A Ferguson betting stats, splits & projections
Batter
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | T20 | 20 | 356 | 401 | 25.4 | 88.8 | 9.7 | 47.1 | HIGH |
Why we like it
Splits where A Ferguson scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Venue: Belgrano Athletic Club Ground, Buenos Aires (T20)MEDIUM sample
142 runs off 145 balls in 4 T20 matches — strike rate 97.9 vs 88.8 overall, average 47.3 vs 25.4 overall.
- Bowling type: PACE (T20)MEDIUM sample
170 runs off 182 balls in 16 T20 matches — strike rate 93.4 vs 88.8 overall, average 34.0 vs 25.4 overall.
- Opposition: Mexico (T20)LOW sample
88 runs off 83 balls in 4 T20 matches — strike rate 106.0 vs 88.8 overall, average 44.0 vs 25.4 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
- Opposition: Panama (T20)LOW sample
52 runs off 69 balls in 2 T20 matches — strike rate 75.4 vs 88.8 overall, average 26.0 vs 25.4 overall.
- Opposition: Cayman Islands (T20)LOW sample
56 runs off 65 balls in 4 T20 matches — strike rate 86.2 vs 88.8 overall, average 14.0 vs 25.4 overall.
- Venue: Hurlingham Club Ground, Buenos Aires (T20)LOW sample
71 runs off 100 balls in 5 T20 matches — strike rate 71.0 vs 88.8 overall, average 23.7 vs 25.4 overall.
- Venue: St Albans Club, Buenos Aires (T20)LOW sample
68 runs off 79 balls in 4 T20 matches — strike rate 86.1 vs 88.8 overall, average 17.0 vs 25.4 overall.
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| Bermuda | T20 | 4 | 99 | 105 | 24.8 | 94.3 | 12.4 | 50.5 | LOW |
| Mexico | T20 | 4 | 88 | 83 | 44.0 | 106.0 | 12.0 | 36.1 | LOW |
| Panama | T20 | 2 | 52 | 69 | 26.0 | 75.4 | 5.8 | 52.2 | LOW |
| Cayman Islands | T20 | 4 | 56 | 65 | 14.0 | 86.2 | 10.8 | 47.7 | LOW |
| Brazil | T20 | 2 | 32 | 39 | 32.0 | 82.1 | 5.1 | 43.6 | LOW |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| Belgrano Athletic Club Ground, Buenos Aires | T20 | 4 | 142 | 145 | 47.3 | 97.9 | 13.1 | 45.5 | MEDIUM |
| Hurlingham Club Ground, Buenos Aires | T20 | 5 | 71 | 100 | 23.7 | 71.0 | 5.0 | 51.0 | LOW |
| St Albans Club, Buenos Aires | T20 | 4 | 68 | 79 | 17.0 | 86.1 | 6.3 | 46.8 | LOW |
| Jimmy Powell Oval, Cayman Islands | T20 | 5 | 44 | 44 | 11.0 | 100.0 | 15.9 | 52.3 | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | T20 | 20 | 356 | 401 | 25.4 | 88.8 | 9.7 | 47.1 | HIGH |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| middle | T20 | 14 | 185 | 201 | 26.4 | 92.0 | 8.0 | 40.8 | MEDIUM |
| powerplay | T20 | 13 | 127 | 152 | 31.8 | 83.6 | 13.2 | 59.2 | MEDIUM |
| death | T20 | 7 | 44 | 48 | 14.7 | 91.7 | 6.3 | 35.4 | LOW |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| PACE | T20 | 16 | 170 | 182 | 34.0 | 93.4 | 12.1 | 47.3 | MEDIUM |
| SPIN | T20 | 17 | 124 | 150 | 17.7 | 82.7 | 7.3 | 47.3 | MEDIUM |
| UNKNOWN | T20 | 9 | 62 | 69 | 31.0 | 89.9 | 8.7 | 46.4 | LOW |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.