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AR Leo betting stats, splits & projections

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallT2011851339.463.94.556.4MEDIUM
overallT2015018887.523.5MEDIUM

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

RwandaT201243324.072.73.051.5LOW

Bowling

EswatiniT20424035.713.3LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Achimota Senior Secondary School A Field, AccraT20317405.742.52.560.0LOW
Gahanga International Cricket Stadium. RwandaT202243412.070.62.952.9LOW
University of Lagos Cricket OvalT202313431.091.211.852.9LOW

Bowling

Nigeria Cricket Federation Oval 1, AbujaT20544935.416.3LOW
Achimota Senior Secondary School A Field, AccraT20424326.121.5LOW
University of Lagos Cricket OvalT20426839.722.7LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownT2011851339.463.94.556.4MEDIUM

Bowling

UnknownT2015018887.523.5MEDIUM

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

middleT207467823.059.02.652.6LOW
deathT20727305.490.010.056.7LOW

Bowling

deathT20546757.413.4LOW
middleT20486818.568.0LOW
powerplayT20485326.626.5LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACET208405713.370.27.057.9LOW
SPINT20533458.373.34.451.1LOW
UNKNOWNT20312316.038.70.061.3LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.