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AAP Atkinson betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS50904168016.753.87.571.1HIGH
overallTEST1956885319.666.68.666.9HIGH
overallT202610911312.196.58.037.2LOW
overallODI81047617.3136.823.744.7LOW
overallLIST_A2755337.5141.520.843.4LOW
overallHUNDRED4242212.0109.113.636.4LOW
overallFIRST_CLASS799643101543.228.0HIGH
overallTEST32831964803.624.6HIGH
overallT2011331639718.723.1HIGH
overallODI472527136.740.5HIGH
overallHUNDRED329497229.122.6MEDIUM
overallLIST_A14417457.334.8LOW

Why we like it

Splits where AAP Atkinson scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Northamptonshire (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    220 runs off 522 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 42.1 vs 53.8 overall, average 55.0 vs 16.7 overall.

  • Venue: Kennington Oval, London (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    536 runs off 820 balls in 22 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 65.4 vs 53.8 overall, average 24.4 vs 16.7 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    612 runs off 988 balls in 46 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 61.9 vs 53.8 overall, average 17.0 vs 16.7 overall.

  • Opposition: Somerset (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    168 runs off 252 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 66.7 vs 53.8 overall, average 28.0 vs 16.7 overall.

  • Opposition: Kent (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    194 runs off 224 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 86.6 vs 53.8 overall, average 48.5 vs 16.7 overall.

  • Opposition: Sri Lanka (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    158 runs off 217 balls in 3 TEST matches — strike rate 72.8 vs 66.6 overall, average 31.6 vs 19.6 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Venue: County Ground, Northampton (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    88 runs off 326 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 27.0 vs 53.8 overall, average 22.0 vs 16.7 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    284 runs off 674 balls in 36 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 42.1 vs 53.8 overall, average 20.3 vs 16.7 overall.

  • Opposition: New Zealand (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    159 runs off 288 balls in 5 TEST matches — strike rate 55.2 vs 66.6 overall, average 19.9 vs 19.6 overall.

  • Opposition: Essex (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    100 runs off 228 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 43.9 vs 53.8 overall, average 16.7 vs 16.7 overall.

  • Venue: Trent Bridge, Nottingham (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    65 runs off 187 balls in 2 TEST matches — strike rate 34.8 vs 66.6 overall, average 21.7 vs 19.6 overall.

  • Venue: Trent Bridge, Nottingham (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    54 runs off 122 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 44.3 vs 53.8 overall, not yet dismissed vs 16.7 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

NorthamptonshireFIRST_CLASS622052255.042.16.977.8HIGH
New ZealandTEST515928819.955.27.371.5MEDIUM
SomersetFIRST_CLASS816825228.066.710.368.3MEDIUM
EssexFIRST_CLASS610022816.743.95.373.7MEDIUM
KentFIRST_CLASS619422448.586.612.559.8MEDIUM
Sri LankaTEST315821731.672.89.765.0MEDIUM
NottinghamshireFIRST_CLASS48617221.550.04.764.0MEDIUM
PakistanTEST410617017.762.47.665.9MEDIUM
AustraliaTEST3738514.685.910.662.4LOW
WorcestershireFIRST_CLASS430785.038.55.176.9LOW
HampshireFIRST_CLASS638663.857.66.172.7LOW
MiddlesexFIRST_CLASS2265213.050.03.869.2LOW
WorcestershireLIST_A1604860.0125.018.845.8LOW
West IndiesTEST3444814.791.712.560.4LOW
IndiaTEST1284514.062.26.766.7LOW
WarwickshireFIRST_CLASS216384.042.15.363.2LOW

