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AY Patel betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS982638469819.156.27.872.9HIGH
overallTEST1618444913.141.05.679.7HIGH
overallT202110710510.7101.97.634.3LOW
overallLIST_A4493924.5125.615.435.9LOW
overallFIRST_CLASS23198114963063.037.6HIGH
overallTEST39472157783.327.7HIGH
overallT2011771577588.027.2HIGH
overallLIST_A44138485.248.0HIGH

Why we like it

Splits where AY Patel scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Bowling type: PACE (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    1586 runs off 2396 balls in 88 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 66.2 vs 56.2 overall, average 24.8 vs 19.1 overall.

  • Opposition: Nottinghamshire (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    154 runs off 238 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 64.7 vs 56.2 overall, average 38.5 vs 19.1 overall.

  • Opposition: Sussex (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    152 runs off 192 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 79.2 vs 56.2 overall, average 38.0 vs 19.1 overall.

  • Venue: Saxton Oval, Nelson (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    158 runs off 280 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 56.4 vs 56.2 overall, average 39.5 vs 19.1 overall.

  • Venue: Seddon Park, Hamilton (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    154 runs off 230 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 67.0 vs 56.2 overall, average 38.5 vs 19.1 overall.

  • Venue: County Ground, Hove (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    152 runs off 192 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 79.2 vs 56.2 overall, average 38.0 vs 19.1 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: Auckland Aces (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    160 runs off 318 balls in 12 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 50.3 vs 56.2 overall, average 8.9 vs 19.1 overall.

  • Venue: McLean Park, Napier (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    256 runs off 668 balls in 12 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 38.3 vs 56.2 overall, average 14.2 vs 19.1 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    824 runs off 2036 balls in 88 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 40.5 vs 56.2 overall, average 12.9 vs 19.1 overall.

  • Opposition: India (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    35 runs off 122 balls in 6 TEST matches — strike rate 28.7 vs 41.0 overall, average 7.0 vs 13.1 overall.

  • Venue: Seddon Park (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    54 runs off 124 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 43.5 vs 56.2 overall, average 13.5 vs 19.1 overall.

  • Opposition: Essex (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample

    22 runs off 64 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 34.4 vs 56.2 overall, average 11.0 vs 19.1 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS20666134223.849.67.677.3HIGH
CanterburyFIRST_CLASS18528105016.550.36.574.7HIGH
Wellington FirebirdsFIRST_CLASS1032057020.056.17.072.3HIGH
Otago VoltsFIRST_CLASS1025240221.062.78.569.7HIGH
Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS121603188.950.36.976.1HIGH
NottinghamshireFIRST_CLASS215423838.564.711.870.6MEDIUM
GlamorganFIRST_CLASS612020020.060.08.067.0MEDIUM
SussexFIRST_CLASS415219238.079.210.461.5MEDIUM
Sri LankaTEST35213310.439.14.578.9MEDIUM
IndiaTEST6351227.028.74.987.7MEDIUM
MiddlesexFIRST_CLASS29010622.584.915.164.2LOW
PakistanTEST2358635.040.74.776.7LOW
YorkshireFIRST_CLASS4707417.594.613.564.9LOW
EssexFIRST_CLASS2226411.034.40.071.9LOW
EnglandTEST2316410.348.46.375.0LOW
KentFIRST_CLASS2405620.071.410.771.4LOW
GloucestershireFIRST_CLASS2445222.084.67.750.0LOW
Northern DistrictsT207503512.5142.917.131.4LOW
WorcestershireFIRST_CLASS2203210.062.56.356.3LOW
CanterburyT20526308.786.73.336.7LOW
West IndiesTEST13030—100.016.763.3LOW

