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AR McBrine betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallTEST10622112638.955.27.270.8HIGH
overallODI3054276121.771.29.561.8HIGH
overallT206744918.5151.018.424.5LOW
overallTEST21761303313.642.0HIGH
overallODI19141544364.842.9HIGH
overallT20186210106.821.0MEDIUM

Why we like it

Splits where AR McBrine scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Phase: powerplay (ODI)HIGH sample

    190 runs off 307 balls in 13 ODI matches — strike rate 61.9 vs 71.2 overall, average 31.7 vs 21.7 overall.

  • Opposition: Zimbabwe (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    189 runs off 293 balls in 2 TEST matches — strike rate 64.5 vs 55.2 overall, average 94.5 vs 38.9 overall.

  • Opposition: England (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    116 runs off 176 balls in 2 TEST matches — strike rate 65.9 vs 55.2 overall, average 38.7 vs 38.9 overall.

  • Opposition: New Zealand (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    86 runs off 127 balls in 1 TEST match — strike rate 67.7 vs 55.2 overall, average 86.0 vs 38.9 overall.

  • Venue: Civil Service Cricket Club, Stormont, Belfast (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    169 runs off 254 balls in 2 TEST matches — strike rate 66.5 vs 55.2 overall, average 84.5 vs 38.9 overall.

  • Venue: Queens Sports Club, Bulawayo (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    106 runs off 166 balls in 1 TEST match — strike rate 63.9 vs 55.2 overall, average 106.0 vs 38.9 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: Bangladesh (TEST)HIGH sample

    169 runs off 406 balls in 3 TEST matches — strike rate 41.6 vs 55.2 overall, average 28.2 vs 38.9 overall.

  • Opposition: Sri Lanka (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    62 runs off 124 balls in 2 TEST matches — strike rate 50.0 vs 55.2 overall, average 15.5 vs 38.9 overall.

  • Venue: Shere Bangla National Stadium, Mirpur (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    112 runs off 265 balls in 2 TEST matches — strike rate 42.3 vs 55.2 overall, average 28.0 vs 38.9 overall.

  • Venue: Sylhet International Cricket Stadium (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    57 runs off 141 balls in 1 TEST match — strike rate 40.4 vs 55.2 overall, average 28.5 vs 38.9 overall.

  • Venue: Galle International Stadium (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    62 runs off 124 balls in 2 TEST matches — strike rate 50.0 vs 55.2 overall, average 15.5 vs 38.9 overall.

  • Phase: death (ODI)LOW sample

    50 runs off 67 balls in 9 ODI matches — strike rate 74.6 vs 71.2 overall, average 8.3 vs 21.7 overall.

Current projections

Namibia v Ireland
ODI
13.2 runs
median 7 · 90th percentile 36 · plays 90% · 26 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

BangladeshTEST316940628.241.64.976.8HIGH
ZimbabweTEST218929394.564.56.563.1MEDIUM
West IndiesODI515921953.072.69.660.7MEDIUM
EnglandTEST211617638.765.910.869.3MEDIUM
New ZealandTEST18612786.067.711.065.4MEDIUM
New ZealandODI39312531.074.412.864.0MEDIUM
Sri LankaTEST26212415.550.07.376.6MEDIUM
South AfricaODI4639715.864.96.257.7LOW
ScotlandODI1325432.059.37.464.8LOW
United States of AmericaODI1355335.066.03.860.4LOW
ZimbabweODI6534717.7112.812.834.0LOW
NetherlandsODI2204010.050.07.577.5LOW

