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BFW de Leede betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS281056185235.257.07.170.7HIGH
overallODI431153157730.373.17.057.6HIGH
overallT204486977327.2112.410.934.4HIGH
overallLIST_A818819426.996.910.846.4MEDIUM
overallFIRST_CLASS35462382644.037.2HIGH
overallODI14321438446.032.7HIGH
overallT207711069508.321.4HIGH
overallLIST_A360328105.532.8HIGH

Why we like it

Splits where BFW de Leede scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Sussex (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    268 runs off 406 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 66.0 vs 57.0 overall, average 134.0 vs 35.2 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (ODI)HIGH sample

    562 runs off 782 balls in 37 ODI matches — strike rate 71.9 vs 73.1 overall, average 40.1 vs 30.3 overall.

  • Opposition: Glamorgan (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    170 runs off 250 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 68.0 vs 57.0 overall, not yet dismissed vs 35.2 overall.

  • Opposition: Pakistan (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    177 runs off 229 balls in 4 ODI matches — strike rate 77.3 vs 73.1 overall, average 44.3 vs 30.3 overall.

  • Opposition: Scotland (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    211 runs off 173 balls in 4 ODI matches — strike rate 122.0 vs 73.1 overall, average 70.3 vs 30.3 overall.

  • Opposition: Nottinghamshire (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    158 runs off 136 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 116.2 vs 57.0 overall, average 79.0 vs 35.2 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: Surrey (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    132 runs off 284 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 46.5 vs 57.0 overall, average 16.5 vs 35.2 overall.

  • Opposition: Somerset (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    64 runs off 232 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 27.6 vs 57.0 overall, not yet dismissed vs 35.2 overall.

  • Opposition: Ireland (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    62 runs off 165 balls in 3 ODI matches — strike rate 37.6 vs 73.1 overall, average 20.7 vs 30.3 overall.

  • Opposition: New Zealand (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    83 runs off 138 balls in 4 ODI matches — strike rate 60.1 vs 73.1 overall, average 20.8 vs 30.3 overall.

  • Venue: The Cooper Associates County Ground, Taunton (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    64 runs off 232 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 27.6 vs 57.0 overall, not yet dismissed vs 35.2 overall.

  • Venue: Al Amerat Cricket Ground Oman Cricket (Ministry Turf 1) (ODI)MEDIUM sample

    135 runs off 209 balls in 4 ODI matches — strike rate 64.6 vs 73.1 overall, average 33.8 vs 30.3 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

SussexFIRST_CLASS4268406134.066.06.465.0HIGH
SurreyFIRST_CLASS413228416.546.57.778.9MEDIUM
GlamorganFIRST_CLASS2170250—68.05.657.6MEDIUM
GloucestershireFIRST_CLASS213023465.055.69.474.4MEDIUM
SomersetFIRST_CLASS264232—27.63.487.9MEDIUM
PakistanODI417722944.377.35.752.0MEDIUM
ScotlandODI421117370.3122.013.341.6MEDIUM
EnglandODI412816832.076.25.451.2MEDIUM
IrelandODI36216520.737.63.677.0MEDIUM
United Arab EmiratesODI412415762.079.06.451.0MEDIUM
New ZealandODI48313820.860.18.063.8MEDIUM
NottinghamshireFIRST_CLASS215813679.0116.220.652.9MEDIUM
EssexFIRST_CLASS26211215.555.47.166.1LOW
OmanODI39011130.081.110.862.2LOW
West IndiesODI47510918.868.84.654.1LOW
New ZealandT202119101119.0117.811.931.7LOW
YorkshireFIRST_CLASS2529226.056.54.371.7LOW
United States of AmericaT20211484114.0135.716.729.8LOW
NepalODI2688368.081.912.061.4LOW
NamibiaT20210277—132.514.329.9LOW
Sri LankaODI2477423.563.54.154.1LOW
NamibiaODI3457122.563.47.067.6LOW
WorcestershireFIRST_CLASS412682.017.60.085.3LOW
LancashireLIST_A1726272.0116.114.537.1LOW
NottinghamshireT203715335.5134.013.222.6LOW
IndiaT202494624.5106.58.739.1LOW
SomersetLIST_A2304115.073.29.858.5LOW
PakistanT202364118.087.812.248.8LOW
KentLIST_A1473647.0130.613.936.1LOW
OmanT20325368.369.40.038.9LOW
IrelandT202403540.0114.38.622.9LOW
ScotlandT202283314.084.89.151.5LOW
BangladeshODI1173217.053.16.368.8LOW

