A Balbirnie betting stats, splits & projections
Batter
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | ODI | 38 | 1193 | 1648 | 34.1 | 72.4 | 7.8 | 56.9 | HIGH |
| overall | T20 | 52 | 1256 | 996 | 25.6 | 126.1 | 17.4 | 42.2 | HIGH |
| overall | TEST | 10 | 429 | 842 | 21.4 | 51.0 | 6.3 | 72.8 | HIGH |
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 114 | 278 | 9.5 | 41.0 | 5.8 | 78.4 | MEDIUM |
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 36 | 34 | 0 | 5.7 | — | LOW |
Why we like it
Splits where A Balbirnie scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Opposition: Zimbabwe (ODI)HIGH sample
364 runs off 464 balls in 9 ODI matches — strike rate 78.4 vs 72.4 overall, average 45.5 vs 34.1 overall.
- Venue: Harare Sports Club (ODI)HIGH sample
278 runs off 358 balls in 6 ODI matches — strike rate 77.7 vs 72.4 overall, average 55.6 vs 34.1 overall.
- Bowling type: SPIN (ODI)HIGH sample
510 runs off 636 balls in 21 ODI matches — strike rate 80.2 vs 72.4 overall, average 102.0 vs 34.1 overall.
- Phase: middle (ODI)HIGH sample
886 runs off 1118 balls in 20 ODI matches — strike rate 79.2 vs 72.4 overall, average 63.3 vs 34.1 overall.
- Phase: old_ball (TEST)HIGH sample
274 runs off 574 balls in 7 TEST matches — strike rate 47.7 vs 51.0 overall, average 34.3 vs 21.4 overall.
- Phase: middle (T20)HIGH sample
462 runs off 334 balls in 25 T20 matches — strike rate 138.3 vs 126.1 overall, average 28.9 vs 25.6 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
- Bowling type: PACE (ODI)HIGH sample
551 runs off 838 balls in 38 ODI matches — strike rate 65.8 vs 72.4 overall, average 22.0 vs 34.1 overall.
- Phase: powerplay (T20)HIGH sample
707 runs off 608 balls in 49 T20 matches — strike rate 116.3 vs 126.1 overall, average 26.2 vs 25.6 overall.
- Phase: powerplay (ODI)HIGH sample
260 runs off 489 balls in 32 ODI matches — strike rate 53.2 vs 72.4 overall, average 14.4 vs 34.1 overall.
- Opposition: Bangladesh (ODI)MEDIUM sample
111 runs off 174 balls in 5 ODI matches — strike rate 63.8 vs 72.4 overall, average 22.2 vs 34.1 overall.
- Opposition: Netherlands (ODI)MEDIUM sample
80 runs off 159 balls in 3 ODI matches — strike rate 50.3 vs 72.4 overall, average 40.0 vs 34.1 overall.
- Venue: Sportpark Maarschalkerweerd, Utrecht (ODI)MEDIUM sample
80 runs off 159 balls in 3 ODI matches — strike rate 50.3 vs 72.4 overall, average 40.0 vs 34.1 overall.