Bowling

Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS50882350722.832.6HIGH
CanterburyFIRST_CLASS35301822443.141.4HIGH
Otago VoltsFIRST_CLASS31101530503.030.6HIGH
Wellington FirebirdsFIRST_CLASS24801042302.534.7HIGH
Auckland AcesFIRST_CLASS2074904202.645.2HIGH
GlamorganFIRST_CLASS1860816122.668.0HIGH
IndiaTEST1219757323.723.7HIGH
Sri LankaTEST1062527173.031.0HIGH
SussexFIRST_CLASS992644143.946.0HIGH
DerbyshireFIRST_CLASS728278122.323.2HIGH
GloucestershireFIRST_CLASS680418203.720.9HIGH
BangladeshTEST574335143.523.9HIGH
YorkshireFIRST_CLASS56426882.933.5HIGH
PakistanTEST50432153.864.2HIGH
SurreyFIRST_CLASS48034884.343.5HIGH
West IndiesTEST43813661.922.7HIGH
KentFIRST_CLASS42046246.6115.5HIGH
WorcestershireFIRST_CLASS36016422.782.0HIGH
NottinghamshireFIRST_CLASS32419023.595.0MEDIUM
MiddlesexFIRST_CLASS26817663.929.3MEDIUM
CanterburyT20258383128.931.9MEDIUM
EssexFIRST_CLASS2408422.142.0MEDIUM
AucklandT2024031887.939.8MEDIUM
OtagoT20240268166.716.8MEDIUM
Northern DistrictsT20227326128.627.2MEDIUM
WellingtonT20212282108.028.2MEDIUM
EnglandTEST1508143.220.3MEDIUM
NottinghamshireLIST_A12010415.2104.0LOW
GloucestershireLIST_A603223.216.0LOW
LancashireLIST_A605905.9—LOW
KentLIST_A545706.3—LOW
NorthamptonshireLIST_A514735.515.7LOW
SurreyLIST_A484605.8—LOW
WarwickshireLIST_A483924.919.5LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

McLean Park, NapierFIRST_CLASS1225666814.238.33.677.5HIGH
Saxton OvalFIRST_CLASS830452621.757.89.974.5HIGH
McLean ParkFIRST_CLASS827848819.957.08.275.0HIGH
Fitzherbert ParkFIRST_CLASS619037423.850.87.073.8HIGH
Grace Road, LeicesterFIRST_CLASS618231222.858.310.974.4HIGH
Saxton Oval, NelsonFIRST_CLASS215828039.556.410.076.4MEDIUM
Seddon Park, HamiltonFIRST_CLASS215423038.567.08.766.1MEDIUM
Bay OvalFIRST_CLASS612420620.760.29.772.8MEDIUM
County Ground, HoveFIRST_CLASS415219238.079.210.461.5MEDIUM
Mainpower Oval, RangioraFIRST_CLASS28417221.048.84.773.3MEDIUM
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-StreetFIRST_CLASS413014421.790.311.156.9MEDIUM
Galle International StadiumTEST35213310.439.14.578.9MEDIUM
Seddon ParkFIRST_CLASS25412413.543.54.875.8MEDIUM
Kennards Hire Community OvalFIRST_CLASS6621187.852.55.176.3LOW
University of Otago OvalFIRST_CLASS47011811.759.36.869.5LOW
Cobham Oval (New), WhangareiFIRST_CLASS22811014.025.51.885.5LOW
Lord's, LondonFIRST_CLASS29010622.584.915.164.2LOW
Fitzherbert Park, Palmerston NorthFIRST_CLASS25410213.552.97.874.5LOW
Sophia Gardens, CardiffFIRST_CLASS4528826.059.16.861.4LOW
National Stadium, KarachiTEST2358635.040.74.776.7LOW
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiFIRST_CLASS2488024.060.012.580.0LOW
Mainpower OvalFIRST_CLASS4628010.377.510.070.0LOW
County Ground, ChelmsfordFIRST_CLASS2226411.034.40.071.9LOW
Headingley, LeedsFIRST_CLASS2405620.071.410.771.4LOW
County Ground, BristolFIRST_CLASS2445222.084.67.750.0LOW
Wankhede Stadium, MumbaiTEST215447.534.14.586.4LOW
Edgbaston, BirminghamTEST1203320.060.69.172.7LOW
Lord's, LondonTEST111315.535.53.277.4LOW
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiTEST13030—100.016.763.3LOW

