Cricket betting

BG Lister betting stats, splits & projections

All-rounder

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.


overall	FIRST_CLASS	38	322	1090	10.7	29.5	3.7	84.8	HIGH
overall	T20	19	63	64	7.0	98.4	10.9	46.9	LOW
overall	ODI	3	10	14	10.0	71.4	7.1	57.1	LOW


overall	FIRST_CLASS	6870	3086	108	2.7	28.6	HIGH
overall	T20	1227	1623	63	7.9	25.8	HIGH
overall	ODI	156	158	4	6.1	39.5	MEDIUM

Why we like it

Splits where BG Lister scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

Opposition: Canterbury (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
136 runs off 344 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 39.5 vs 29.5 overall, average 22.7 vs 10.7 overall.
Opposition: Wellington Firebirds (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
104 runs off 240 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 43.3 vs 29.5 overall, average 17.3 vs 10.7 overall.
Venue: Hagley Oval (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
84 runs off 188 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 44.7 vs 29.5 overall, average 42.0 vs 10.7 overall.
Phase: new_ball (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
92 runs off 216 balls in 16 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 42.6 vs 29.5 overall, average 15.3 vs 10.7 overall.
Venue: Cello Basin Reserve (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample
48 runs off 90 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 53.3 vs 29.5 overall, average 24.0 vs 10.7 overall.
Bowling type: UNKNOWN (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample
52 runs off 112 balls in 14 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 46.4 vs 29.5 overall, average 8.7 vs 10.7 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

Opposition: Otago Volts (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
54 runs off 322 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 16.8 vs 29.5 overall, average 6.8 vs 10.7 overall.
Venue: Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
62 runs off 308 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 20.1 vs 29.5 overall, average 6.2 vs 10.7 overall.
Bowling type: SPIN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
90 runs off 426 balls in 28 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 21.1 vs 29.5 overall, average 45.0 vs 10.7 overall.
Opposition: Northern Districts (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
28 runs off 136 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 20.6 vs 29.5 overall, average 7.0 vs 10.7 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.


Canterbury	FIRST_CLASS	8	136	344	22.7	39.5	5.8	80.2	HIGH
Otago Volts	FIRST_CLASS	10	54	322	6.8	16.8	0.6	88.2	HIGH
Wellington Firebirds	FIRST_CLASS	6	104	240	17.3	43.3	5.8	80.8	MEDIUM
Northern Districts	FIRST_CLASS	10	28	136	7.0	20.6	2.9	89.7	MEDIUM
Central Stags	FIRST_CLASS	4	0	48	0.0	0.0	0.0	100.0	LOW

Bowling


Northern Districts	FIRST_CLASS	1816	746	28	2.5	26.6	HIGH
Otago Volts	FIRST_CLASS	1548	726	30	2.8	24.2	HIGH
Canterbury	FIRST_CLASS	1308	680	16	3.1	42.5	HIGH
Wellington Firebirds	FIRST_CLASS	1284	588	20	2.7	29.4	HIGH
Central Stags	FIRST_CLASS	914	346	14	2.3	24.7	HIGH
Central Districts	T20	198	246	10	7.5	24.6	MEDIUM
Canterbury	T20	197	242	12	7.4	20.2	MEDIUM
Otago	T20	173	246	8	8.5	30.8	MEDIUM
Wellington	T20	132	185	10	8.4	18.5	LOW
Northern Districts	T20	120	154	4	7.7	38.5	LOW
England	ODI	96	101	3	6.3	33.7	LOW
Sri Lanka	T20	72	106	5	8.8	21.2	LOW
Pakistan	T20	71	92	3	7.8	30.7	LOW
Pakistan	ODI	60	57	1	5.7	57.0	LOW
United Arab Emirates	T20	54	76	3	8.4	25.3	LOW
Derbyshire	T20	48	72	3	9.0	24.0	LOW
Worcestershire	T20	48	43	4	5.4	10.8	LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.


Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland	FIRST_CLASS	10	62	308	6.2	20.1	2.6	89.0	HIGH
Hagley Oval	FIRST_CLASS	2	84	188	42.0	44.7	6.4	79.8	MEDIUM
Colin Maiden Park	FIRST_CLASS	2	26	110	6.5	23.6	1.8	87.3	LOW
Cello Basin Reserve	FIRST_CLASS	2	48	90	24.0	53.3	6.7	77.8	LOW
Seddon Park	FIRST_CLASS	2	26	84	—	31.0	4.8	85.7	LOW
University of Otago Oval	FIRST_CLASS	2	14	58	7.0	24.1	0.0	82.8	LOW
University Oval, Dunedin	FIRST_CLASS	2	16	58	—	27.6	0.0	79.3	LOW
Mainpower Oval	FIRST_CLASS	2	30	46	—	65.2	13.0	73.9	LOW
Bert Sutcliffe Oval, Lincoln	FIRST_CLASS	2	10	44	5.0	22.7	4.5	81.8	LOW
McLean Park	FIRST_CLASS	2	0	38	0.0	0.0	0.0	100.0	LOW

