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BC Fortuin betting stats, splits & projections

Bowler

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallODI758909.764.44.453.3LOW
overallT2014938411.6110.711.938.1LOW
overallFIRST_CLASS234728.547.25.666.7LOW
overallT20436616218.529.3HIGH
overallODI428388135.429.8HIGH
overallFIRST_CLASS23678102.07.8MEDIUM

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

SussexFIRST_CLASS234728.547.25.666.7LOW
IrelandODI2395319.573.65.745.3LOW

Bowling

SussexFIRST_CLASS23678102.07.8MEDIUM
IrelandODI12210845.327.0LOW
PakistanODI12010535.335.0LOW
West IndiesT2011418739.862.3LOW
West IndiesODI10810345.725.8LOW
IndiaODI787225.536.0LOW
ZimbabweT20707386.39.1LOW
NamibiaT20667336.624.3LOW
AustraliaT203661210.230.5LOW
IrelandT20365218.752.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

County Ground, HoveFIRST_CLASS234728.547.25.666.7LOW
Zayed Cricket Stadium, Abu DhabiODI2395319.573.65.745.3LOW

Bowling

County Ground, HoveFIRST_CLASS23678102.07.8MEDIUM
Namibia Cricket Ground, WindhoekT20136146116.413.3LOW
Zayed Cricket Stadium, Abu DhabiODI12210845.327.0LOW
Buffalo Park, East LondonODI605725.728.5LOW
Newlands, Cape TownODI604914.949.0LOW
The Wanderers Stadium, JohannesburgODI605625.628.0LOW
JSCA International Stadium Complex, RanchiODI545215.852.0LOW
Senwes Park, PotchefstroomODI484625.823.0LOW
Sabina Park, Kingston, JamaicaT20486017.560.0LOW
Brian Lara Stadium, Tarouba, TrinidadT20426319.063.0LOW
Edgbaston, BirminghamT20365519.255.0LOW
Kingsmead, DurbanT203661210.230.5LOW
Zayed Cricket Stadium, Abu DhabiT20365218.752.0LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownODI758909.764.44.453.3LOW
UnknownT2014938411.6110.711.938.1LOW
UnknownFIRST_CLASS234728.547.25.666.7LOW

Bowling

UnknownT20436616218.529.3HIGH
UnknownODI428388135.429.8HIGH
UnknownFIRST_CLASS23678102.07.8MEDIUM

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS234728.547.25.666.7LOW
middleODI631627.850.03.262.9LOW
deathT2010445011.088.06.036.0LOW
middleT206493412.3144.120.641.2LOW

Bowling

middleODI350326115.629.6MEDIUM
middleT20276402128.733.5MEDIUM
old_ballFIRST_CLASS23678102.07.8MEDIUM
powerplayT2011415468.125.7LOW
powerplayODI543714.137.0LOW
deathT20466037.820.0LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEFIRST_CLASS23058—51.76.965.5LOW
PACEODI5385212.773.13.844.2LOW
PACET2012505210.096.27.740.4LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.