Spurs vs Coventry City Betting Tips, Prediction & Odds
Mon 19 Oct, 19:00 · Gameweek 7 · Spurs (home)
By Clive Smalls · Updated
Predicted score
1–1
12% likely
Spurs vs Coventry City betting tips, prediction and the latest Spurs odds and Coventry City odds for Mon 19 Oct, 19:00 at Spurs (home), updated as prices and team news move.
Our model runs 20,000 simulations of Spurs vs Coventry City at Spurs (home) and settles on TOT 52%, the draw 26% and COV 21%, with 2.31 expected goals in the game and 1–1 the projected score. Both teams to score lands 43% of the time.
The standout price is Under 3.5 Goals at 1/2 — model 79% vs market 67%. On the spreads, sell total match goals at 3.10 is the best-rated position. Every market below — match result, goals, cards, corners, shots and player props — is priced against the same simulation, so you can see where the bookmakers are behind the numbers.
Minimum odds 1.50
Hides every fixed-odds selection priced shorter than 1.50 across the best bets and both fixed-odds tables.
Spurs vs Coventry City betting tips — three best fixed-odds bets
Top rated selections from different markets — game, team or player — so no two are correlated
Under 3.5 Goals
Total match goals
Model 79% vs market 67%
COV clean sheet
Match outcome
Model 24% vs market 15%
TOT clean sheet
Match outcome
Model 44% vs market 40%
Spurs vs Coventry City spread betting tips — three best positions
One per correlation family (goals, corners, cards, shots …) so the positions move independently
SELL Total match goals at 3.10
Total match goals
Model 2.31 (range 0.00–4.00)
SELL Booking supremacy (COV) at 1.00
Booking supremacy (COV)
Model -4.13 (range -31.80–21.20)
SELL Corner supremacy (TOT) at 2.8
Corner supremacy (TOT)
Model 2.5 (range -2.0–7.0)
Recommended bet builders
Model-picked multi-leg selections for this fixture — always check the price with your bookmaker
Best bets builder
The model's top-rated fixed-odds bets for this fixture combined into one ticket.
- 1/2
1.Under 3.5 Goals
Total match goals
Model 79% vs market 67%
- 11/2
2.COV clean sheet
Match outcome
Model 24% vs market 15%
- 6/4
3.TOT clean sheet
Match outcome
Model 44% vs market 40%
Combined price 24.38 · model chance 8.3%
Bookings bet builder
The three players our card model rates most likely to see a yellow in this fixture.
- —
1.van EwijkCOV
van Ewijk to be carded
Player to be Carded
20% modelled booking chance from 1.44 expected fouls
- —
2.ThomasCOV
Thomas to be carded
Player to be Carded
17% modelled booking chance from 1.37 expected fouls
- —
3.Van HeckeTOT
Van Hecke to be carded
Player to be Carded
16% modelled booking chance from 0.75 expected fouls
Combined price — · model chance 0.6%
Predicted line-ups
Projected starting XI, bench and availability from the team-news model
Referee: A Madley
44 matches on record · 22.89 fouls and 3.77 yellows a game (league average 21.94 fouls, 3.9 yellows)
Season by season
| 2026/2027 | 3 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 2025/2026 | 21 | 22.86 | 3.24 | 0.19 |
| 2024/2025 | 20 | 23.2 | 4.3 | 0.05 |
With these two clubs
- Spurs5 games · 11 fouls · 1.4 yellows
- Coventry Cityno matches on record
Players he has booked
No player in either predicted squad has been booked by him in the matches we hold card data for.
Player card history covers 24 of his matches across the last three Premier League seasons.
