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AT Carey betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS564588658651.069.78.564.5HIGH
overallTEST482387368235.164.87.464.6HIGH
overallODI401154128533.989.89.347.9HIGH
overallLIST_A2080280642.299.512.448.5HIGH
overallT202569646529.0149.720.228.4HIGH

Why we like it

Splits where AT Carey scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: New South Wales (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    990 runs off 1348 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 73.4 vs 69.7 overall, average 70.7 vs 51.0 overall.

  • Opposition: Pakistan (TEST)HIGH sample

    308 runs off 548 balls in 6 TEST matches — strike rate 56.2 vs 64.8 overall, average 44.0 vs 35.1 overall.

  • Opposition: Sri Lanka (TEST)HIGH sample

    291 runs off 393 balls in 4 TEST matches — strike rate 74.0 vs 64.8 overall, average 97.0 vs 35.1 overall.

  • Opposition: West Indies (TEST)HIGH sample

    318 runs off 379 balls in 6 TEST matches — strike rate 83.9 vs 64.8 overall, average 31.8 vs 35.1 overall.

  • Opposition: New South Wales (LIST A)HIGH sample

    301 runs off 301 balls in 5 LIST A matches — strike rate 100.0 vs 99.5 overall, average 60.2 vs 42.2 overall.

  • Venue: Adelaide Oval (TEST)HIGH sample

    314 runs off 519 balls in 5 TEST matches — strike rate 60.5 vs 64.8 overall, average 44.9 vs 35.1 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: Victoria (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    1234 runs off 2054 balls in 16 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 60.1 vs 69.7 overall, average 44.1 vs 51.0 overall.

  • Opposition: England (TEST)HIGH sample

    706 runs off 1257 balls in 15 TEST matches — strike rate 56.2 vs 64.8 overall, average 28.2 vs 35.1 overall.

  • Opposition: Tasmania (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    418 runs off 580 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 72.1 vs 69.7 overall, average 29.9 vs 51.0 overall.

  • Venue: Bellerive Oval, Hobart (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    334 runs off 466 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 71.7 vs 69.7 overall, average 33.4 vs 51.0 overall.

  • Phase: new_ball (TEST)HIGH sample

    206 runs off 379 balls in 19 TEST matches — strike rate 54.4 vs 64.8 overall, average 20.6 vs 35.1 overall.

  • Opposition: Queensland (LIST A)MEDIUM sample

    188 runs off 210 balls in 7 LIST A matches — strike rate 89.5 vs 99.5 overall, average 26.9 vs 42.2 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

