score lands 61% of the time.
No fixed-odds selection currently clears the model's value threshold for this fixture. Every market below — match result, goals, cards, corners, shots and player props — is priced against the same simulation, so you can see where the bookmakers are behind the numbers.
Minimum odds 1.50
Hides every fixed-odds selection priced shorter than 1.50 across the best bets and both fixed-odds tables.
Man Utd vs Bournemouth betting tips — three best fixed-odds bets
Top rated selections from different markets — game, team or player — so no two are correlated
No rated fixed-odds bets for this fixture.
Man Utd vs Bournemouth spread betting tips — three best positions
One per correlation family (goals, corners, cards, shots …) so the positions move independently
No rated spread bets for this fixture.
Predicted line-ups
Projected starting XI, bench and availability from the team-news model
Match spread markets
Model projection versus the Spreadex sell / buy line
| Floor → ceiling | Signal | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total match goals | — | — | 3.27 | 3.00 | 1.0 6.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match shots | — | — | 24.5 | 25.0 | 16.0 33.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match shots on target | — | — | 10.4 | 10.0 | 6.0 15.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match corners | — | — | 10.2 | 10.0 | 6.0 15.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match cards | — | — | 3.92 | 3.00 | 1.0 7.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match fouls | — | — | 20.8 | 21.0 | 13.0 29.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Goal supremacy (home) | — | — | 0.76 | 1.00 | -1.0 3.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Shot supremacy (home) | — | — | 8.8 | 9.0 | 2.0 16.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| SOT supremacy (home) | — | — | 3.8 | 3.0 | 0.0 8.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Corner supremacy (home) | — | — | 3.4 | 3.0 | -1.0 8.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Card supremacy (home) | — | — | -0.82 | -1.00 | -3.0 2.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Home team card minutes | — | — | 88 | 0 | 0.0 200.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Away team card minutes | — | — | 136 | 0 | 0.0 276.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match card minutes | — | — | 224 | 0 | 66.0 404.1 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Card minute supremacy (home) | — | — | -47 | 0 | -207.0 105.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
Man Utd vs Bournemouth odds — match markets
Model probability versus the priced selection · 1.50+ only
| Signal | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match outcome (model price) | MUN win | — | — | 55% | 1.83 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | Draw | — | — | 22% | 4.64 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | BOU win | — | — | 24% | 4.22 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | Both teams to score | — | — | 61% | 1.65 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | Both teams to score - No | — | — | 39% | 2.54 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | MUN -1 goal handicap | — | — | 33% | 3.07 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | BOU +1 goal handicap | — | — | 67% | 1.48 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | MUN draw no bet | — | — | 70% | 1.43 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | BOU draw no bet | — | — | 30% | 3.31 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | MUN or draw | — | — | 76% | 1.31 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | BOU or draw | — | — | 45% | 2.21 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | MUN or BOU | — | — | 78% | 1.27 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | MUN clean sheet | — | — | 30% | 3.37 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | BOU clean sheet | — | — | 14% | 6.97 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | MUN win to nil | — | — | 25% | 3.98 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | BOU win to nil | — | — | 10% | 10.19 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
MUN & BOU player odds
Every priced player selection for this fixture, model probability versus the market · 1.50+ only
No player fixed-odds selections priced for this fixture.
Player spread markets
Player projections against the Spreadex sell / buy lines
No player spread markets priced for this fixture.
Players most likely to be booked
Modelled booking chance from expected fouls, card rate and expected minutes
No card projections published for this fixture yet.
Players most likely to score
Modelled goal chance from expected shots, conversion rate and expected minutes
No goal projections published for this fixture yet.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.7%
- 2–18.9%
- 1–08.2%
Team news & model notes
Man Utd
Fredricson (u), Ugarte (i), Bayindir (u), Dorgu (i), Šeško (i)
Bournemouth
Milosavljević (i), Scott (i), Enes Ünal (u), Kroupi.Jr (i)
Model updated 20/10/2026, 09:57:41 · no live prices captured
Man Utd vs Bournemouth betting FAQs
Straight answers from the current model run
Who will win Man Utd vs Bournemouth?
Our simulation makes Man Utd 55% to win, the draw 22% and Bournemouth 24%, with 2–1 the projected score.
What is the score prediction for Man Utd vs Bournemouth?
2–1, calculated by rounding expected goals of 2.02 for Man Utd and 1.26 for Bournemouth. The three most likely individual scorelines are listed separately below.
Will both teams score in Man Utd vs Bournemouth?
Both teams to score is 61% on the model, against a total goals projection of 3.27.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Man Utd vs Bournemouth?
Over 2.5 goals runs at 62% across 20,000 simulations, from a total goals projection of 3.27. Under 2.5 is the other side of that price.
How many corners will there be in Man Utd vs Bournemouth?
The model projects 10.2 match corners, making over 10.5 corners 44%. MUN and BOU corner counts are priced separately on the corners board.
How many cards will be shown in Man Utd vs Bournemouth?
We project 3.9 bookings in total, so over 3.5 cards is 54%. The appointed referee's own foul and card rates are built into that number.
When does Man Utd vs Bournemouth kick off?
Man Utd vs Bournemouth kicks off Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 at Man Utd (home). Predicted line-ups, prices and projections on this page refresh automatically as team news lands.