Match spread markets
Model projection versus the Spreadex sell / buy line
| Floor → ceiling | Signal | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total match goals | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.31 | 2.00 | 0.0 4.0 | 0.79 | 79% | 54% | 72 | SELL |
| Goal supremacy (TOT) | 1.05 | 1.25 | 0.64 | 0.00 | -1.0 3.0 | 0.41 | 74% | 54% | 68 | SELL |
| Booking supremacy (COV) | 1.00 | 5.00 | -4.13 | 0.00 | -31.8 21.2 | 5.13 | 69% | 54% | 65 | SELL |
| Card minute supremacy (COV) | 5 | 30 | -22 | 0 | -173.0 125.0 | 27 | 60% | 54% | 58 | SELL |
| COV card minutes | 100 | 120 | 89 | 0 | 0.0 203.0 | 11 | 64% | 54% | 38 | SELL |
| Corner supremacy (TOT) | 2.8 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 2.0 | -2.0 7.0 | 0.3 | 51% | 54% | 25 | SELL |
| TOT card minutes | 80 | 100 | 111 | 0 | 0.0 236.0 | 11 | 46% | 54% | 24 | BUY |
| Total booking points | 33.00 | 37.00 | 37.31 | 31.80 | 10.6 63.6 | 0.31 | 46% | 54% | 15 | BUY |
| Total match corners | 10.3 | 10.8 | 10.8 | 10.0 | 6.0 16.0 | 0.0 | 50% | 54% | 0 | NO BET |
| Total match card minutes | 190 | 215 | 200 | 0 | 54.0 371.0 | 0 | 52% | 54% | 0 | NO BET |
| Total match shots | — | — | 21.9 | 20.0 | 14.0 30.0 | — | — | 54% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match shots on target | — | — | 6.6 | 6.0 | 3.0 10.0 | — | — | 54% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match fouls | — | — | 22.3 | 21.0 | 14.0 31.0 | — | — | 54% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Shot supremacy (home) | — | — | 4.4 | 5.0 | -2.0 11.0 | — | — | 54% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| SOT supremacy (home) | — | — | 1.6 | 2.0 | -2.0 5.0 | — | — | 54% | 0 | NO PRICE |
Spurs vs Coventry City odds — match markets
Model probability versus the priced selection · 1.50+ only
| Signal | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total match goals | Under 3.5 Goals | 1/21.50 | 67% | 79% | 1.26 | +18.7% | 54% | 73 | BET |
| Total match goals | Under 2.5 Goals | 11/82.38 | 42% | 60% | 1.67 | +42.0% | 54% | 57 | BET |
| Match outcome | Both teams to score - No | 6/52.20 | 45% | 57% | 1.74 | +26.4% | 54% | 54 | BET |
| Total match goals | Under 1.5 Goals | 15/44.75 | 21% | 34% | 2.92 | +62.9% | 54% | 48 | BET |
| Match outcome | COV clean sheet | 11/26.50 | 15% | 24% | 4.20 | +54.8% | 54% | 37 | BET |
| Match outcome | COV or draw | 29/202.45 | 41% | 48% | 2.09 | +17.3% | 54% | 36 | BET |
| Match outcome | COV draw no bet | 10/34.33 | 23% | 29% | 3.43 | +26.2% | 54% | 32 | BET |
| Match outcome | TOT clean sheet | 6/42.50 | 40% | 44% | 2.26 | +10.7% | 54% | 30 | BET |
| Match outcome | Draw | 7/24.50 | 22% | 26% | 3.78 | +19.1% | 54% | 28 | BET |
| Total match corners | Over 9.5 Corners | 8/131.61 | 62% | 61% | 1.65 | -2.0% | 54% | 28 | NO BET |
| Match outcome | COV win to nil | 9/110.00 | 10% | 13% | 7.60 | +31.5% | 54% | 23 | LEAN |
| Total match goals | Under 0.5 Goals | 12/113.00 | 8% | 11% | 9.37 | +38.7% | 54% | 22 | LEAN |