Bowling

SussexFIRST_CLASS648450144.232.1HIGH
YorkshireFIRST_CLASS48030883.938.5HIGH
NottinghamshireFIRST_CLASS43225423.5127.0HIGH
SurreyFIRST_CLASS40828884.236.0HIGH
GlamorganFIRST_CLASS372270124.422.5HIGH
WorcestershireFIRST_CLASS34826484.633.0MEDIUM
LancashireFIRST_CLASS28213222.866.0MEDIUM
KentFIRST_CLASS21612863.621.3MEDIUM
PakistanODI20418295.420.2MEDIUM
West IndiesODI13818458.036.8LOW
SomersetFIRST_CLASS13211825.459.0LOW
GloucestershireFIRST_CLASS1209624.848.0LOW
EnglandODI12018839.462.7LOW
NepalODI1178144.220.3LOW
EssexFIRST_CLASS1087404.1—LOW
New ZealandODI10811816.6118.0LOW
ScotlandODI1089655.319.2LOW
United Arab EmiratesODI1054922.824.5LOW
SomersetLIST_A8410527.552.5LOW
OmanODI786404.9—LOW
Sri LankaODI767135.623.7LOW
NamibiaODI665515.055.0LOW
AustraliaODI60115211.557.5LOW
IndiaODI608228.241.0LOW
United States of AmericaODI603723.718.5LOW
KentLIST_A544615.146.0LOW
WorcestershireLIST_A543413.834.0LOW
NottinghamshireT2054104211.652.0LOW
LancashireLIST_A483334.111.0LOW
NorthamptonshireLIST_A484315.443.0LOW
South AfricaODI483624.518.0LOW
ScotlandT20485747.114.3LOW
DerbyshireLIST_A474806.1—LOW
ZimbabweT20433344.68.3LOW
BangladeshODI422523.612.5LOW
IndiaT20426108.7—LOW
NorthamptonshireT204273210.436.5LOW
United States of AmericaT20426058.612.0LOW
South AfricaT20415938.619.7LOW
ZimbabweODI365118.551.0LOW
BangladeshT203660210.030.0LOW
NamibiaT20363846.39.5LOW
Sri LankaT203663210.531.5LOW
YorkshireT203660210.030.0LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Riverside Ground, Chester-le-StreetFIRST_CLASS18672106837.362.96.766.5HIGH
Sportpark Maarschalkerweerd, UtrechtODI515526038.859.66.967.7MEDIUM
VRA Ground, AmstelveenODI819524032.581.35.850.4MEDIUM
County Ground, BristolFIRST_CLASS213023465.055.69.474.4MEDIUM
The Cooper Associates County Ground, TauntonFIRST_CLASS264232—27.63.487.9MEDIUM
Al Amerat Cricket Ground Oman Cricket (Ministry Turf 1)ODI413520933.864.65.759.8MEDIUM
Kennington Oval, LondonFIRST_CLASS212219430.562.911.373.2MEDIUM
Hazelaarweg, RotterdamODI411016627.566.33.054.8MEDIUM
Sportpark Westvliet, The HagueT20518616362.0114.111.031.9MEDIUM
Queens Sports Club, BulawayoODI216414482.0113.910.439.6MEDIUM
County Ground, ChelmsfordFIRST_CLASS26211215.555.47.166.1LOW
Takashinga Sports Club, Highfield, HarareODI37811039.070.96.454.5LOW
Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, KirtipurODI37210836.066.78.366.7LOW
Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal, HyderabadODI2859342.591.411.853.8LOW
Seddon Park, HamiltonODI2589229.063.07.658.7LOW
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-StreetT207917222.8126.48.323.6LOW
Bulawayo Athletic ClubT2019167—135.817.929.9LOW
Queens Sports Club, BulawayoT204796626.3119.710.628.8LOW
The Cricket Field, Sedbergh SchoolLIST_A1726272.0116.114.537.1LOW
GMHBA Stadium, South Geelong, VictoriaT203585729.0101.88.838.6LOW
Roseworth Terrace, GosforthLIST_A2334916.567.36.157.1LOW
Arun Jaitley Stadium, DelhiT2017248—150.018.831.3LOW
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-StreetLIST_A3364418.081.89.152.3LOW
Trent Bridge, NottinghamT201584158.0141.517.122.0LOW
St Lawrence Ground, CanterburyLIST_A1473647.0130.613.936.1LOW
Al Amerat Cricket Ground Oman Cricket (Ministry Turf 1)T20325368.369.40.038.9LOW
Eden Gardens, KolkataODI1173217.053.16.368.8LOW