Bowling

SomersetFIRST_CLASS1458864283.630.9HIGH
EssexFIRST_CLASS1104590263.222.7HIGH
KentFIRST_CLASS948502123.241.8HIGH
New ZealandTEST905467223.121.2HIGH
NorthamptonshireFIRST_CLASS802470163.529.4HIGH
NottinghamshireFIRST_CLASS792372122.831.0HIGH
HampshireFIRST_CLASS720404143.428.9HIGH
WorcestershireFIRST_CLASS54024882.831.0HIGH
PakistanTEST53429273.341.7HIGH
West IndiesTEST533357224.016.2HIGH
Sri LankaTEST465329124.227.4HIGH
SussexFIRST_CLASS44428083.835.0HIGH
AustraliaTEST43828463.947.3HIGH
WarwickshireFIRST_CLASS34815062.625.0MEDIUM
GloucestershireFIRST_CLASS30019864.033.0MEDIUM
IndiaTEST29216083.320.0MEDIUM
MiddlesexFIRST_CLASS274110102.411.0MEDIUM
GlamorganFIRST_CLASS26612282.815.3MEDIUM
SomersetT2014220278.528.9LOW
West IndiesODI13614866.524.7LOW
MiddlesexT20127202129.516.8LOW
HampshireT20126173108.217.3LOW
GlamorganT2012014797.416.3LOW
ZimbabweTEST1167533.925.0LOW
New ZealandODI1029415.594.0LOW
SussexT209114569.624.2LOW
IndiaODI9013929.369.5LOW
KentT209013719.1137.0LOW
Trent RocketsHUNDRED70119310.239.7LOW
GloucestershireT20669078.212.9LOW
Gulf GiantsT20669618.796.0LOW
Sunrisers LeedsHUNDRED609439.431.3LOW
YorkshireLIST_A604344.310.8LOW
South AfricaODI546026.730.0LOW
EssexT20548629.643.0LOW
WorcestershireLIST_A486107.6—LOW
PakistanODI484525.622.5LOW
Sharjah WarriorsT20485326.626.5LOW
NetherlandsODI424105.9—LOW
Abu Dhabi Knight RidersT20425938.419.7LOW
Dubai CapitalsT20424726.723.5LOW
New ZealandT20415167.58.5LOW
Manchester OriginalsHUNDRED3971210.935.5LOW
NottinghamshireLIST_A3670111.770.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Kennington Oval, LondonFIRST_CLASS2253682024.465.49.365.4HIGH
County Ground, NorthamptonFIRST_CLASS48832622.027.03.782.8HIGH
Lord's, LondonTEST420223528.986.011.958.7MEDIUM
Trent Bridge, NottinghamTEST26518721.734.84.378.1MEDIUM
County Ground, ChelmsfordFIRST_CLASS4581269.746.06.376.2MEDIUM
Trent Bridge, NottinghamFIRST_CLASS254122—44.34.972.1MEDIUM
The Cooper Associates County Ground, TauntonFIRST_CLASS48210841.075.913.066.7LOW
Rawalpindi Cricket StadiumTEST1498824.555.76.867.0LOW
Kennington Oval, LondonTEST234718.547.94.271.8LOW
Old Trafford, ManchesterTEST1206520.030.81.580.0LOW
County Ground, New Road, WorcesterFIRST_CLASS2225811.037.93.472.4LOW
Seddon Park, HamiltonTEST1475023.594.016.062.0LOW
County Ground, New Road, WorcesterLIST_A1604860.0125.018.845.8LOW
The Rose Bowl, SouthamptonFIRST_CLASS228387.073.710.563.2LOW
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchTEST1483648.0133.316.744.4LOW
Melbourne Cricket GroundTEST1283528.080.011.468.6LOW
Perth StadiumTEST1383419.0111.811.850.0LOW
Kennington Oval, LondonT20921315.367.70.035.5LOW