| Total match corners | Under 11.5 Corners | 1/21.50 | 67% | 60% | 1.65 | -9.3% | 54% | 22 | AVOID |
| Total match corners | Over 10.5 Corners | 1/12.00 | 50% | 50% | 2.01 | -0.6% | 54% | 19 | NO BET |
| Total match corners | Over 11.5 Corners | 6/42.50 | 40% | 40% | 2.53 | -1.1% | 54% | 19 | NO BET |
| Total match cards | Over 3.5 Cards | 11/102.10 | 48% | 46% | 2.16 | -3.0% | 54% | 18 | NO BET |
| Total match cards | Under 3.5 Cards | 4/61.67 | 60% | 54% | 1.86 | -10.3% | 54% | 17 | AVOID |
| Total match corners | Over 12.5 Corners | 11/53.20 | 31% | 30% | 3.29 | -2.7% | 54% | 16 | NO BET |
| Total match corners | Over 13.5 Corners | 10/34.33 | 23% | 22% | 4.46 | -2.7% | 54% | 16 | NO BET |
| Match outcome | TOT win to nil | 15/82.88 | 35% | 34% | 2.97 | -3.4% | 54% | 16 | NO BET |
| Total match corners | Over 14.5 Corners | 5/16.00 | 17% | 16% | 6.22 | -3.5% | 54% | 15 | NO BET |
| Total match corners | Under 10.5 Corners | 4/51.80 | 56% | 50% | 1.99 | -9.4% | 54% | 14 | AVOID |
| Total match cards | Over 4.5 Cards | 11/53.20 | 31% | 28% | 3.54 | -9.7% | 54% | 14 | AVOID |
| Total match corners | Over 15.5 Corners | 7/18.00 | 13% | 11% | 8.91 | -10.2% | 54% | 14 | AVOID |
| Total match corners | Under 9.5 Corners | 5/42.25 | 44% | 39% | 2.54 | -11.5% | 54% | 14 | AVOID |
| Total match corners | Under 8.5 Corners | 2/13.00 | 33% | 29% | 3.45 | -13.0% | 54% | 14 | AVOID |
| Total match cards | Under 2.5 Cards | 8/52.60 | 38% | 33% | 3.00 | -13.3% | 54% | 14 | AVOID |
| Total match cards | Over 5.5 Cards | 9/25.50 | 18% | 16% | 6.39 | -14.0% | 54% | 14 | AVOID |
| Total match corners | Over 16.5 Corners | 10/111.00 | 9% | 8% | 13.11 | -16.1% | 54% | 14 | AVOID |
| Total match corners | Over 17.5 Corners | 16/117.00 | 6% | 5% | 20.47 | -17.0% | 54% | 14 | AVOID |
| Total match corners | Under 7.5 Corners | 16/54.20 | 24% | 20% | 5.07 | -17.1% | 54% | 14 | AVOID |
| Total match corners | Under 6.5 Corners | 11/26.50 | 15% | 12% | 8.17 | -20.4% | 54% | 14 | AVOID |
| Total match corners | Over 19.5 Corners | 40/141.00 | 2% | 2% | 53.19 | -22.9% | 54% | 14 | AVOID |
| Total match cards | Under 1.5 Cards | 4/15.00 | 20% | 15% | 6.60 | -24.2% | 54% | 14 | AVOID |
| Match outcome | Both teams to score | 4/61.67 | 60% | 43% | 2.35 | -29.0% | 54% | 14 | AVOID |
| Total match cards | Over 6.5 Cards | 8/19.00 | 11% | 8% | 12.85 | -29.9% | 54% | 14 | AVOID |
| Total match corners | Over 18.5 Corners | 22/123.00 | 4% | 3% | 33.33 | -31.0% | 54% | 14 | AVOID |
| Total match corners | Under 5.5 Corners | 9/110.00 | 10% | 7% | 14.86 | -32.7% | 54% | 14 | AVOID |
| Total match goals | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/71.57 | 64% | 40% | 2.49 | -36.8% | 54% | 14 | AVOID |
| Total match corners | Under 4.5 Corners | 16/117.00 | 6% | 3% | 32.52 | -47.7% | 54% | 14 | AVOID |
| Total match goals | Over 3.5 Goals | 6/42.50 | 40% | 21% | 4.79 | -47.8% | 54% | 14 | AVOID |