QueenslandFIRST_CLASS181622219254.174.08.561.2HIGH
VictoriaFIRST_CLASS161234205444.160.17.167.6HIGH
New South WalesFIRST_CLASS10990134870.773.49.363.4HIGH
EnglandTEST15706125728.256.25.668.3HIGH
TasmaniaFIRST_CLASS841858029.972.18.667.6HIGH
IndiaTEST1038655027.670.28.561.3HIGH
PakistanTEST630854844.056.26.470.3HIGH
Sri LankaTEST429139397.074.07.153.2HIGH
West IndiesTEST631837931.883.912.462.5HIGH
MiddlesexFIRST_CLASS2250322125.077.613.067.7HIGH
New South WalesLIST_A530130160.2100.011.645.8HIGH
South AfricaTEST319925766.377.48.956.4MEDIUM
EnglandODI726625253.2105.612.744.0MEDIUM
Sri LankaODI619021738.087.66.942.9MEDIUM
QueenslandLIST_A718821026.989.511.454.3MEDIUM
IndiaODI715719022.482.68.449.5MEDIUM
South AfricaODI818518026.4102.812.245.0MEDIUM
New ZealandTEST212517541.771.49.764.6MEDIUM
New ZealandODI313917069.581.87.147.6MEDIUM
West IndiesODI311215237.373.77.259.2MEDIUM
BangladeshTEST25412318.043.95.777.2MEDIUM
Western AustraliaLIST_A2133113133.0117.715.040.7LOW
TasmaniaLIST_A31009733.3103.114.450.5LOW
Western AustraliaFIRST_CLASS2749037.082.211.157.8LOW
VictoriaLIST_A3808526.794.111.851.8LOW
PakistanODI3657521.786.79.348.0LOW
Hobart HurricanesT2021037151.5145.119.722.5LOW
Melbourne RenegadesT202876243.5140.322.637.1LOW
Perth ScorchersT203945031.3188.026.024.0LOW
Sydney SixersT203735024.3146.016.026.0LOW
ZimbabweODI3404920.081.610.259.2LOW
MiddlesexT202734973.0149.020.432.7LOW
SomersetT201784678.0169.623.926.1LOW
GlamorganT201613061.0203.336.723.3LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Adelaide OvalFIRST_CLASS161326208044.263.76.766.1HIGH
Karen Rolton Oval, AdelaideFIRST_CLASS12922119646.177.18.759.7HIGH
Junction Oval, MelbourneFIRST_CLASS8702112058.562.78.065.5HIGH
Adelaide OvalTEST531451944.960.55.662.8HIGH
Cricket Central, SydneyFIRST_CLASS2402484100.583.112.461.2HIGH
Bellerive Oval, HobartFIRST_CLASS633446633.471.79.067.8HIGH
Allan Border Field, BrisbaneFIRST_CLASS2330452165.073.010.265.0HIGH
Galle International StadiumTEST429139397.074.07.153.2HIGH
Melbourne Cricket GroundTEST524439230.562.25.963.5HIGH
County Ground, HoveFIRST_CLASS2250322125.077.613.067.7HIGH
Adelaide OvalLIST_A431231778.098.411.746.7HIGH
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, BrisbaneTEST526331343.884.09.356.5HIGH
Kennington Oval, LondonTEST215224650.761.88.165.9MEDIUM
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, BrisbaneFIRST_CLASS414224223.758.76.667.8MEDIUM
Lord's, LondonTEST210919227.356.87.372.4MEDIUM
Perth StadiumTEST311718729.362.67.067.4MEDIUM
Karen Rolton Oval, AdelaideLIST_A520017650.0113.614.846.0MEDIUM
R Premadasa Stadium, ColomboODI415417551.388.07.445.7MEDIUM
Sydney Cricket GroundTEST410417420.859.87.569.5MEDIUM
Cazaly's Stadium, CairnsODI413917146.381.37.048.0MEDIUM
National Stadium, KarachiTEST19315893.058.95.770.3MEDIUM
Kensington Oval, Bridgetown, BarbadosODI311215237.373.77.259.2MEDIUM
North Dalton Park, WollongongFIRST_CLASS212814864.086.58.155.4MEDIUM
Edgbaston, BirminghamTEST18614843.058.18.872.3MEDIUM
Bellerive Oval, HobartTEST17314736.549.74.170.1MEDIUM
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchTEST1112146112.076.711.664.4MEDIUM
Gaddafi Stadium, LahoreODI413413833.597.110.944.9MEDIUM
Marrara Stadium, DarwinTEST14911524.542.66.178.3LOW
National Cricket Stadium, St George's, GrenadaTEST19311546.580.913.061.7LOW
Adelaide OvalT20716310823.3150.921.331.5LOW
Gaddafi Stadium, LahoreTEST16710567.063.86.763.8LOW
Allan Border Field, BrisbaneLIST_A4869521.590.512.652.6LOW
Kensington Oval, Bridgetown, BarbadosTEST1738536.585.911.865.9LOW
SuperSport Park, CenturionODI1997799.0128.616.939.0LOW
Sydney Cricket GroundFIRST_CLASS2527626.068.410.571.1LOW
Cricket Central, SydneyLIST_A2607330.082.29.654.8LOW
Headingley, LeedsODI1746774.0110.416.450.7LOW
Melbourne Cricket GroundT203936631.0140.918.225.8LOW
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-StreetODI17765—118.513.836.9LOW
Dubai International Cricket StadiumODI1615761.0107.015.847.4LOW
Great Barrier Reef Arena, MackayODI2635663.0112.514.342.9LOW
North Sydney Oval, SydneyLIST_A1675167.0131.417.641.2LOW
Old Trafford, ManchesterTEST1204920.040.84.177.6LOW
MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chepauk, ChennaiODI2384819.079.26.345.8LOW
Junction Oval, MelbourneLIST_A2364718.076.610.655.3LOW
Docklands Stadium, MelbourneT201654765.0138.321.336.2LOW
The Cooper Associates County GroundT201784678.0169.623.926.1LOW
Adelaide OvalODI2304515.066.76.760.0LOW
Rawalpindi Cricket StadiumTEST1194319.044.27.076.7LOW
Pallekele International Cricket StadiumODI2364218.085.74.831.0LOW
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, BrisbaneLIST_A1364036.090.07.550.0LOW
Tony Ireland Stadium, TownsvilleODI2364036.090.010.052.5LOW
Vidarbha Cricket Association Stadium, Jamtha, NagpurTEST1463923.0117.923.148.7LOW
Sydney Cricket GroundODI2243812.063.22.655.3LOW
International Sports Stadium, Coffs HarbourT201543554.0154.314.320.0LOW
County Ground, HoveT203433414.3126.514.732.4LOW
Sophia GardensT201613061.0203.336.723.3LOW
Headingley, LeedsTEST113306.543.36.776.7LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS564588658651.069.78.564.5HIGH
UnknownTEST472368363935.365.17.464.5HIGH
UnknownODI401154128533.989.89.347.9HIGH
UnknownLIST_A2080280642.299.512.448.5HIGH
UnknownT202151634925.8147.919.829.8HIGH
United KingdomT2031027034.0145.720.022.9LOW
United StatesT201784678.0169.623.926.1LOW
PakistanTEST1194319.044.27.076.7LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS564264607050.870.28.464.0HIGH
old_ballTEST482181330337.666.07.664.0HIGH
middleODI36880102532.685.98.648.5HIGH
middleLIST_A1452652143.8101.011.744.0HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS2832451654.062.89.369.8HIGH
new_ballTEST1920637920.654.46.369.9HIGH
powerplayLIST_A1626427744.095.313.457.8MEDIUM
middleT201737425241.6148.418.724.2MEDIUM
powerplayT201625016231.3154.323.532.1MEDIUM
deathODI1019616032.7122.513.132.5MEDIUM
powerplayODI97810078.078.011.066.0LOW
deathT208725110.3141.217.637.3LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEFIRST_CLASS562306345444.366.88.667.1HIGH
SPINFIRST_CLASS481776243463.473.08.261.5HIGH
PACETEST451466226837.664.67.865.6HIGH
SPINTEST41843131831.264.06.663.4HIGH
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS2850669850.672.59.262.2HIGH
SPINODI3557464033.889.78.645.9HIGH
PACEODI3350757036.288.99.850.2HIGH
PACELIST_A1949451061.896.912.750.4HIGH
PACET202239124230.1161.624.430.2MEDIUM
SPINLIST_A1521421026.8101.911.043.3MEDIUM
SPINT202123117125.7135.114.626.3MEDIUM
UNKNOWNTEST7789639.081.310.457.3LOW
UNKNOWNLIST_A6948631.3109.314.050.0LOW
UNKNOWNODI9737524.397.312.046.7LOW
UNKNOWNT207745237.0142.319.226.9LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.