Current projections
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| Zimbabwe | ODI | 9 | 364 | 464 | 45.5 | 78.4 | 8.2 | 53.4 | HIGH |
| South Africa | ODI | 6 | 240 | 318 | 40.0 | 75.5 | 8.5 | 55.3 | HIGH |
| Sri Lanka | TEST | 2 | 151 | 284 | 37.8 | 53.2 | 7.4 | 72.5 | MEDIUM |
| West Indies | ODI | 3 | 186 | 239 | 62.0 | 77.8 | 8.8 | 55.2 | MEDIUM |
| Zimbabwe | TEST | 2 | 98 | 222 | 24.5 | 44.1 | 3.2 | 71.2 | MEDIUM |
| Bangladesh | TEST | 3 | 91 | 208 | 15.2 | 43.8 | 4.8 | 76.0 | MEDIUM |
| Sussex | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 66 | 188 | 16.5 | 35.1 | 4.3 | 78.7 | MEDIUM |
| Bangladesh | ODI | 5 | 111 | 174 | 22.2 | 63.8 | 7.5 | 60.3 | MEDIUM |
| United Arab Emirates | ODI | 3 | 122 | 160 | 40.7 | 76.3 | 6.9 | 53.1 | MEDIUM |
| Netherlands | ODI | 3 | 80 | 159 | 40.0 | 50.3 | 5.0 | 70.4 | MEDIUM |
| Zimbabwe | T20 | 7 | 103 | 103 | 14.7 | 100.0 | 14.6 | 55.3 | LOW |
| India | T20 | 5 | 141 | 100 | 28.2 | 141.0 | 21.0 | 47.0 | LOW |
| Pakistan | T20 | 4 | 128 | 98 | 32.0 | 130.6 | 20.4 | 44.9 | LOW |
| England | TEST | 2 | 62 | 89 | 15.5 | 69.7 | 12.4 | 74.2 | LOW |
| Gloucestershire | T20 | 2 | 111 | 64 | 111.0 | 173.4 | 25.0 | 21.9 | LOW |
| Scotland | T20 | 3 | 74 | 61 | 24.7 | 121.3 | 14.8 | 34.4 | LOW |
| United States of America | ODI | 1 | 45 | 58 | — | 77.6 | 8.6 | 48.3 | LOW |
| New Zealand | T20 | 4 | 62 | 58 | 15.5 | 106.9 | 13.8 | 51.7 | LOW |
| Oman | T20 | 2 | 87 | 58 | 87.0 | 150.0 | 22.4 | 31.0 | LOW |
| Yorkshire | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 42 | 56 | 10.5 | 75.0 | 14.3 | 67.9 | LOW |
| United Arab Emirates | T20 | 3 | 65 | 50 | 21.7 | 130.0 | 16.0 | 40.0 | LOW |
| England | T20 | 1 | 62 | 47 | 62.0 | 131.9 | 14.9 | 34.0 | LOW |
| Northamptonshire | T20 | 2 | 63 | 46 | 63.0 | 137.0 | 13.0 | 19.6 | LOW |
| New Zealand | TEST | 1 | 27 | 39 | 13.5 | 69.2 | 10.3 | 64.1 | LOW |
| Denmark | T20 | 1 | 53 | 38 | 53.0 | 139.5 | 18.4 | 39.5 | LOW |
| Northamptonshire | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 6 | 34 | 1.5 | 17.6 | 0.0 | 94.1 | LOW |
| Birmingham Bears | T20 | 2 | 35 | 34 | 17.5 | 102.9 | 11.8 | 38.2 | LOW |
Bowling
| Northamptonshire | FIRST_CLASS | 36 | 34 | 0 | 5.7 | — | LOW |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| Harare Sports Club | ODI | 6 | 278 | 358 | 55.6 | 77.7 | 7.8 | 52.5 | HIGH |
| Galle International Stadium | TEST | 2 | 151 | 284 | 37.8 | 53.2 | 7.4 | 72.5 | MEDIUM |
| The Village, Malahide, Dublin | ODI | 6 | 185 | 237 | 30.8 | 78.1 | 8.4 | 51.9 | MEDIUM |
| Sophia Gardens, Cardiff | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 66 | 188 | 16.5 | 35.1 | 4.3 | 78.7 | MEDIUM |