| Total match cards | Over 7.5 Cards | 14/115.00 | 7% | 3% | 28.82 | -47.9% | 54% | 14 | AVOID |
| Total match cards | Under 0.5 Cards | 12/113.00 | 8% | 4% | 27.14 | -52.1% | 54% | 14 | AVOID |
| Total match corners | Under 3.5 Corners | 33/134.00 | 3% | 1% | 76.92 | -55.8% | 54% | 14 | AVOID |
| Total match cards | Over 8.5 Cards | 28/129.00 | 3% | 1% | 68.26 | -57.5% | 54% | 14 | AVOID |
| Total match goals | Over 4.5 Goals | 10/34.33 | 23% | 9% | 10.80 | -59.9% | 54% | 14 | AVOID |
| Total match goals | Over 5.5 Goals | 7/18.00 | 13% | 4% | 28.41 | -71.8% | 54% | 14 | AVOID |
| Total match goals | Over 6.5 Goals | 16/117.00 | 6% | 1% | 85.84 | -80.2% | 54% | 14 | AVOID |
| Total match goals | Over 7.5 Goals | 33/134.00 | 3% | 0% | 277.78 | -87.8% | 54% | 14 | AVOID |
| Total match goals | Over 8.5 Goals | 80/181.00 | 1% | 0% | 952.38 | -91.5% | 54% | 14 | AVOID |
| Match outcome (model price) | TOT win | — | — | 52% | 1.92 | — | 54% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | COV win | — | — | 21% | 4.67 | — | 54% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | TOT -1 goal handicap | — | — | 26% | 3.78 | — | 54% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | COV +1 goal handicap | — | — | 74% | 1.36 | — | 54% | 0 | NO PRICE |
TOT & COV player odds
Every priced player selection for this fixture, model probability versus the market · 1.50+ only
No player fixed-odds selections priced for this fixture.
Player spread markets
Player projections against the Spreadex sell / buy lines
No player spread markets priced for this fixture.
Players most likely to be booked
Modelled booking chance from expected fouls, card rate and expected minutes — carded prices appear automatically once the bookmaker opens its player card market (usually a few hours before kick-off)
| Sell / Buy | Signal | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| van EwijkCOV | DEF | 20% | 1.44 | 86% | 22.5 | 7.0 / 11.0 | — | NO BET |
| ThomasCOV | DEF | 17% | 1.37 | 90% | 17.5 | 12.0 / 16.0 | — | NO BET |
| Van HeckeTOT | DEF | 16% | 0.75 | 95% | 13.7 | 11.0 / 15.0 | — | NO BET |
| DasilvaCOV | DEF | 15% | 0.97 | 92% | 15.6 | 7.0 / 11.0 | — | NO BET |
| Van de VenTOT | DEF | 13% | 0.80 | 89% | 12.7 | 9.0 / 13.0 | — | NO BET |
| FernandesTOT | MID | 11% | 0.98 | 85% | 8.6 | 9.0 / 13.0 | — | NO BET |
| GallagherTOT | MID | 11% | 1.23 | 66% | 11.9 | 10.0 / 14.0 | — | NO BET |
| SenesiTOT | DEF | 11% | 0.93 | 83% | 11.3 | 8.0 / 12.0 | — | NO BET |
| HamerCOV | MID | 10% | 1.01 | 72% | 11.7 | 16.0 / 20.0 | — | SELL |
| GrimesCOV | MID | 9% | 0.95 | 81% | 12.1 | 7.0 / 11.0 | — | NO BET |
| YirenkyiCOV | MID | 9% | 0.85 | 75% | 8.7 | 19.0 / 23.0 | — | SELL |
| TonaliTOT | MID | 9% | 0.72 | 92% | 8.7 | 8.0 / 12.0 | — | NO BET |
Players most likely to score
Modelled goal chance from expected shots, conversion rate and expected minutes — anytime scorer prices appear automatically once the bookmaker opens its goalscorer market (usually a few hours before kick-off)
