Newcastle vs Everton Betting Tips, Prediction & Odds
Mon 2 Nov, 20:00 · Gameweek 9 · Newcastle (home)
By Clive Smalls · Updated
Predicted score
1–1
13% likely
Newcastle vs Everton betting tips, prediction and the latest Newcastle odds and Everton odds for Mon 2 Nov, 20:00 at Newcastle (home), updated as prices and team news move.
Our model runs 20,000 simulations of Newcastle vs Everton at Newcastle (home) and settles on NEW 38%, the draw 33% and EVE 29%, with 1.80 expected goals in the game and 1–1 the projected score. Both teams to score lands 35% of the time.
No fixed-odds selection currently clears the model's value threshold for this fixture. Every market below — match result, goals, cards, corners, shots and player props — is priced against the same simulation, so you can see where the bookmakers are behind the numbers.
Minimum odds 1.50
Hides every fixed-odds selection priced shorter than 1.50 across the best bets and both fixed-odds tables.
Newcastle vs Everton betting tips — three best fixed-odds bets
Top rated selections from different markets — game, team or player — so no two are correlated
No rated fixed-odds bets for this fixture.
Newcastle vs Everton spread betting tips — three best positions
One per correlation family (goals, corners, cards, shots …) so the positions move independently
No rated spread bets for this fixture.
Predicted line-ups
Projected starting XI, bench and availability from the team-news model
Newcastle
- 1HorníčekGKP
- 2ThiawDEF
- 3HallDEF
- 4BotmanDEF
- 5DedićDEF
- 6BarnesMID
- 7L.MileyMID
- 8N.GonzalezMID
- 9WillockMID
- 10WissaFWD
- 11Fernandez-PardoFWD
Bench: J.Murphy, Joelinton, Steur, Pope
Out: Elanga, J.Ramsey, Livramento, Jaouen
Full Newcastle predicted XI →Everton
- 1PickfordGKP
- 2TarkowskiDEF
- 3MykolenkoDEF
- 4BranthwaiteDEF
- 5Maitland-NilesDEF
- 6Dewsbury-HallMID
- 7GarnerMID
- 8ArmstrongMID
- 9JohnsonMID
- 10GeorgeMID
- 11BarryFWD
Bench: Röhl, Grealish, Keane, O'Brien
Full Everton predicted XI →Match spread markets
Model projection versus the Spreadex sell / buy line
| Floor → ceiling | Signal | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total match goals | — | — | 1.80 | 1.00 | 0.0 4.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match shots | — | — | 24.5 | 23.0 | 16.0 33.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match shots on target | — | — | 7.7 | 7.0 | 4.0 12.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match corners | — | — | 10.3 | 10.0 | 6.0 15.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match cards | — | — | 3.92 | 3.00 | 1.0 7.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match fouls | — | — | 22.1 | 20.0 | 14.0 31.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Goal supremacy (home) | — | — | 0.16 | 0.00 | -1.0 2.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Shot supremacy (home) | — | — | 1.6 | 3.0 | -5.0 9.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| SOT supremacy (home) | — | — | 0.5 | 1.0 | -3.0 4.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Corner supremacy (home) | — | — | 0.9 | 1.0 | -3.0 5.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Card supremacy (home) | — | — | 0.07 | 0.00 | -2.0 3.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Home team card minutes | — | — | 114 | 0 | 0.0 242.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Away team card minutes | — | — | 109 | 0 | 0.0 232.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match card minutes | — | — | 223 | 0 | 66.0 403.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Card minute supremacy (home) | — | — | 4 | 0 | -153.0 161.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
Newcastle vs Everton odds — match markets
Model probability versus the priced selection · 1.50+ only
| Signal | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match outcome (model price) | NEW win | — | — | 38% | 2.65 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | Draw | — | — | 33% | 2.99 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | EVE win | — | — | 29% | 3.47 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | Both teams to score | — | — | 35% | 2.86 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | Both teams to score - No | — | — | 65% | 1.54 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | NEW -1 goal handicap | — | — | 14% | 6.97 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | EVE +1 goal handicap | — | — | 86% | 1.17 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | NEW draw no bet | — | — | 57% | 1.76 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | EVE draw no bet | — | — | 43% | 2.31 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | NEW or draw | — | — | 71% | 1.40 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | EVE or draw | — | — | 62% | 1.61 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | NEW or EVE | — | — | 67% | 1.50 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | NEW clean sheet | — | — | 45% | 2.24 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | EVE clean sheet | — | — | 38% | 2.63 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | NEW win to nil | — | — | 27% | 3.71 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | EVE win to nil | — | — | 20% | 4.89 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
NEW & EVE player odds
Every priced player selection for this fixture, model probability versus the market · 1.50+ only
No player fixed-odds selections priced for this fixture.
Player spread markets
Player projections against the Spreadex sell / buy lines
No player spread markets priced for this fixture.
Players most likely to be booked
Modelled booking chance from expected fouls, card rate and expected minutes
No card projections published for this fixture yet.
Players most likely to score
Modelled goal chance from expected shots, conversion rate and expected minutes
No goal projections published for this fixture yet.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–017.7%
- 1–015.9%
- 0–113.3%
Team news & model notes
Newcastle
A.Murphy (u), Livramento (i), Elanga (i), Woltemade (u), Neave (u), J.Ramsey (i)
Everton
Beto (u), Patterson (u)
Model updated 20/10/2026, 09:57:44 · no live prices captured
Newcastle vs Everton betting FAQs
Straight answers from the current model run
Who will win Newcastle vs Everton?
Our simulation makes Newcastle 38% to win, the draw 33% and Everton 29%, with 1–1 the projected score.
What is the score prediction for Newcastle vs Everton?
1–1, calculated by rounding expected goals of 0.98 for Newcastle and 0.82 for Everton. The three most likely individual scorelines are listed separately below.
Will both teams score in Newcastle vs Everton?
Both teams to score is 35% on the model, against a total goals projection of 1.80.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Newcastle vs Everton?
Over 2.5 goals runs at 27% across 20,000 simulations, from a total goals projection of 1.80. Under 2.5 is the other side of that price.
How many corners will there be in Newcastle vs Everton?
The model projects 10.3 match corners, making over 10.5 corners 45%. NEW and EVE corner counts are priced separately on the corners board.
How many cards will be shown in Newcastle vs Everton?
We project 3.9 bookings in total, so over 3.5 cards is 54%. The appointed referee's own foul and card rates are built into that number.
When does Newcastle vs Everton kick off?
Newcastle vs Everton kicks off Mon 2 Nov, 20:00 at Newcastle (home). Predicted line-ups, prices and projections on this page refresh automatically as team news lands.