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AE Jones betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallODI491483169839.087.310.350.4HIGH
overallT205993274820.7124.615.432.9HIGH
overallTEST929453219.655.38.374.4HIGH
overallLIST_A533430483.5109.915.146.1HIGH

Why we like it

Splits where AE Jones scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: West Indies (ODI)HIGH sample

    384 runs off 356 balls in 6 ODI matches — strike rate 107.9 vs 87.3 overall, average 96.0 vs 39.0 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (ODI)HIGH sample

    475 runs off 506 balls in 38 ODI matches — strike rate 93.9 vs 87.3 overall, average 47.5 vs 39.0 overall.

  • Opposition: India (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    124 runs off 177 balls in 3 TEST matches — strike rate 70.1 vs 55.3 overall, average 24.8 vs 19.6 overall.

  • Venue: Edgbaston, Birmingham (T20)MEDIUM sample

    254 runs off 192 balls in 9 T20 matches — strike rate 132.3 vs 124.6 overall, average 42.3 vs 20.7 overall.

  • Venue: Grace Road, Leicester (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    168 runs off 142 balls in 4 ODI matches — strike rate 118.3 vs 87.3 overall, average 56.0 vs 39.0 overall.

  • Venue: Lord's, London (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    106 runs off 142 balls in 1 TEST match — strike rate 74.6 vs 55.3 overall, average 53.0 vs 19.6 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: Australia (ODI)HIGH sample

    225 runs off 327 balls in 11 ODI matches — strike rate 68.8 vs 87.3 overall, average 22.5 vs 39.0 overall.

  • Opposition: India (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    176 runs off 267 balls in 9 ODI matches — strike rate 65.9 vs 87.3 overall, average 22.0 vs 39.0 overall.

  • Opposition: Australia (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    107 runs off 232 balls in 4 TEST matches — strike rate 46.1 vs 55.3 overall, average 15.3 vs 19.6 overall.

  • Venue: Junction Oval, Melbourne (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    79 runs off 164 balls in 3 ODI matches — strike rate 48.2 vs 87.3 overall, average 39.5 vs 39.0 overall.

  • Venue: The Cooper Associates County Ground (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    64 runs off 139 balls in 1 TEST match — strike rate 46.0 vs 55.3 overall, average 64.0 vs 19.6 overall.

  • Bowling type: UNKNOWN (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    204 runs off 264 balls in 25 ODI matches — strike rate 77.3 vs 87.3 overall, average 40.8 vs 39.0 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

New ZealandODI1242645042.694.712.450.0HIGH
West IndiesODI638435696.0107.914.342.1HIGH
AustraliaODI1122532722.568.86.457.5HIGH
IndiaODI917626722.065.96.458.8MEDIUM
IndiaT201529323819.5123.113.930.3MEDIUM
AustraliaTEST410723215.346.18.280.6MEDIUM
South AfricaODI716817984.093.911.746.4MEDIUM
IndiaTEST312417724.870.18.566.7MEDIUM
South AfricaTEST26312321.051.28.174.0MEDIUM
Northern DiamondsLIST_A1114114114.0100.014.050.0LOW
Western StormLIST_A1163114—143.020.236.0LOW
New ZealandT201111910923.8109.211.935.8LOW
South AfricaT20814510436.3139.419.228.8LOW
PakistanT2041258531.3147.120.031.8LOW
Sri LankaT205907422.5121.613.527.0LOW
PakistanODI2646532.098.59.241.5LOW
Southern VipersLIST_A2455522.581.89.147.3LOW
AustraliaT207655213.0125.015.442.3LOW
BangladeshODI1314731.066.04.353.2LOW
West IndiesT205624712.4131.925.544.7LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

County Ground, DerbyODI319922166.390.09.547.5MEDIUM
Edgbaston, BirminghamT20925419242.3132.316.129.2MEDIUM
Junction Oval, MelbourneODI37916439.548.23.067.1MEDIUM
Grace Road, LeicesterODI416814256.0118.318.343.7MEDIUM
Lord's, LondonTEST110614253.074.68.564.8MEDIUM
The Cooper Associates County GroundTEST16413964.046.08.681.3MEDIUM
Edgbaston, BirminghamLIST_A2175135175.0129.618.542.2MEDIUM
Basin Reserve, WellingtonODI2123130123.094.69.242.3MEDIUM
Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, AntiguaODI3132123132.0107.312.236.6MEDIUM
Mangaung Oval, BloemfonteinTEST16311731.553.88.572.6LOW
Headingley, LeedsLIST_A1114114114.0100.014.050.0LOW
Lord's, LondonODI27410774.069.27.557.0LOW
Seddon Park, HamiltonODI310210334.099.012.646.6LOW
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiODI26310163.062.45.958.4LOW
St Lawrence Ground, CanterburyODI2999749.5102.114.450.5LOW
County Ground, ChelmsfordT2041129037.3124.418.937.8LOW
University OvalODI2616761.091.014.964.2LOW
County Ground, BristolODI3546418.084.410.948.4LOW
County Ground, HoveLIST_A2455522.581.89.147.3LOW
County Ground, DerbyT203655521.7118.218.238.2LOW
County Ground, BristolT203635421.0116.713.029.6LOW
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchODI2485024.096.010.044.0LOW
The Cooper Associates County Ground, TauntonODI2344217.081.07.147.6LOW
The Rose Bowl, SouthamptonODI2384119.092.77.339.0LOW
Senwes Park, PotchefstroomODI14936—136.116.725.0LOW
Wankhede Stadium, MumbaiT203533517.7151.420.031.4LOW
County Ground, New Road, WorcesterODI218339.054.53.054.5LOW
Trent Bridge, NottinghamTEST117338.551.512.184.8LOW
Newlands, Cape TownT202493224.5153.118.834.4LOW
Manuka Oval, CanberraTEST117328.553.16.371.9LOW
North Sydney Oval, SydneyODI1313031.0103.316.756.7LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownODI491483169839.087.310.350.4HIGH
UnknownT205892073220.4125.715.732.7HIGH
UnknownTEST823039316.458.58.172.0HIGH
UnknownLIST_A533430483.5109.915.146.1HIGH
United StatesTEST16413964.046.08.681.3MEDIUM

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

middleODI451198141939.984.49.450.6HIGH
old_ballTEST928548620.458.69.173.5HIGH
middleT204051842123.5123.015.432.3HIGH
middleLIST_A424122380.3108.113.943.9MEDIUM
deathT202629820518.6145.418.028.3MEDIUM
deathODI1117214628.7117.815.138.4MEDIUM
powerplayODI711313356.585.014.361.7MEDIUM
powerplayT201511612216.695.110.742.6MEDIUM
powerplayLIST_A2305030.060.012.078.0LOW
new_ballTEST29469.019.60.084.8LOW
deathLIST_A16331—203.229.09.7LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

SPINODI4280492835.086.69.448.3HIGH
PACEODI3847550647.593.912.651.4HIGH
SPINT204957545523.0126.414.930.3HIGH
SPINTEST921740018.154.38.074.3HIGH
UNKNOWNODI2520426440.877.39.156.1MEDIUM
PACET203826922719.2118.515.437.4MEDIUM
SPINLIST_A421918473.0119.015.238.6MEDIUM
PACETEST6749974.074.712.169.7LOW
UNKNOWNT2016886614.7133.318.234.8LOW
UNKNOWNLIST_A37965—121.520.050.8LOW
PACELIST_A5365536.065.59.165.5LOW
UNKNOWNTEST43331.59.10.090.9LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.