Bowling

Kennington Oval, LondonFIRST_CLASS36441738662.926.3HIGH
County Ground, ChelmsfordFIRST_CLASS696414223.618.8HIGH
County Ground, NorthamptonFIRST_CLASS612370103.637.0HIGH
Trent Bridge, NottinghamTEST577360103.736.0HIGH
The Cooper Associates County Ground, TauntonFIRST_CLASS570412164.325.8HIGH
Lord's, LondonTEST510321263.812.3HIGH
County Ground, HoveFIRST_CLASS44428083.835.0HIGH
Kennington Oval, LondonTEST41225093.627.8HIGH
Trent Bridge, NottinghamFIRST_CLASS34816022.880.0MEDIUM
County Ground, New Road, WorcesterFIRST_CLASS33613062.321.7MEDIUM
St Lawrence Ground, CanterburyFIRST_CLASS33622464.037.3MEDIUM
Kennington Oval, LondonT20330528179.631.1MEDIUM
The Rose Bowl, SouthamptonFIRST_CLASS32421023.9105.0MEDIUM
County Ground, BristolFIRST_CLASS30019864.033.0MEDIUM
Sophia Gardens, CardiffFIRST_CLASS26612282.815.3MEDIUM
Multan Cricket StadiumTEST23414543.736.3MEDIUM
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchTEST21311833.339.3MEDIUM
Seddon Park, HamiltonTEST2108242.320.5MEDIUM
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, BrisbaneTEST19815134.650.3MEDIUM
Old Trafford, ManchesterTEST19813744.234.3MEDIUM
Edgbaston, BirminghamTEST1749563.315.8MEDIUM
Dubai International Cricket StadiumT2015620768.034.5MEDIUM
Perth StadiumTEST1268504.0—LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonTEST1259954.819.8LOW
Arundel Castle Cricket Club GroundFIRST_CLASS1205222.626.0LOW
Headingley, LeedsTEST1205112.551.0LOW
Melbourne Cricket GroundTEST1144832.516.0LOW
Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, AntiguaODI1009045.422.5LOW
Kennington Oval, LondonHUNDRED9916369.927.2LOW
The Rose Bowl, SouthamptonT209011687.714.5LOW
Lord's, LondonHUNDRED7512039.640.0LOW
Old Trafford, ManchesterHUNDRED758987.111.1LOW
Kennington OvalT20729357.818.6LOW
Sophia Gardens, CardiffT20729457.818.8LOW
Rawalpindi Cricket StadiumTEST722221.811.0LOW
North Marine Road Ground, ScarboroughLIST_A604344.310.8LOW
Wankhede Stadium, MumbaiODI546026.730.0LOW
Headingley, LeedsHUNDRED507839.426.0LOW
County Ground, New Road, WorcesterLIST_A486107.6—LOW
Eden Gardens, KolkataODI484525.622.5LOW
Narendra Modi Stadium, AhmedabadODI487419.374.0LOW
The Cooper Associates County Ground, TauntonT20485336.617.7LOW
County Ground, HoveT20435147.112.8LOW
Barabati Stadium, CuttackODI426519.365.0LOW
Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium, PuneODI424105.9—LOW
Sophia Gardens, CardiffODI424706.7—LOW
Edgbaston, BirminghamT20425738.119.0LOW
Zayed Cricket Stadium, Abu DhabiT20425828.329.0LOW
Lord's, LondonT20415147.512.8LOW
Woodbridge Road, GuildfordLIST_A3670111.770.0LOW
Kensington Oval, Bridgetown, BarbadosODI365829.729.0LOW
St Lawrence Ground, CanterburyT20364918.249.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS50904168016.753.87.571.1HIGH
UnknownTEST1851976519.267.88.866.9HIGH
UnknownT202378949.883.05.340.4LOW
PakistanTEST1498824.555.76.867.0LOW
UnknownODI81047617.3136.823.744.7LOW
UnknownLIST_A2755337.5141.520.843.4LOW

Bowling

UnknownFIRST_CLASS799643101543.228.0HIGH
UnknownTEST32111942783.624.9HIGH
UnknownT2010071469648.823.0HIGH
UnknownODI472527136.740.5HIGH
UnknownHUNDRED329497229.122.6MEDIUM
UnknownLIST_A14417457.334.8LOW
United KingdomT2010214668.624.3LOW
PakistanTEST722221.811.0LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS50754143615.752.57.472.1HIGH
old_ballTEST1848474218.665.28.567.7HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS1015024425.061.58.264.8MEDIUM
new_ballTEST68411128.075.79.062.2LOW
deathT202610710611.9100.98.534.9LOW
middleODI3936146.5152.527.942.6LOW
middleLIST_A2654565.0144.422.244.4LOW

Bowling

old_ballFIRST_CLASS666436661383.326.6HIGH
old_ballTEST22151311563.623.4HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS1332644162.940.3HIGH
new_ballTEST1068653243.727.2HIGH
powerplayT20546758208.337.9HIGH
middleT20328466228.521.2MEDIUM
middleODI31034156.668.2MEDIUM
deathT20259415299.614.3MEDIUM
powerplayHUNDRED185244107.924.4MEDIUM
powerplayODI10810535.835.0LOW
middleHUNDRED8513739.745.7LOW
powerplayLIST_A789347.223.3LOW
middleLIST_A668117.481.0LOW
deathHUNDRED59116911.812.9LOW
deathODI548159.016.2LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEFIRST_CLASS4661298817.061.99.168.0HIGH
SPINFIRST_CLASS3628467420.342.15.075.1HIGH
PACETEST1735751118.869.99.065.6HIGH
SPINTEST1016127720.158.16.569.7MEDIUM
PACET2022747014.8105.77.127.1LOW
UNKNOWNTEST6506525.076.913.866.2LOW
PACEODI7804826.7166.729.237.5LOW
SPINT201027349.079.48.855.9LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.