| Queens Sports Club, Bulawayo | TEST | 1 | 75 | 170 | 37.5 | 44.1 | 2.4 | 69.4 | MEDIUM |
| Sportpark Maarschalkerweerd, Utrecht | ODI | 3 | 80 | 159 | 40.0 | 50.3 | 5.0 | 70.4 | MEDIUM |
| Castle Avenue, Dublin | ODI | 2 | 115 | 145 | 57.5 | 79.3 | 9.0 | 55.2 | MEDIUM |
| County Ground, Chelmsford | ODI | 3 | 100 | 144 | 33.3 | 69.4 | 8.3 | 57.6 | MEDIUM |
| Shere Bangla National Stadium, Mirpur | TEST | 2 | 53 | 141 | 13.3 | 37.6 | 3.5 | 79.4 | MEDIUM |
| Al Amerat Cricket Ground Oman Cricket (Ministry Turf 1) | T20 | 6 | 191 | 133 | 38.2 | 143.6 | 19.5 | 35.3 | MEDIUM |
| Zayed Cricket Stadium, Abu Dhabi | ODI | 3 | 66 | 108 | 22.0 | 61.1 | 7.4 | 67.6 | LOW |
| Bulawayo Athletic Club | ODI | 2 | 73 | 107 | 36.5 | 68.2 | 5.6 | 57.0 | LOW |
| Civil Service Cricket Club, Stormont, Belfast | ODI | 3 | 86 | 106 | 28.7 | 81.1 | 9.4 | 56.6 | LOW |
| Harare Sports Club | T20 | 6 | 100 | 99 | 16.7 | 101.0 | 15.2 | 55.6 | LOW |
| Castle Avenue, Dublin | T20 | 3 | 128 | 95 | 42.7 | 134.7 | 21.1 | 43.2 | LOW |
| Sabina Park, Kingston, Jamaica | ODI | 1 | 71 | 94 | 71.0 | 75.5 | 8.5 | 55.3 | LOW |
| Civil Service Cricket Club, Stormont, Belfast | TEST | 2 | 50 | 91 | 12.5 | 54.9 | 7.7 | 71.4 | LOW |
| Lord's | TEST | 1 | 60 | 79 | 30.0 | 75.9 | 13.9 | 72.2 | LOW |
| Sophia Gardens | T20 | 4 | 115 | 74 | 57.5 | 155.4 | 20.3 | 21.6 | LOW |
| Sheikh Zayed Stadium | ODI | 2 | 56 | 72 | 28.0 | 77.8 | 6.9 | 50.0 | LOW |
| Sportpark Westvliet, The Hague | T20 | 3 | 72 | 71 | 24.0 | 101.4 | 11.3 | 42.3 | LOW |
| Edgbaston | T20 | 2 | 88 | 67 | 44.0 | 131.3 | 13.4 | 23.9 | LOW |
| Sylhet International Cricket Stadium | TEST | 1 | 38 | 67 | 19.0 | 56.7 | 7.5 | 68.7 | LOW |
| Takashinga Sports Club, Highfield, Harare | ODI | 2 | 46 | 63 | 46.0 | 73.0 | 7.9 | 50.8 | LOW |
| Headingley, Leeds | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 42 | 56 | 10.5 | 75.0 | 14.3 | 67.9 | LOW |
| Malahide, Dublin | T20 | 2 | 76 | 53 | 38.0 | 143.4 | 18.9 | 37.7 | LOW |
| Goldenacre, Edinburgh | T20 | 2 | 51 | 48 | 25.5 | 106.3 | 16.7 | 54.2 | LOW |
| Melbourne Cricket Ground | T20 | 1 | 62 | 47 | 62.0 | 131.9 | 14.9 | 34.0 | LOW |
| Bellerive Oval, Hobart | T20 | 4 | 55 | 44 | 13.8 | 125.0 | 18.2 | 50.0 | LOW |
| Grange Cricket Club Ground, Raeburn Place, Edinburgh | T20 | 2 | 57 | 41 | 28.5 | 139.0 | 19.5 | 41.5 | LOW |
| The Village, Malahide, Dublin | T20 | 2 | 60 | 37 | 30.0 | 162.2 | 27.0 | 51.4 | LOW |
| County Ground, Northampton | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 6 | 34 | 1.5 | 17.6 | 0.0 | 94.1 | LOW |
| Al Amerat Cricket Ground Oman Cricket (Ministry Turf 2) | T20 | 2 | 45 | 34 | 22.5 | 132.4 | 20.6 | 38.2 | LOW |
| Civil Service Cricket Club, Stormont, Belfast | T20 | 3 | 32 | 33 | 10.7 | 97.0 | 15.2 | 54.5 | LOW |
