BJ Curran betting stats, splits & projections
Batter
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 34 | 1268 | 2562 | 21.9 | 49.5 | 6.9 | 75.3 | HIGH |
| overall | TEST | 6 | 254 | 525 | 23.1 | 48.4 | 5.5 | 73.7 | HIGH |
| overall | T20 | 26 | 434 | 335 | 16.7 | 129.6 | 19.1 | 36.7 | HIGH |
| overall | LIST_A | 10 | 264 | 297 | 33.0 | 88.9 | 8.8 | 43.8 | MEDIUM |
| overall | ODI | 3 | 164 | 210 | 82.0 | 78.1 | 8.6 | 54.8 | MEDIUM |
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 96 | 62 | 2 | 3.9 | 31.0 | LOW |
Why we like it
Splits where BJ Curran scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Opposition: Glamorgan (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
308 runs off 646 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 47.7 vs 49.5 overall, average 38.5 vs 21.9 overall.
- Opposition: Bangladesh (TEST)HIGH sample
171 runs off 332 balls in 3 TEST matches — strike rate 51.5 vs 48.4 overall, average 34.2 vs 23.1 overall.
- Opposition: Leicestershire (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
134 runs off 272 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 49.3 vs 49.5 overall, average 33.5 vs 21.9 overall.
- Opposition: Warwickshire (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
136 runs off 224 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 60.7 vs 49.5 overall, average 34.0 vs 21.9 overall.
- Opposition: Somerset (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
90 runs off 148 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 60.8 vs 49.5 overall, average 22.5 vs 21.9 overall.
- Venue: Grace Road, Leicester (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
134 runs off 272 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 49.3 vs 49.5 overall, average 33.5 vs 21.9 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
- Opposition: Sussex (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
112 runs off 250 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 44.8 vs 49.5 overall, average 11.2 vs 21.9 overall.
- Opposition: Gloucestershire (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
54 runs off 120 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 45.0 vs 49.5 overall, average 13.5 vs 21.9 overall.
- Phase: middle (LIST A)MEDIUM sample
151 runs off 193 balls in 7 LIST A matches — strike rate 78.2 vs 88.9 overall, average 30.2 vs 33.0 overall.
- Phase: middle (ODI)MEDIUM sample
84 runs off 126 balls in 3 ODI matches — strike rate 66.7 vs 78.1 overall, average 42.0 vs 82.0 overall.
- Opposition: England (TEST)LOW sample
43 runs off 113 balls in 1 TEST match — strike rate 38.1 vs 48.4 overall, average 21.5 vs 23.1 overall.
- Opposition: Yorkshire (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample
48 runs off 106 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 45.3 vs 49.5 overall, average 12.0 vs 21.9 overall.
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| Glamorgan | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 308 | 646 | 38.5 | 47.7 | 5.6 | 74.9 | HIGH |
| Durham | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 174 | 404 | 29.0 | 43.1 | 5.4 | 75.7 | HIGH |
| Bangladesh | TEST | 3 | 171 | 332 | 34.2 | 51.5 | 6.9 | 74.4 | HIGH |
| Leicestershire | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 134 | 272 | 33.5 | 49.3 | 7.4 | 77.2 | MEDIUM |
| Sussex | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 112 | 250 | 11.2 | 44.8 | 4.8 | 72.0 | MEDIUM |
| Warwickshire | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 136 | 224 | 34.0 | 60.7 | 10.7 | 75.0 | MEDIUM |
| Worcestershire | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 116 | 218 | 19.3 | 53.2 | 6.4 | 73.4 | MEDIUM |
| Ireland | ODI | 3 | 164 | 210 | 82.0 | 78.1 | 8.6 | 54.8 | MEDIUM |
| Somerset | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 90 | 148 | 22.5 | 60.8 | 12.2 | 74.3 | MEDIUM |
| Gloucestershire | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 54 | 120 | 13.5 | 45.0 | 6.7 | 76.7 | MEDIUM |
