Cricket betting

B Popli betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.


overall	FIRST_CLASS	86	5938	11458	41.8	51.8	6.5	73.8	HIGH

Why we like it

Splits where B Popli scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

Opposition: Otago Volts (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
1166 runs off 1862 balls in 20 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 62.6 vs 51.8 overall, average 36.4 vs 41.8 overall.
Venue: Bay Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
814 runs off 1470 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 55.4 vs 51.8 overall, average 58.1 vs 41.8 overall.
Venue: Seddon Park, Hamilton (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
724 runs off 1192 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 60.7 vs 51.8 overall, average 40.2 vs 41.8 overall.
Venue: Cello Basin Reserve (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
492 runs off 1000 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 49.2 vs 51.8 overall, average 82.0 vs 41.8 overall.
Venue: Kennards Hire Community Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
524 runs off 948 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 55.3 vs 51.8 overall, average 131.0 vs 41.8 overall.
Venue: Mainpower Oval, Rangiora (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
370 runs off 590 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 62.7 vs 51.8 overall, average 92.5 vs 41.8 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

Venue: Seddon Park (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
430 runs off 1070 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 40.2 vs 51.8 overall, average 23.9 vs 41.8 overall.
Venue: McLean Park (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
230 runs off 532 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 43.2 vs 51.8 overall, average 28.8 vs 41.8 overall.
Venue: Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
180 runs off 462 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 39.0 vs 51.8 overall, average 15.0 vs 41.8 overall.
Venue: Mainpower Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
112 runs off 334 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 33.5 vs 51.8 overall, average 28.0 vs 41.8 overall.
Bowling type: PACE (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
2708 runs off 5516 balls in 86 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 49.1 vs 51.8 overall, average 31.5 vs 41.8 overall.
Phase: new_ball (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
1014 runs off 1994 balls in 80 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 50.9 vs 51.8 overall, average 31.7 vs 41.8 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.


Central Stags	FIRST_CLASS	22	1804	3620	47.5	49.8	5.7	74.6	HIGH
Auckland Aces	FIRST_CLASS	16	1106	2234	46.1	49.5	6.2	73.2	HIGH
Canterbury	FIRST_CLASS	14	1030	1952	36.8	52.8	5.9	72.8	HIGH
Otago Volts	FIRST_CLASS	20	1166	1862	36.4	62.6	8.5	69.4	HIGH
Wellington Firebirds	FIRST_CLASS	14	832	1790	41.6	46.5	7.0	78.4	HIGH

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.


Bay Oval	FIRST_CLASS	8	814	1470	58.1	55.4	6.8	71.6	HIGH
Seddon Park, Hamilton	FIRST_CLASS	10	724	1192	40.2	60.7	8.4	70.1	HIGH
Seddon Park	FIRST_CLASS	10	430	1070	23.9	40.2	5.6	80.9	HIGH
Cello Basin Reserve	FIRST_CLASS	4	492	1000	82.0	49.2	7.8	77.6	HIGH
Kennards Hire Community Oval	FIRST_CLASS	4	524	948	131.0	55.3	7.4	70.7	HIGH
Cobham Oval (New), Whangarei	FIRST_CLASS	2	318	646	159.0	49.2	4.6	73.7	HIGH
Mainpower Oval, Rangiora	FIRST_CLASS	2	370	590	92.5	62.7	5.1	63.7	HIGH
University of Otago Oval	FIRST_CLASS	6	350	536	29.2	65.3	9.3	71.3	HIGH
McLean Park	FIRST_CLASS	4	230	532	28.8	43.2	4.5	78.2	HIGH
Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland	FIRST_CLASS	4	320	518	53.3	61.8	7.7	65.6	HIGH
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui	FIRST_CLASS	6	180	462	15.0	39.0	4.3	80.1	HIGH
University Oval, Dunedin	FIRST_CLASS	6	298	456	37.3	65.4	8.8	68.4	HIGH
Mainpower Oval	FIRST_CLASS	2	112	334	28.0	33.5	2.4	82.0	HIGH
Hagley Oval, Christchurch	FIRST_CLASS	2	182	332	45.5	54.8	6.6	75.3	HIGH
Saxton Oval	FIRST_CLASS	2	150	286	37.5	52.4	7.0	74.8	MEDIUM
Basin Reserve, Wellington	FIRST_CLASS	4	102	256	17.0	39.8	6.3	79.7	MEDIUM
McLean Park, Napier	FIRST_CLASS	4	70	250	11.7	28.0	3.2	83.2	MEDIUM
Cobham Oval	FIRST_CLASS	2	48	228	24.0	21.1	2.6	87.7	MEDIUM
Molyneux Park, Alexandra	FIRST_CLASS	2	172	228	86.0	75.4	9.6	60.5	MEDIUM
Cobham Oval, Whangarei	FIRST_CLASS	2	52	124	26.0	41.9	1.6	75.8	MEDIUM

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.


Unknown	FIRST_CLASS	86	5938	11458	41.8	51.8	6.5	73.8	HIGH

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.


old_ball	FIRST_CLASS	86	4924	9464	44.8	52.0	6.5	73.4	HIGH
new_ball	FIRST_CLASS	80	1014	1994	31.7	50.9	6.4	75.4	HIGH

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.


PACE	FIRST_CLASS	86	2708	5516	31.5	49.1	6.5	76.0	HIGH
SPIN	FIRST_CLASS	70	2368	4172	65.8	56.8	6.5	69.7	HIGH
UNKNOWN	FIRST_CLASS	44	862	1770	43.1	48.7	6.6	76.5	HIGH

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.