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A Capsey betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT2052105385923.4122.617.338.9HIGH
overallLIST_A1837649825.175.58.455.2HIGH
overallODI2034342920.280.09.356.2HIGH
overallTEST1304815.062.58.372.9LOW
overallLIST_A497384154.625.6HIGH
overallODI358283124.723.6MEDIUM
overallT2015618967.331.5MEDIUM

Why we like it

Splits where A Capsey scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: New Zealand (T20)MEDIUM sample

    306 runs off 264 balls in 11 T20 matches — strike rate 115.9 vs 122.6 overall, average 34.0 vs 23.4 overall.

  • Opposition: Sunrisers (LIST A)MEDIUM sample

    148 runs off 158 balls in 4 LIST A matches — strike rate 93.7 vs 75.5 overall, average 74.0 vs 25.1 overall.

  • Venue: Kent County Cricket Ground, Beckenham (LIST A)MEDIUM sample

    199 runs off 229 balls in 8 LIST A matches — strike rate 86.9 vs 75.5 overall, average 33.2 vs 25.1 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (T20)MEDIUM sample

    366 runs off 289 balls in 42 T20 matches — strike rate 126.6 vs 122.6 overall, average 33.3 vs 23.4 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    129 runs off 128 balls in 15 ODI matches — strike rate 100.8 vs 80.0 overall, average 43.0 vs 20.2 overall.

  • Opposition: Lightning (LIST A)LOW sample

    78 runs off 73 balls in 1 LIST A match — strike rate 106.8 vs 75.5 overall, not yet dismissed vs 25.1 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: Southern Vipers (LIST A)MEDIUM sample

    66 runs off 123 balls in 5 LIST A matches — strike rate 53.7 vs 75.5 overall, average 13.2 vs 25.1 overall.

  • Venue: Edgbaston, Birmingham (T20)MEDIUM sample

    143 runs off 128 balls in 7 T20 matches — strike rate 111.7 vs 122.6 overall, average 20.4 vs 23.4 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    163 runs off 248 balls in 19 ODI matches — strike rate 65.7 vs 80.0 overall, average 14.8 vs 20.2 overall.

  • Phase: middle (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    167 runs off 282 balls in 16 ODI matches — strike rate 59.2 vs 80.0 overall, average 13.9 vs 20.2 overall.

  • Phase: powerplay (LIST A)MEDIUM sample

    62 runs off 122 balls in 11 LIST A matches — strike rate 50.8 vs 75.5 overall, average 12.4 vs 25.1 overall.

  • Opposition: Australia (ODI)LOW sample

    65 runs off 110 balls in 6 ODI matches — strike rate 59.1 vs 80.0 overall, average 10.8 vs 20.2 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

New ZealandT201130626434.0115.915.541.3MEDIUM
IndiaT201526821320.6125.816.433.8MEDIUM
SunrisersLIST_A414815874.093.710.148.7MEDIUM
Southern VipersLIST_A56612313.253.75.764.2MEDIUM
AustraliaODI66511010.859.18.267.3LOW
PakistanODI28310783.077.66.550.5LOW
Sri LankaT2041078735.7123.016.135.6LOW
South AfricaT205957619.0125.021.143.4LOW
LightningLIST_A17873—106.811.035.6LOW
IndiaODI3637221.087.513.956.9LOW
Western StormLIST_A423615.837.74.977.0LOW
AustraliaT205836016.6138.318.333.3LOW
New ZealandODI3415920.569.55.162.7LOW
West IndiesODI4775625.7137.516.132.1LOW
PakistanT204434914.387.814.357.1LOW
IndiaTEST1304815.062.58.372.9LOW
West IndiesT204464215.3109.514.338.1LOW
Central SparksLIST_A1263326.078.86.139.4LOW
Northern DiamondsLIST_A1213121.067.79.761.3LOW