Bowling

BangladeshTEST837502153.633.5HIGH
Sri LankaTEST58235323.6176.5HIGH
ZimbabweODI49837584.546.9HIGH
ZimbabweTEST483203112.518.5HIGH
West IndiesODI306241114.721.9MEDIUM
BangladeshODI24022435.674.7MEDIUM
South AfricaODI21018945.447.3MEDIUM
New ZealandODI15613215.1132.0MEDIUM
NetherlandsODI1508433.428.0MEDIUM
EnglandTEST14214626.273.0LOW
New ZealandTEST1329914.599.0LOW
United Arab EmiratesODI12610234.934.0LOW
NepalODI484215.342.0LOW
United States of AmericaODI481922.49.5LOW
United Arab EmiratesT20424816.948.0LOW
OmanODI364407.3—LOW
Sri LankaODI363606.0—LOW
South AfricaT20365429.027.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Shere Bangla National Stadium, MirpurTEST211226528.042.35.378.9MEDIUM
Civil Service Cricket Club, Stormont, BelfastTEST216925484.566.58.363.4MEDIUM
Sabina Park, Kingston, JamaicaODI312819542.765.68.765.6MEDIUM
The Village, Malahide, DublinODI513218226.472.511.563.7MEDIUM
Queens Sports Club, BulawayoTEST1106166106.063.97.264.5MEDIUM
Sylhet International Cricket StadiumTEST15714128.540.44.373.0MEDIUM
Lord's, LondonTEST1105138105.076.112.364.5MEDIUM
Galle International StadiumTEST26212415.550.07.376.6MEDIUM
Queens Sports Club, BulawayoODI2497524.565.39.364.0LOW
Takashinga Sports Club, Highfield, HarareODI2527226.072.26.961.1LOW
Bulawayo Athletic ClubODI2445622.078.614.369.6LOW
Harare Sports ClubODI4454345.0104.711.634.9LOW
Sportpark Maarschalkerweerd, UtrechtODI2204010.050.07.577.5LOW
Zayed Cricket Stadium, Abu DhabiODI2244012.060.02.550.0LOW
Lord'sTEST111385.528.95.386.8LOW

Bowling

Shere Bangla National Stadium, MirpurTEST603361143.625.8HIGH
Galle International StadiumTEST58235323.6176.5HIGH
Harare Sports ClubODI39032345.080.8HIGH
Civil Service Cricket Club, Stormont, BelfastTEST34817483.021.8MEDIUM
Queens Sports Club, BulawayoTEST26712842.932.0MEDIUM
The Village, Malahide, DublinODI25823235.477.3MEDIUM
Sylhet International Cricket StadiumTEST23414113.6141.0MEDIUM
Sabina Park, Kingston, JamaicaODI168116104.111.6MEDIUM
Sportpark Maarschalkerweerd, UtrechtODI1508433.428.0MEDIUM
Castle Avenue, DublinODI13812515.4125.0LOW
County Ground, ChelmsfordODI12610925.254.5LOW
Sylhet International Cricket StadiumODI11411516.1115.0LOW
Civil Service Cricket Club, Stormont, BelfastODI1085242.913.0LOW
Zayed Cricket Stadium, Abu DhabiODI1088924.944.5LOW
Takashinga Sports Club, Highfield, HarareODI966133.820.3LOW
Al Amerat Cricket Ground Oman Cricket (Ministry Turf 1)T20907655.115.2LOW
Sheikh Zayed StadiumODI846814.968.0LOW
Lord's, LondonTEST829927.249.5LOW
Bulawayo Athletic ClubODI787826.039.0LOW
Queens Sports Club, BulawayoODI665805.3—LOW
Lord'sTEST604704.7—LOW
Al Amerat Cricket Ground Oman Cricket (Ministry Turf 2)T20484335.414.3LOW
County Ground, BristolT20365429.027.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownTEST10622112638.955.27.270.8HIGH
UnknownODI2649771820.769.29.363.4HIGH
UnknownT206744918.5151.018.424.5LOW
ZimbabweODI4454345.0104.711.634.9LOW

Bowling

UnknownTEST21761303313.642.0HIGH
UnknownODI14401153314.837.2HIGH
ZimbabweODI39032345.080.8HIGH
UnknownT20186210106.821.0MEDIUM
United Arab EmiratesODI846814.968.0LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballTEST10591107536.955.07.270.7HIGH
middleODI1830238723.278.09.355.8HIGH
powerplayODI1319030731.761.910.472.0HIGH
deathODI950678.374.66.049.3LOW
new_ballTEST53151—60.87.872.5LOW
deathT204664133.0161.019.522.0LOW

Bowling

old_ballTEST19411152263.644.3HIGH
middleODI17641404314.845.3HIGH
new_ballTEST23515153.930.2MEDIUM
middleT2014414356.028.6LOW
deathODI12612455.924.8LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

SPINTEST1029259441.749.26.474.9HIGH
PACETEST933053236.762.08.166.2HIGH
PACEODI2732447121.668.810.466.2HIGH
SPINODI1714821718.568.26.556.2MEDIUM
UNKNOWNODI9707335.095.912.349.3LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.