Bowling

Riverside Ground, Chester-le-StreetFIRST_CLASS23701508403.837.7HIGH
Kennington Oval, LondonFIRST_CLASS31221284.126.5MEDIUM
North Marine Road Ground, ScarboroughFIRST_CLASS19214044.435.0MEDIUM
Hazelaarweg, RotterdamODI16813454.826.8MEDIUM
VRA Ground, AmstelveenODI16222638.475.3MEDIUM
Chester Road North Ground, KidderminsterFIRST_CLASS1569823.849.0MEDIUM
County Ground, New Road, WorcesterFIRST_CLASS15613665.222.7MEDIUM
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-StreetLIST_A15514435.648.0MEDIUM
Takashinga Sports Club, Highfield, HarareODI14414065.823.3LOW
Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, KirtipurODI13510534.735.0LOW
The Cooper Associates County Ground, TauntonFIRST_CLASS13211825.459.0LOW
County Ground, BristolFIRST_CLASS1209624.848.0LOW
Queens Sports Club, BulawayoODI1189484.811.8LOW
Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal, HyderabadODI11412656.625.2LOW
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-StreetT20114218511.543.6LOW
County Ground, ChelmsfordFIRST_CLASS1087404.1—LOW
Al Amerat Cricket Ground Oman Cricket (Ministry Turf 1)ODI965013.150.0LOW
Harare Sports ClubODI909816.598.0LOW
Sportpark Westvliet, VoorburgT20787665.812.7LOW
Queens Sports Club, BulawayoT20735874.88.3LOW
Sportpark Westvliet, The HagueT207210949.127.3LOW
Sportpark Maarschalkerweerd, UtrechtODI695014.350.0LOW
Arun Jaitley Stadium, DelhiODI60115211.557.5LOW
M Chinnaswamy Stadium, BengaluruODI608228.241.0LOW
Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium, PuneODI607437.424.7LOW
County Ground, New Road, WorcesterLIST_A543413.834.0LOW
St Lawrence Ground, CanterburyLIST_A544615.146.0LOW
GMHBA Stadium, South Geelong, VictoriaT20546877.69.7LOW
Roseworth Terrace, GosforthLIST_A497128.735.5LOW
The Cricket Field, Sedbergh SchoolLIST_A483334.111.0LOW
Himachal Pradesh Cricket Association Stadium, DharamsalaODI483624.518.0LOW
Eden Gardens, KolkataODI422523.612.5LOW
Adelaide OvalT20423945.69.8LOW
Seddon Park, HamiltonODI363706.2—LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS281056185235.257.07.170.7HIGH
UnknownODI411110155030.871.66.857.9HIGH
UnknownT204486977327.2112.410.934.4HIGH
UnknownLIST_A818819426.996.910.846.4MEDIUM

Bowling

UnknownFIRST_CLASS35462382644.037.2HIGH
UnknownODI13421340436.031.2HIGH
UnknownT207711069508.321.4HIGH
UnknownLIST_A360328105.532.8HIGH
ZimbabweODI909816.598.0LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS28954171034.155.87.071.3HIGH
middleODI41948132729.671.46.957.5HIGH
middleT203241638229.7108.98.629.6HIGH
deathT202326820322.3132.013.325.6MEDIUM
powerplayT202218518830.898.412.853.7MEDIUM
powerplayODI1275153—49.04.669.9MEDIUM
middleLIST_A613114526.290.39.747.6MEDIUM
new_ballFIRST_CLASS610214251.071.88.563.4MEDIUM
deathODI81309721.7134.012.439.2LOW
deathLIST_A2574657.0123.915.239.1LOW

Bowling

old_ballFIRST_CLASS32702184624.035.2HIGH
middleODI1107992235.443.1HIGH
middleT20312387157.425.8MEDIUM
new_ballFIRST_CLASS27619824.399.0MEDIUM
deathT20266370248.315.4MEDIUM
deathODI253357208.517.9MEDIUM
powerplayT20193312119.728.4MEDIUM
powerplayLIST_A18615244.938.0MEDIUM
middleLIST_A10310956.321.8LOW
powerplayODI728917.489.0LOW
deathLIST_A716715.767.0LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEFIRST_CLASS2460898638.061.77.769.4HIGH
SPINFIRST_CLASS2041880434.852.06.572.1HIGH
SPINODI3756278240.171.95.654.9HIGH
PACEODI3844961926.472.58.261.1HIGH
SPINT203642738132.8112.110.832.0HIGH
PACET203939334223.1114.911.436.8HIGH
UNKNOWNODI1414217620.380.79.157.4MEDIUM
SPINLIST_A7889144.096.79.940.7LOW
PACELIST_A7848216.8102.412.247.6LOW
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS8306215.048.46.574.2LOW
UNKNOWNT208495024.598.08.036.0LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.