Bowling

McLean ParkFIRST_CLASS25921138322.635.6HIGH
McLean Park, NapierFIRST_CLASS2460950262.336.5HIGH
Fitzherbert ParkFIRST_CLASS1844672242.228.0HIGH
Sophia Gardens, CardiffFIRST_CLASS1760790182.743.9HIGH
Bay OvalFIRST_CLASS1466764263.129.4HIGH
Saxton OvalFIRST_CLASS1168536282.819.1HIGH
Grace Road, LeicesterFIRST_CLASS1080452182.525.1HIGH
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-StreetFIRST_CLASS99647402.9—HIGH
County Ground, HoveFIRST_CLASS992644143.946.0HIGH
University of Otago OvalFIRST_CLASS972592203.729.6HIGH
Galle International StadiumTEST852448143.232.0HIGH
Kennards Hire Community OvalFIRST_CLASS82642883.153.5HIGH
Mainpower OvalFIRST_CLASS80436062.760.0HIGH
Seddon ParkFIRST_CLASS73036463.060.7HIGH
County Ground, BristolFIRST_CLASS680418203.720.9HIGH
Wankhede Stadium, MumbaiTEST658385253.515.4HIGH
Seddon Park, HamiltonFIRST_CLASS62430863.051.3HIGH
Cobham Oval (New), WhangareiFIRST_CLASS58826682.733.3HIGH
Mainpower Oval, RangioraFIRST_CLASS51630683.638.3HIGH
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiFIRST_CLASS50417042.042.5HIGH
National Stadium, KarachiTEST50432153.864.2HIGH
Kennington Oval, LondonFIRST_CLASS48034884.343.5HIGH
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiTEST43813661.922.7HIGH
Fitzherbert Park, Palmerston NorthFIRST_CLASS43227243.868.0HIGH
Headingley, LeedsFIRST_CLASS42046246.6115.5HIGH
Sylhet International Cricket StadiumTEST36422463.737.3HIGH
Basin Reserve, WellingtonFIRST_CLASS30020464.134.0MEDIUM
Green Park, KanpurTEST27715033.250.0MEDIUM
Lord's, LondonFIRST_CLASS26817663.929.3MEDIUM
County Ground, ChelmsfordFIRST_CLASS2408422.142.0MEDIUM
Saxton Oval, NelsonFIRST_CLASS22818024.790.0MEDIUM
University Oval, DunedinFIRST_CLASS22813823.669.0MEDIUM
P Sara OvalTEST2107932.326.3MEDIUM
Shere Bangla National Stadium, MirpurTEST21011183.213.9MEDIUM
McLean ParkT20191264138.320.3MEDIUM
Grace Road, LeicesterLIST_A16816425.982.0MEDIUM
Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium, PuneTEST1409724.248.5LOW
Edgbaston, BirminghamTEST1385942.614.8LOW
Eden Park Outer OvalT2011415358.130.6LOW
M Chinnaswamy Stadium, BengaluruTEST10810025.650.0LOW
McLean Park, NapierT20908875.912.6LOW
Pukekura ParkT209014929.974.5LOW
Pukekura Park, New PlymouthT208413929.969.5LOW
Fitzherbert Park, Palmerston NorthT20727446.218.5LOW
Basin ReserveT20688457.416.8LOW
Hagley OvalT206610329.451.5LOW
Kibworth Cricket Club New GroundLIST_A603223.216.0LOW
Trent Bridge, NottinghamLIST_A603813.838.0LOW
Kent County Cricket Ground, BeckenhamLIST_A545706.3—LOW
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandT20547418.274.0LOW
County Ground, NorthamptonLIST_A514735.515.7LOW
Woodbridge Road, GuildfordLIST_A484605.8—LOW
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchT20486528.132.5LOW
Seddon Park, HamiltonT20485947.414.8LOW
University OvalT20486538.121.7LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonT20426208.9—LOW
Seddon ParkT20424336.114.3LOW
University Oval, DunedinT20424025.720.0LOW
Saxton Oval, NelsonT20365208.7—LOW
Basin ReserveTEST362504.2—LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS982638469819.156.27.872.9HIGH
UnknownTEST1618444913.141.05.679.7HIGH
UnknownT20191009511.1105.38.433.7LOW
UnknownLIST_A4493924.5125.615.435.9LOW

Bowling

UnknownFIRST_CLASS23198114963063.037.6HIGH
UnknownTEST39472157783.327.7HIGH
UnknownT209971321517.925.9HIGH
UnknownLIST_A44138485.248.0HIGH
New ZealandT2018025678.536.6MEDIUM

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS922200394218.655.87.772.9HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS4043875621.957.98.573.0HIGH
old_ballTEST1517041315.541.25.679.4HIGH
deathT2019898811.1101.18.030.7LOW
deathLIST_A4493924.5125.615.435.9LOW
new_ballTEST614364.738.95.683.3LOW

Bowling

old_ballFIRST_CLASS22462110262962.937.3HIGH
old_ballTEST34251913683.428.1HIGH
middleT207731024337.931.0HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS736470103.847.0HIGH
new_ballTEST522244102.824.4HIGH
middleLIST_A35429435.098.0MEDIUM
deathT20212318169.019.9MEDIUM
powerplayT2019223597.326.1MEDIUM
deathLIST_A879056.218.0LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEFIRST_CLASS881586239624.866.210.370.6HIGH
SPINFIRST_CLASS88824203612.940.54.276.3HIGH
SPINTEST1512829316.043.76.180.2MEDIUM
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS2422826622.885.713.566.9MEDIUM
PACETEST114911612.342.26.078.4LOW
PACET2017705917.5118.610.230.5LOW
UNKNOWNTEST47403.517.50.080.0LOW
SPINT20922335.566.73.039.4LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.