| Sylhet International Cricket Stadium | ODI | 2 | 11 | 30 | 5.5 | 36.7 | 3.3 | 73.3 | LOW |
Bowling
| County Ground, Northampton | FIRST_CLASS | 36 | 34 | 0 | 5.7 | — | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | ODI | 30 | 859 | 1218 | 30.7 | 70.5 | 7.8 | 58.6 | HIGH |
| Unknown | TEST | 10 | 429 | 842 | 21.4 | 51.0 | 6.3 | 72.8 | HIGH |
| Unknown | T20 | 38 | 924 | 736 | 25.0 | 125.5 | 17.5 | 44.0 | HIGH |
| Zimbabwe | ODI | 6 | 278 | 358 | 55.6 | 77.7 | 7.8 | 52.5 | HIGH |
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 114 | 278 | 9.5 | 41.0 | 5.8 | 78.4 | MEDIUM |
| United Kingdom | T20 | 7 | 215 | 151 | 43.0 | 142.4 | 17.2 | 25.2 | MEDIUM |
| Zimbabwe | T20 | 6 | 100 | 99 | 16.7 | 101.0 | 15.2 | 55.6 | LOW |
| United Arab Emirates | ODI | 2 | 56 | 72 | 28.0 | 77.8 | 6.9 | 50.0 | LOW |
Bowling
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 36 | 34 | 0 | 5.7 | — | LOW |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| middle | ODI | 20 | 886 | 1118 | 63.3 | 79.2 | 7.6 | 50.0 | HIGH |
| powerplay | T20 | 49 | 707 | 608 | 26.2 | 116.3 | 18.3 | 52.1 | HIGH |
| old_ball | TEST | 7 | 274 | 574 | 34.3 | 47.7 | 5.6 | 72.6 | HIGH |
| powerplay | ODI | 32 | 260 | 489 | 14.4 | 53.2 | 7.6 | 73.6 | HIGH |
| middle | T20 | 25 | 462 | 334 | 28.9 | 138.3 | 15.0 | 25.7 | HIGH |
| new_ball | TEST | 10 | 155 | 268 | 12.9 | 57.8 | 7.8 | 73.1 | MEDIUM |
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 64 | 186 | 8.0 | 34.4 | 3.2 | 79.6 | MEDIUM |
| new_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 50 | 92 | 12.5 | 54.3 | 10.9 | 76.1 | LOW |
| death | T20 | 9 | 87 | 54 | 14.5 | 161.1 | 22.2 | 31.5 | LOW |
| death | ODI | 4 | 47 | 41 | 15.7 | 114.6 | 14.6 | 46.3 | LOW |
Bowling
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 36 | 34 | 0 | 5.7 | — | LOW |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| PACE | ODI | 38 | 551 | 838 | 22.0 | 65.8 | 8.6 | 65.3 | HIGH |
| SPIN | ODI | 21 | 510 | 636 | 102.0 | 80.2 | 7.1 | 47.8 | HIGH |
| PACE | T20 | 50 | 785 | 613 | 26.2 | 128.1 | 18.9 | 46.5 | HIGH |
| PACE | TEST | 10 | 251 | 431 | 20.9 | 58.2 | 7.9 | 71.0 | HIGH |
| SPIN | TEST | 7 | 178 | 411 | 22.3 | 43.3 | 4.6 | 74.7 | HIGH |
| SPIN | T20 | 28 | 402 | 319 | 30.9 | 126.0 | 15.4 | 33.9 | HIGH |
| PACE | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 98 | 232 | 12.3 | 42.2 | 6.9 | 79.3 | MEDIUM |
| UNKNOWN | ODI | 15 | 132 | 174 | 26.4 | 75.9 | 6.3 | 50.0 | MEDIUM |
| UNKNOWN | T20 | 17 | 69 | 64 | 11.5 | 107.8 | 12.5 | 42.2 | LOW |
| SPIN | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 10 | 32 | 5.0 | 31.3 | 0.0 | 68.8 | LOW |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.