Bowling

SunrisersLIST_A1328944.022.3LOW
AustraliaODI1329644.424.0LOW
Southern VipersLIST_A1029015.390.0LOW
Western StormLIST_A896364.210.5LOW
West IndiesODI766845.417.0LOW
ThunderLIST_A603223.216.0LOW
South AfricaODI555926.429.5LOW
LightningLIST_A545526.127.5LOW
IndiaT20548109.0—LOW
New ZealandODI474215.442.0LOW
Sri LankaT20424626.623.0LOW
Central SparksLIST_A363305.5—LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Kent County Cricket Ground, BeckenhamLIST_A819922933.286.910.048.9MEDIUM
Edgbaston, BirminghamT20714312820.4111.716.443.0MEDIUM
Lord's, LondonT2041229130.5134.117.631.9LOW
County Ground, DerbyODI2688434.081.06.046.4LOW
County Ground, DerbyT2041128256.0136.620.736.6LOW
St Lawrence Ground, CanterburyT202897989.0112.711.434.2LOW
County Ground, ChelmsfordLIST_A2737573.097.312.056.0LOW
County Ground, BristolODI2756475.0117.215.646.9LOW
Kennington Oval, LondonLIST_A2366218.058.16.561.3LOW
County Ground, BristolT203715735.5124.614.024.6LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonT202505425.092.611.151.9LOW
County Ground, HoveLIST_A218489.037.52.170.8LOW
Lord's, LondonTEST1304815.062.58.372.9LOW
County Ground, HoveT203824727.3174.525.523.4LOW
The Cooper Associates County Ground, TauntonT201824382.0190.727.914.0LOW
County Ground, ChelmsfordODI13942—92.99.547.6LOW
Wankhede Stadium, MumbaiT203323810.784.213.263.2LOW
St Lawrence Ground, CanterburyODI1393639.0108.316.744.4LOW
Junction Oval, MelbourneODI1143514.040.05.777.1LOW
County Ground, New Road, WorcesterLIST_A1263326.078.86.139.4LOW
County Ground, NorthamptonT201313331.093.915.254.5LOW
Sharjah Cricket StadiumT202283314.084.812.154.5LOW
Headingley, LeedsLIST_A1213121.067.79.761.3LOW
Boland Park, PaarlT202643132.0206.545.235.5LOW

Bowling

Kent County Cricket Ground, BeckenhamLIST_A18014874.921.1MEDIUM
County Ground, BristolLIST_A896364.210.5LOW
County Ground, ChelmsfordLIST_A844913.549.0LOW
County Ground, BristolODI725014.250.0LOW
County Ground, HoveLIST_A604914.949.0LOW
Senwes Park, PotchefstroomODI555926.429.5LOW
Grace Road, LeicesterODI524134.713.7LOW
Junction Oval, MelbourneODI422233.17.3LOW
County Ground, New Road, WorcesterLIST_A363305.5—LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT2050102582623.8124.117.638.3HIGH
UnknownLIST_A1837649825.175.58.455.2HIGH
UnknownODI2034342920.280.09.356.2HIGH
UnknownTEST1304815.062.58.372.9LOW
United Arab EmiratesT202283314.084.812.154.5LOW

Bowling

UnknownLIST_A497384154.625.6HIGH
UnknownODI358283124.723.6MEDIUM
UnknownT2015618967.331.5MEDIUM

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

middleT203253642824.4125.215.031.8HIGH
powerplayT204044136527.6120.821.148.5HIGH
middleLIST_A1328134828.180.78.651.1HIGH
middleODI1616728213.959.25.061.7MEDIUM
powerplayLIST_A116212212.450.87.473.0MEDIUM
deathODI4797626.3103.910.540.8LOW
powerplayODI7977148.5136.625.450.7LOW
deathT2010766610.9115.212.131.8LOW
old_ballTEST1304515.066.78.971.1LOW

Bowling

middleLIST_A383269144.219.2HIGH
middleODI336265104.726.5MEDIUM
middleT2013815666.826.0LOW
deathLIST_A726415.364.0LOW
powerplayLIST_A425107.3—LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

SPINT204558347720.8122.215.736.5HIGH
SPINLIST_A1623831623.875.37.952.5HIGH
PACET204236628933.3126.621.142.2MEDIUM
SPINODI1916324814.865.74.857.7MEDIUM
PACELIST_A129913519.873.38.960.7MEDIUM
PACEODI1512912843.0100.815.654.7MEDIUM
UNKNOWNT20191049317.3111.814.040.9LOW
UNKNOWNODI8515317.096.215.152.8LOW
UNKNOWNLIST_A43947—83.010.657.4LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.