Nott'm Forest vs Man City Betting Tips, Prediction & Odds
Sat 7 Nov, 17:30 · Gameweek 10 · Nott'm Forest (home)
By Clive Smalls · Updated
Predicted score
1–2
9% likely

Nott'm Forest vs Man City betting tips, prediction and the latest Nott'm Forest odds and Man City odds for Sat 7 Nov, 17:30 at Nott'm Forest (home), updated as prices and team news move.
Our model runs 20,000 simulations of Nott'm Forest vs Man City at Nott'm Forest (home) and settles on NFO 21%, the draw 26% and MCI 54%, with 2.38 expected goals in the game and 1–2 the projected score. Both teams to score lands 44% of the time.
No fixed-odds selection currently clears the model's value threshold for this fixture. Every market below — match result, goals, cards, corners, shots and player props — is priced against the same simulation, so you can see where the bookmakers are behind the numbers.
Minimum odds 1.50
Hides every fixed-odds selection priced shorter than 1.50 across the best bets and both fixed-odds tables.
Nott'm Forest vs Man City betting tips — three best fixed-odds bets
Top rated selections from different markets — game, team or player — so no two are correlated
No rated fixed-odds bets for this fixture.
Nott'm Forest vs Man City spread betting tips — three best positions
One per correlation family (goals, corners, cards, shots …) so the positions move independently
No rated spread bets for this fixture.
Predicted line-ups
Projected starting XI, bench and availability from the team-news model
Nott'm Forest
- 1SelsGKP
- 2N.WilliamsDEF
- 3MurilloDEF
- 4MuñozDEF
- 5AinaDEF
- 6Jair CunhaDEF
- 7NdoyeMID
- 8SchlagerMID
- 9McAteeMID
- 10I.SangaréMID
- 11DelapFWD
Bench: Diomande, Gibbs-White, Dominguez, Hudson-Odoi
Doubts: Gibbs-White, Milenković
Out: Igor Jesus, Savona
Full Nott'm Forest predicted XI →Match spread markets
Model projection versus the Spreadex sell / buy line
| Floor → ceiling | Signal | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total match goals | — | — | 2.38 | 2.00 | 0.0 5.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match shots | — | — | 20.0 | 19.0 | 13.0 28.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match shots on target | — | — | 6.3 | 5.0 | 3.0 10.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match corners | — | — | 7.3 | 6.0 | 4.0 11.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match cards | — | — | 3.31 | 3.00 | 1.0 6.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match fouls | — | — | 18.7 | 17.0 | 12.0 26.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Goal supremacy (home) | — | — | -0.70 | -1.00 | -3.0 1.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Shot supremacy (home) | — | — | -4.2 | -5.0 | -10.1 2.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| SOT supremacy (home) | — | — | -1.8 | -1.0 | -5.0 1.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Corner supremacy (home) | — | — | -0.6 | -1.0 | -4.0 3.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Card supremacy (home) | — | — | -0.36 | 0.00 | -3.0 2.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Home team card minutes | — | — | 84 | 0 | 0.0 193.1 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Away team card minutes | — | — | 105 | 0 | 0.0 225.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match card minutes | — | — | 188 | 0 | 46.0 355.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Card minute supremacy (home) | — | — | -21 | 0 | -166.0 121.0 | — | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
Nott'm Forest vs Man City odds — match markets
Model probability versus the priced selection · 1.50+ only
| Signal | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match outcome (model price) | NFO win | — | — | 21% | 4.88 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | Draw | — | — | 26% | 3.90 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | MCI win | — | — | 54% | 1.86 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | Both teams to score | — | — | 44% | 2.30 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | Both teams to score - No | — | — | 56% | 1.77 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | NFO -1 goal handicap | — | — | 7% | 15.00 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | MCI +1 goal handicap | — | — | 93% | 1.07 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | NFO draw no bet | — | — | 28% | 3.63 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | MCI draw no bet | — | — | 72% | 1.38 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | NFO or draw | — | — | 46% | 2.17 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | MCI or draw | — | — | 79% | 1.26 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | NFO or MCI | — | — | 74% | 1.34 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | NFO clean sheet | — | — | 23% | 4.41 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | MCI clean sheet | — | — | 44% | 2.28 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | NFO win to nil | — | — | 13% | 7.99 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | MCI win to nil | — | — | 34% | 2.96 | — | 77% | 0 | NO PRICE |
NFO & MCI player odds
Every priced player selection for this fixture, model probability versus the market · 1.50+ only
No player fixed-odds selections priced for this fixture.
Player spread markets
Player projections against the Spreadex sell / buy lines
No player spread markets priced for this fixture.
Players most likely to be booked
Modelled booking chance from expected fouls, card rate and expected minutes
No card projections published for this fixture yet.
Players most likely to score
Modelled goal chance from expected shots, conversion rate and expected minutes
No goal projections published for this fixture yet.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.6%
- 1–111.3%
- 0–210.5%
Team news & model notes
Nott'm Forest
Hutchinson (u), Savona (i), Bakwa (u), Igor Jesus (i), Morato (u), Abbott (u)
Man City
Reijnders (u), Alleyne (u), Monga (u), Rodrigo (u), Mukasa (u)
Model updated 20/10/2026, 08:40:56 · no live prices captured
Nott'm Forest vs Man City betting FAQs
Straight answers from the current model run
Who will win Nott'm Forest vs Man City?
Our simulation makes Nott'm Forest 21% to win, the draw 26% and Man City 54%, with 1–2 the projected score.
What is the score prediction for Nott'm Forest vs Man City?
1–2, calculated by rounding expected goals of 0.84 for Nott'm Forest and 1.54 for Man City. The three most likely individual scorelines are listed separately below.
Will both teams score in Nott'm Forest vs Man City?
Both teams to score is 44% on the model, against a total goals projection of 2.38.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Nott'm Forest vs Man City?
Over 2.5 goals runs at 42% across 20,000 simulations, from a total goals projection of 2.38. Under 2.5 is the other side of that price.
How many corners will there be in Nott'm Forest vs Man City?
The model projects 7.3 match corners, making over 7.5 corners 44%. NFO and MCI corner counts are priced separately on the corners board.
How many cards will be shown in Nott'm Forest vs Man City?
We project 3.3 bookings in total, so over 3.5 cards is 42%. The appointed referee's own foul and card rates are built into that number.
When does Nott'm Forest vs Man City kick off?
Nott'm Forest vs Man City kicks off Sat 7 Nov, 17:30 at Nott'm Forest (home). Predicted line-ups, prices and projections on this page refresh automatically as team news lands.