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AA Navicha betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT201729824824.8120.214.146.0MEDIUM
overallT20204308129.125.7MEDIUM

Why we like it

Splits where AA Navicha scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Venue: Malkerns Country Club oval (T20)MEDIUM sample

    201 runs off 128 balls in 9 T20 matches — strike rate 157.0 vs 120.2 overall, average 28.7 vs 24.8 overall.

  • Opposition: Eswatini (T20)LOW sample

    153 runs off 101 balls in 7 T20 matches — strike rate 151.5 vs 120.2 overall, average 25.5 vs 24.8 overall.

  • Phase: death (T20)LOW sample

    106 runs off 69 balls in 9 T20 matches — strike rate 153.6 vs 120.2 overall, average 21.2 vs 24.8 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Phase: middle (T20)MEDIUM sample

    179 runs off 163 balls in 12 T20 matches — strike rate 109.8 vs 120.2 overall, average 25.6 vs 24.8 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (T20)LOW sample

    129 runs off 105 balls in 15 T20 matches — strike rate 122.9 vs 120.2 overall, average 14.3 vs 24.8 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (T20)LOW sample

    73 runs off 68 balls in 10 T20 matches — strike rate 107.4 vs 120.2 overall, average 73.0 vs 24.8 overall.

Current projections

Lesotho v Mozambique
World T20 Qualifier
8.2 runs
median 0 · 90th percentile 27 · plays 97% · 11 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

EswatiniT20715310125.5151.522.848.5LOW
GambiaT202333233.0103.16.337.5LOW

Bowling

EswatiniT20132205109.320.5LOW
LesothoT203663010.5—LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Malkerns Country Club ovalT20920112828.7157.023.446.1MEDIUM
Gymkhana Club Ground, NairobiT202403840.0105.37.934.2LOW
Ruaraka Sports Club Ground, NairobiT202333533.094.35.742.9LOW

Bowling

Malkerns Country Club ovalT20168268109.626.8MEDIUM
Gymkhana Club Ground, NairobiT20364026.720.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT201729824824.8120.214.146.0MEDIUM

Bowling

UnknownT20204308129.125.7MEDIUM

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

middleT201217916325.6109.814.750.3MEDIUM
deathT2091066921.2153.613.033.3LOW

Bowling

middleT209614749.236.8LOW
deathT20639068.615.0LOW
powerplayT20457129.535.5LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACET201512910514.3122.915.249.5LOW
UNKNOWNT209967548.0128.014.740.0LOW
SPINT2010736873.0107.411.847.1LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.