Sunderland vs Chelsea Betting Tips, Prediction & Odds
Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 · Gameweek 10 · Sunderland (home)
By Clive Smalls · Updated
Predicted score
1–1
12% likely
Sunderland vs Chelsea betting tips, prediction and the latest Sunderland odds and Chelsea odds for Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 at Sunderland (home), updated as prices and team news move.
Our model runs 20,000 simulations of Sunderland vs Chelsea at Sunderland (home) and settles on SUN 36%, the draw 27% and CHE 37%, with 2.57 expected goals in the game and 1–1 the projected score. Both teams to score lands 51% of the time.
No fixed-odds selection currently clears the model's value threshold for this fixture. Every market below — match result, goals, cards, corners, shots and player props — is priced against the same simulation, so you can see where the bookmakers are behind the numbers.
Minimum odds 1.50
Hides every fixed-odds selection priced shorter than 1.50 across the best bets and both fixed-odds tables.
Sunderland vs Chelsea betting tips — three best fixed-odds bets
Top rated selections from different markets — game, team or player — so no two are correlated
No rated fixed-odds bets for this fixture.
Sunderland vs Chelsea spread betting tips — three best positions
One per correlation family (goals, corners, cards, shots …) so the positions move independently
No rated spread bets for this fixture.
Predicted line-ups
Projected starting XI, bench and availability from the team-news model
Match spread markets
Model projection versus the Spreadex sell / buy line
| Floor → ceiling | Signal | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total match goals | — | — | 2.57 | 2.00 | 1.0 5.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match shots | — | — | 21.3 | 20.0 | 14.0 29.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match shots on target | — | — | 7.6 | 6.0 | 4.0 12.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match corners | — | — | 8.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 12.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match cards | — | — | 5.00 | 4.00 | 2.0 8.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match fouls | — | — | 21.6 | 20.0 | 14.0 30.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Goal supremacy (home) | — | — | -0.04 | 0.00 | -2.0 2.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Shot supremacy (home) | — | — | 0.9 | 1.0 | -5.0 7.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| SOT supremacy (home) | — | — | 0.9 | 1.0 | -3.0 4.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Corner supremacy (home) | — | — | 0.7 | 1.0 | -3.0 4.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Card supremacy (home) | — | — | -0.53 | 0.00 | -3.0 2.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Home team card minutes | — | — | 127 | 0 | 0.0 262.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Away team card minutes | — | — | 157 | 0 | 25.0 306.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Total match card minutes | — | — | 285 | 0 | 101.0 492.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Card minute supremacy (home) | — | — | -30 | 0 | -210.0 145.0 | — | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
Sunderland vs Chelsea odds — match markets
Model probability versus the priced selection · 1.50+ only
| Signal | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match outcome (model price) | SUN win | — | — | 36% | 2.80 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | Draw | — | — | 27% | 3.72 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | CHE win | — | — | 37% | 2.67 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | Both teams to score | — | — | 51% | 1.95 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | Both teams to score - No | — | — | 49% | 2.05 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | SUN -1 goal handicap | — | — | 16% | 6.41 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | CHE +1 goal handicap | — | — | 84% | 1.18 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | SUN draw no bet | — | — | 49% | 2.05 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | CHE draw no bet | — | — | 51% | 1.95 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | SUN or draw | — | — | 63% | 1.60 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | CHE or draw | — | — | 64% | 1.55 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | SUN or CHE | — | — | 73% | 1.37 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | SUN clean sheet | — | — | 28% | 3.57 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | CHE clean sheet | — | — | 29% | 3.41 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | SUN win to nil | — | — | 20% | 5.13 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
| Match outcome (model price) | CHE win to nil | — | — | 21% | 4.81 | — | 75% | 0 | NO PRICE |
SUN & CHE player odds
Every priced player selection for this fixture, model probability versus the market · 1.50+ only
No player fixed-odds selections priced for this fixture.
Player spread markets
Player projections against the Spreadex sell / buy lines
No player spread markets priced for this fixture.
Players most likely to be booked
Modelled booking chance from expected fouls, card rate and expected minutes
No card projections published for this fixture yet.
Players most likely to score
Modelled goal chance from expected shots, conversion rate and expected minutes
No goal projections published for this fixture yet.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–110.2%
- 1–09.9%
Team news & model notes
Sunderland
Danso (s), Ballard (i), Seelt (u), Masuaku (u), Mundle (i), Adingra (u)
Chelsea
D.Essugo (u), Marc Guiu (u), Sánchez (u), Jörgensen (u), Chalobah (u), B.Badiashile (u)
Model updated 20/10/2026, 12:08:59 · no live prices captured
Sunderland vs Chelsea betting FAQs
Straight answers from the current model run
Who will win Sunderland vs Chelsea?
Our simulation makes Sunderland 36% to win, the draw 27% and Chelsea 37%, with 1–1 the projected score.
What is the score prediction for Sunderland vs Chelsea?
1–1, calculated by rounding expected goals of 1.26 for Sunderland and 1.30 for Chelsea. The three most likely individual scorelines are listed separately below.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Chelsea?
Both teams to score is 51% on the model, against a total goals projection of 2.57.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sunderland vs Chelsea?
Over 2.5 goals runs at 47% across 20,000 simulations, from a total goals projection of 2.57. Under 2.5 is the other side of that price.
How many corners will there be in Sunderland vs Chelsea?
The model projects 8.0 match corners, making over 8.5 corners 41%. SUN and CHE corner counts are priced separately on the corners board.
How many cards will be shown in Sunderland vs Chelsea?
We project 5.0 bookings in total, so over 5.5 cards is 38%. The appointed referee's own foul and card rates are built into that number.
When does Sunderland vs Chelsea kick off?
Sunderland vs Chelsea kicks off Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 at Sunderland (home). Predicted line-ups, prices and projections on this page refresh automatically as team news lands.