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Nott'm Forest vs Man City Betting Tips, Prediction & Odds

Sat 7 Nov, 17:30 · Gameweek 10 · Nott'm Forest (home)

By Clive Smalls · Updated

Predicted score

1–2

9% likely

Nott'm Forest vs Man City match prediction and tactical analysis

Nott'm Forest vs Man City betting tips, prediction and the latest Nott'm Forest odds and Man City odds for Sat 7 Nov, 17:30 at Nott'm Forest (home), updated as prices and team news move.

Our model runs 20,000 simulations of Nott'm Forest vs Man City at Nott'm Forest (home) and settles on NFO 21%, the draw 26% and MCI 54%, with 2.38 expected goals in the game and 1–2 the projected score. Both teams to score lands 44% of the time.

No fixed-odds selection currently clears the model's value threshold for this fixture. Every market below — match result, goals, cards, corners, shots and player props — is priced against the same simulation, so you can see where the bookmakers are behind the numbers.

Expected goals
0.84 – 1.54
Total 2.38
NFO win
21%
Draw 26%
MCI win
54%
BTTS 44%
Lineup confidence
76%
20,000 simulations

Minimum odds 1.50

Hides every fixed-odds selection priced shorter than 1.50 across the best bets and both fixed-odds tables.

On

Nott'm Forest vs Man City betting tips — three best fixed-odds bets

Top rated selections from different markets — game, team or player — so no two are correlated

No rated fixed-odds bets for this fixture.

Nott'm Forest vs Man City spread betting tips — three best positions

One per correlation family (goals, corners, cards, shots …) so the positions move independently

No rated spread bets for this fixture.

Predicted line-ups

Projected starting XI, bench and availability from the team-news model

Nott'm Forest

5-4-1 · Low confidence
  1. 1SelsGKP
  2. 2N.WilliamsDEF
  3. 3MurilloDEF
  4. 4MuñozDEF
  5. 5AinaDEF
  6. 6Jair CunhaDEF
  7. 7NdoyeMID
  8. 8SchlagerMID
  9. 9McAteeMID
  10. 10I.SangaréMID
  11. 11DelapFWD

Bench: Diomande, Gibbs-White, Dominguez, Hudson-Odoi

Doubts: Gibbs-White, Milenković

Out: Igor Jesus, Savona

Full Nott'm Forest predicted XI →

Man City

4-5-1 · Low confidence
  1. 1DonnarummaGKP
  2. 2GuéhiDEF
  3. 3RúbenDEF
  4. 4GvardiolDEF
  5. 5KhusanovDEF
  6. 6AndersonMID
  7. 7NdiayeMID
  8. 8EnzoMID
  9. 9CherkiMID
  10. 10FodenMID
  11. 11HaalandFWD

Bench: Doku, Bouaddi, Lewis, Matheus N.

Doubts: Haaland, O'Reilly, Matheus N., Kovačić

Out: Semenyo

Full Man City predicted XI →

Match spread markets

Model projection versus the Spreadex sell / buy line

Floor → ceilingSignal
Total match goals——2.382.00
0.0
5.0
——77%0NO PRICE
Total match shots——20.019.0
13.0
28.0
——77%0NO PRICE
Total match shots on target——6.35.0
3.0
10.0
——77%0NO PRICE
Total match corners——7.36.0
4.0
11.0
——77%0NO PRICE
Total match cards——3.313.00
1.0
6.0
——77%0NO PRICE
Total match fouls——18.717.0
12.0
26.0
——77%0NO PRICE
Goal supremacy (home)——-0.70-1.00
-3.0
1.0
——77%0NO PRICE
Shot supremacy (home)——-4.2-5.0
-10.1
2.0
——77%0NO PRICE
SOT supremacy (home)——-1.8-1.0
-5.0
1.0
——77%0NO PRICE
Corner supremacy (home)——-0.6-1.0
-4.0
3.0
——77%0NO PRICE
Card supremacy (home)——-0.360.00
-3.0
2.0
——77%0NO PRICE
Home team card minutes——840
0.0
193.1
——77%0NO PRICE
Away team card minutes——1050
0.0
225.0
——77%0NO PRICE
Total match card minutes——1880
46.0
355.0
——77%0NO PRICE
Card minute supremacy (home)——-210
-166.0
121.0
——77%0NO PRICE

Nott'm Forest vs Man City odds — match markets

Model probability versus the priced selection · 1.50+ only

Signal
Match outcome (model price)NFO win——21%4.88—77%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)Draw——26%3.90—77%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)MCI win——54%1.86—77%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)Both teams to score——44%2.30—77%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)Both teams to score - No——56%1.77—77%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)NFO -1 goal handicap——7%15.00—77%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)MCI +1 goal handicap——93%1.07—77%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)NFO draw no bet——28%3.63—77%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)MCI draw no bet——72%1.38—77%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)NFO or draw——46%2.17—77%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)MCI or draw——79%1.26—77%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)NFO or MCI——74%1.34—77%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)NFO clean sheet——23%4.41—77%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)MCI clean sheet——44%2.28—77%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)NFO win to nil——13%7.99—77%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)MCI win to nil——34%2.96—77%0NO PRICE

NFO & MCI player odds

Every priced player selection for this fixture, model probability versus the market · 1.50+ only

No player fixed-odds selections priced for this fixture.

Player spread markets

Player projections against the Spreadex sell / buy lines

No player spread markets priced for this fixture.

Players most likely to be booked

Modelled booking chance from expected fouls, card rate and expected minutes

No card projections published for this fixture yet.

Players most likely to score

Modelled goal chance from expected shots, conversion rate and expected minutes

No goal projections published for this fixture yet.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–114.6%
  • 1–111.3%
  • 0–210.5%

Team news & model notes

Nott'm Forest

Hutchinson (u), Savona (i), Bakwa (u), Igor Jesus (i), Morato (u), Abbott (u)

Man City

Reijnders (u), Alleyne (u), Monga (u), Rodrigo (u), Mukasa (u)

Model updated 20/10/2026, 08:40:56 · no live prices captured

Nott'm Forest vs Man City betting FAQs

Straight answers from the current model run

Who will win Nott'm Forest vs Man City?

Our simulation makes Nott'm Forest 21% to win, the draw 26% and Man City 54%, with 1–2 the projected score.

What is the score prediction for Nott'm Forest vs Man City?

1–2, calculated by rounding expected goals of 0.84 for Nott'm Forest and 1.54 for Man City. The three most likely individual scorelines are listed separately below.

Will both teams score in Nott'm Forest vs Man City?

Both teams to score is 44% on the model, against a total goals projection of 2.38.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Nott'm Forest vs Man City?

Over 2.5 goals runs at 42% across 20,000 simulations, from a total goals projection of 2.38. Under 2.5 is the other side of that price.

How many corners will there be in Nott'm Forest vs Man City?

The model projects 7.3 match corners, making over 7.5 corners 44%. NFO and MCI corner counts are priced separately on the corners board.

How many cards will be shown in Nott'm Forest vs Man City?

We project 3.3 bookings in total, so over 3.5 cards is 42%. The appointed referee's own foul and card rates are built into that number.

When does Nott'm Forest vs Man City kick off?

Nott'm Forest vs Man City kicks off Sat 7 Nov, 17:30 at Nott'm Forest (home). Predicted line-ups, prices and projections on this page refresh automatically as team news lands.