Bowling


Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland	FIRST_CLASS	2440	1118	42	2.7	26.6	HIGH
Kennards Hire Community Oval	FIRST_CLASS	1334	636	18	2.9	35.3	HIGH
McLean Park	FIRST_CLASS	456	170	12	2.2	14.2	HIGH
Seddon Park	FIRST_CLASS	408	98	8	1.4	12.3	HIGH
Cello Basin Reserve	FIRST_CLASS	372	130	10	2.1	13.0	HIGH
Molyneux Park, Alexandra	FIRST_CLASS	324	162	6	3.0	27.0	MEDIUM
Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland	T20	228	285	15	7.5	19.0	MEDIUM
Colin Maiden Park	FIRST_CLASS	204	118	0	3.5	—	MEDIUM
Hagley Oval	FIRST_CLASS	204	124	2	3.6	62.0	MEDIUM
University of Otago Oval	FIRST_CLASS	204	122	6	3.6	20.3	MEDIUM
University Oval, Dunedin	FIRST_CLASS	204	56	4	1.6	14.0	MEDIUM
Cobham Oval	FIRST_CLASS	192	70	0	2.2	—	MEDIUM
Fitzherbert Park, Palmerston North	FIRST_CLASS	192	70	0	2.2	—	MEDIUM
Mainpower Oval	FIRST_CLASS	192	92	0	2.9	—	MEDIUM
Bert Sutcliffe Oval, Lincoln	FIRST_CLASS	144	120	0	5.0	—	LOW
Eden Park Outer Oval	T20	135	206	5	9.2	41.2	LOW
Eden Park, Auckland	T20	100	136	5	8.2	27.2	LOW
Trent Bridge, Nottingham	T20	93	113	4	7.3	28.3	LOW
John Davies Oval, Queenstown	T20	72	80	5	6.7	16.0	LOW
Hagley Oval, Christchurch	T20	71	84	6	7.1	14.0	LOW
Kennington Oval, London	ODI	60	69	3	6.9	23.0	LOW
National Stadium, Karachi	ODI	60	57	1	5.7	57.0	LOW
Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore	T20	59	82	2	8.3	41.0	LOW
Dubai International Cricket Stadium	T20	54	76	3	8.4	25.3	LOW
Pukekura Park	T20	48	51	5	6.4	10.2	LOW
Lord's, London	ODI	36	32	0	5.3	—	LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.


Unknown	FIRST_CLASS	36	238	902	8.5	26.4	3.1	85.8	HIGH
New Zealand	FIRST_CLASS	2	84	188	42.0	44.7	6.4	79.8	MEDIUM
Unknown	T20	16	61	60	8.7	101.7	11.7	46.7	LOW

Bowling


Unknown	FIRST_CLASS	6666	2962	106	2.7	27.9	HIGH
Unknown	T20	1056	1372	57	7.8	24.1	HIGH
New Zealand	FIRST_CLASS	204	124	2	3.6	62.0	MEDIUM
New Zealand	T20	159	241	5	9.1	48.2	MEDIUM
Unknown	ODI	156	158	4	6.1	39.5	MEDIUM

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.


old_ball	FIRST_CLASS	34	230	874	9.6	26.3	3.0	86.3	HIGH
new_ball	FIRST_CLASS	16	92	216	15.3	42.6	6.5	78.7	MEDIUM
death	T20	17	60	56	7.5	107.1	12.5	44.6	LOW

Bowling


old_ball	FIRST_CLASS	3882	1716	66	2.7	26.0	HIGH
new_ball	FIRST_CLASS	2988	1370	42	2.8	32.6	HIGH
powerplay	T20	690	903	25	7.9	36.1	HIGH
death	T20	371	521	31	8.4	16.8	HIGH
middle	T20	166	199	7	7.2	28.4	MEDIUM
middle	ODI	84	84	0	6.0	—	LOW
death	ODI	36	46	4	7.7	11.5	LOW
powerplay	ODI	36	28	0	4.7	—	LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.


PACE	FIRST_CLASS	32	180	552	8.2	32.6	4.7	85.1	HIGH
SPIN	FIRST_CLASS	28	90	426	45.0	21.1	2.3	86.9	HIGH
UNKNOWN	FIRST_CLASS	14	52	112	8.7	46.4	3.6	75.0	LOW
PACE	T20	13	45	38	7.5	118.4	13.2	42.1	LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.