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PNG v Jersey betting tips, prediction & odds

ODI · ODI · Thursday 22 October at 07:30

Odds updated (UK time) · full refresh every day at 08:00, then hourly

Our cricket model has not produced a projection for this match yet — usually because we do not hold enough ball-by-ball history for these teams in this format. Live prices for this match are on the cricket board.

Team news & expected XI

Official team sheets are used the moment they are published. Until then each XI is the model's own selection read: who this side has picked in this format, where they batted and how many overs they bowled. Form figures are exponentially weighted over the last year, so recent matches count for more.

PNG

No selection history

No expected XI: we have no recorded selection history for this side in this format.

No squad has been named for this side in this format in our records.

Jersey

Expected XI from selection history
OrderPlayerRolePlaysForm runsOvers
1H Carlyonall-rounder97%31.4@ 87.57.5
2NA Greenwoodbatter97%8.7@ 53.00.0
3JAD Lawrensonbatter97%44.0@ 84.20.0
4AM Tribebatter97%58.3@ 75.41.0
5DG Blampiedall-rounder72%3.5@ 53.84.3
6JW Jennerbatter97%29.6@ 69.90.0
7JE Dunfordbatter97%2.0@ 35.30.0
8B Wardbowler97%17.3@ 65.17.5
9BDH Stevensbowler28%1.0@ 20.03.0
10J Sumerauerbowler97%28.0@ 115.29.8
11CW Perchardbowler97%10.3@ 91.08.8
12D Birrellbowler28%0.0@ 0.010.0
13EJB Milesbowler72%0.5@ 14.16.7
Last named squad (United Arab Emirates v Jersey, 2023-04-05): AM Tribe, B Ward, BDH Stevens, CW Perchard, D Birrell, H Carlyon, J Sumerauer, JAD Lawrenson, JE Dunford, JW Jenner, NA Greenwood

Pitch & ground

Gymkhana Club Ground, Nairobi, Kenya

ODI average across all grounds

Average 1st innings
237.8
Average 2nd innings
198.3
Runs per over
5.11
Boundary balls
903%
Pace economy
5.35
Spin economy
4.95
Powerplay RPO
4.69
Death RPO
6.92
Chasing wins
5144%
Batting first wins
4856%
Matches counted
867

Weather at the start

Temperature
22.9°C
Rain chance
0%
Cloud cover
0%
Humidity
56%
Wind
9.3 kph
Interruption risk
0%
Swing conditions
28%
Dew risk
6%

Forecast for the ground's coordinates at the scheduled start, taken 21/10/2026, 12:09:09. Swing and dew are read from cloud, humidity and the temperature–dew point gap.

What we could not source

  • · PNG: we have no selection history for this side in ODI, so no expected XI is shown.
  • · Pitch numbers shown are the format-wide average because this ground has no stored record.

Every live spread market

The full set of Spreadex spread lines currently priced on this match, exactly as captured. Sell below the lower figure, buy above the higher one. Where the simulation covers a market we show its expected makeup beside the price, the side that implies and the edge in points per £1 a point — comparisons, not tips, until the format clears backtesting.

Odds updated (UK time) · captured hourly from the live market

Match Result

Papua New Guinea to win match2129———
Jersey to win match71.878.2———

More ODI spread markets across every priced match.

How these projections are built

The model simulates the match ball by ball from historical delivery data: expected line-ups and batting positions, opposition bowling attack, venue scoring and format baselines. Each figure is the output of those simulations, never an estimate written by hand. Track its settled record on the cricket model performance page, and see the live prices on the cricket betting hub.