| Sell / Buy | Signal | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MarmoushTOT | FWD | 25% | 0.43 | 71% | 17.6 | 27.0 / 30.0 | — | SELL |
| TelTOT | MID | 15% | 0.26 | 68% | 8.8 | 15.0 / 18.0 | — | SELL |
| Van HeckeTOT | DEF | 13% | 0.15 | 95% | 6.5 | 3.0 / 6.0 | — | NO BET |
| TonaliTOT | MID | 13% | 0.15 | 92% | 6.6 | 5.0 / 8.0 | — | NO BET |
| GallagherTOT | MID | 12% | 0.21 | 66% | 6.7 | 9.0 / 12.0 | — | SELL |
| RudoniCOV | MID | 10% | 0.13 | 83% | 4.2 | 9.0 / 12.0 | — | SELL |
| Thomas-AsanteCOV | FWD | 9% | 0.15 | 66% | 5.9 | 9.0 / 12.0 | — | SELL |
| FernandesTOT | MID | 9% | 0.11 | 85% | 3.5 | 8.0 / 11.0 | — | SELL |
| GrayTOT | MID | 8% | 0.11 | 77% | 4.3 | 2.5 / 5.0 | — | NO BET |
| SolankeTOT | FWD | 6% | 0.33 | 23% | 10.8 | 31.0 / 34.0 | — | SELL |
| GrimesCOV | MID | 6% | 0.08 | 81% | 3.6 | 1.0 / 3.0 | — | NO BET |
| Van de VenTOT | DEF | 6% | 0.07 | 89% | 3.0 | 5.0 / 8.0 | — | SELL |
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.2%
- 1–111.6%
- 0–010.7%
Team news & model notes
Spurs
Pedro Porro (i), Romero (u), Bentancur (s), Scarlett (u), Vicario (u), Spence (u)
Coventry City
Amenda (i), Woolfenden (i)
Model updated 20/10/2026, 08:41:01 · prices 19/10/2026, 11:00:14
Spurs vs Coventry City betting FAQs
Straight answers from the current model run
Who will win Spurs vs Coventry City?
Our simulation makes Spurs 52% to win, the draw 26% and Coventry City 21%, with 1–1 the projected score.
What is the score prediction for Spurs vs Coventry City?
1–1, calculated by rounding expected goals of 1.47 for Spurs and 0.83 for Coventry City. The three most likely individual scorelines are listed separately below.
Will both teams score in Spurs vs Coventry City?
Both teams to score is 43% on the model, against a total goals projection of 2.31.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Spurs vs Coventry City?
Over 2.5 goals runs at 40% across 20,000 simulations, from a total goals projection of 2.31. Under 2.5 is the other side of that price.
How many corners will there be in Spurs vs Coventry City?
The model projects 10.8 match corners, making over 10.5 corners 50%. TOT and COV corner counts are priced separately on the corners board.
How many cards will be shown in Spurs vs Coventry City?
We project 3.5 bookings in total, so over 3.5 cards is 46%. The appointed referee's own foul and card rates are built into that number.
What is the best bet for Spurs vs Coventry City?
Under 3.5 Goals at 1/2 — Model 79% vs market 67%. Always check the current price with your bookmaker before betting.
What is the best spread bet for Spurs vs Coventry City?
SELL Total match goals at 3.10 — Model 2.31 (range 0.00–4.00). Spread bets settle per unit, so losses can exceed your stake.
When does Spurs vs Coventry City kick off?
Spurs vs Coventry City kicks off Mon 19 Oct, 19:00 at Spurs (home). Predicted line-ups, prices and projections on this page refresh automatically as team news lands.