| England | TEST | 1 | 43 | 113 | 21.5 | 38.1 | 0.9 | 70.8 | LOW |
| Yorkshire | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 48 | 106 | 12.0 | 45.3 | 9.4 | 81.1 | LOW |
| Kent | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 50 | 98 | 12.5 | 51.0 | 6.1 | 77.6 | LOW |
| Somerset | LIST_A | 1 | 94 | 93 | 94.0 | 101.1 | 10.8 | 38.7 | LOW |
| Durham | T20 | 3 | 149 | 84 | 49.7 | 177.4 | 33.3 | 31.0 | LOW |
| Lancashire | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 46 | 76 | 11.5 | 60.5 | 7.9 | 73.7 | LOW |
| Leicestershire | LIST_A | 2 | 70 | 72 | 70.0 | 97.2 | 8.3 | 34.7 | LOW |
| Lancashire | T20 | 3 | 88 | 71 | 29.3 | 123.9 | 14.1 | 28.2 | LOW |
| Glamorgan | LIST_A | 1 | 55 | 60 | 55.0 | 91.7 | 8.3 | 43.3 | LOW |
| New Zealand | TEST | 1 | 24 | 46 | 12.0 | 52.2 | 6.5 | 76.1 | LOW |
| Birmingham Bears | T20 | 4 | 35 | 37 | 8.8 | 94.6 | 13.5 | 40.5 | LOW |
| Leicestershire | T20 | 3 | 38 | 34 | 12.7 | 111.8 | 11.8 | 26.5 | LOW |
| Ireland | TEST | 1 | 16 | 34 | 8.0 | 47.1 | 5.9 | 73.5 | LOW |
| India | T20 | 3 | 31 | 32 | 10.3 | 96.9 | 12.5 | 53.1 | LOW |
Bowling
| Kent | FIRST_CLASS | 96 | 62 | 2 | 3.9 | 31.0 | LOW |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| County Ground, Northampton | FIRST_CLASS | 22 | 806 | 1706 | 22.4 | 47.2 | 6.0 | 75.0 | HIGH |
| Grace Road, Leicester | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 134 | 272 | 33.5 | 49.3 | 7.4 | 77.2 | MEDIUM |
| Edgbaston, Birmingham | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 136 | 224 | 34.0 | 60.7 | 10.7 | 75.0 | MEDIUM |
| Harare Sports Club | ODI | 3 | 164 | 210 | 82.0 | 78.1 | 8.6 | 54.8 | MEDIUM |
| County Ground, Northampton | LIST_A | 5 | 172 | 186 | 34.4 | 92.5 | 9.1 | 43.0 | MEDIUM |
| County Ground, Northampton | T20 | 8 | 256 | 178 | 32.0 | 143.8 | 23.0 | 30.3 | MEDIUM |
| Zahur Ahmed Chowdhury Stadium, Chattogram | TEST | 1 | 67 | 152 | 33.5 | 44.1 | 5.9 | 77.6 | MEDIUM |
| Sylhet International Cricket Stadium | TEST | 1 | 62 | 129 | 31.0 | 48.1 | 7.0 | 75.2 | MEDIUM |
| Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 64 | 116 | 32.0 | 55.2 | 6.9 | 70.7 | LOW |
| Trent Bridge, Nottingham | TEST | 1 | 43 | 113 | 21.5 | 38.1 | 0.9 | 70.8 | LOW |
| Headingley, Leeds | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 48 | 106 | 12.0 | 45.3 | 9.4 | 81.1 | LOW |
| Queens Sports Club, Bulawayo | TEST | 2 | 40 | 80 | 10.0 | 50.0 | 6.3 | 75.0 | LOW |
| Old Trafford, Manchester | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 46 | 76 | 11.5 | 60.5 | 7.9 | 73.7 | LOW |
| Grace Road, Leicester | LIST_A | 1 | 69 | 68 | — | 101.5 | 8.8 | 32.4 | LOW |
| County Ground, Hove | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 34 | 62 | 8.5 | 54.8 | 9.7 | 74.2 | LOW |
| Harare Sports Club | TEST | 1 | 42 | 51 | 42.0 | 82.4 | 9.8 | 62.7 | LOW |
| Namibia Cricket Ground, Windhoek | T20 | 5 | 71 | 44 | 14.2 | 161.4 | 25.0 | 38.6 | LOW |
| Harare Sports Club | T20 | 3 | 31 | 32 | 10.3 | 96.9 | 12.5 | 53.1 | LOW |
| Old Trafford, Manchester | T20 | 2 | 38 | 30 | 19.0 | 126.7 | 13.3 | 30.0 | LOW |
Bowling
| County Ground, Northampton | FIRST_CLASS | 96 | 62 | 2 | 3.9 | 31.0 | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 34 | 1268 | 2562 | 21.9 | 49.5 | 6.9 | 75.3 | HIGH |
| Unknown | TEST | 5 | 212 | 474 | 21.2 | 44.7 | 5.1 | 74.9 | HIGH |
| Unknown | LIST_A | 10 | 264 | 297 | 33.0 | 88.9 | 8.8 | 43.8 | MEDIUM |
| Unknown | T20 | 21 | 395 | 287 | 18.8 | 137.6 | 20.6 | 33.4 | MEDIUM |
| Zimbabwe | ODI | 3 | 164 | 210 | 82.0 | 78.1 | 8.6 | 54.8 | MEDIUM |
| Zimbabwe | TEST | 1 | 42 | 51 | 42.0 | 82.4 | 9.8 | 62.7 | LOW |
| Zimbabwe | T20 | 3 | 31 | 32 | 10.3 | 96.9 | 12.5 | 53.1 | LOW |
Bowling
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 96 | 62 | 2 | 3.9 | 31.0 | LOW |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| new_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 34 | 716 | 1368 | 29.8 | 52.3 | 7.6 | 74.7 | HIGH |
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 26 | 552 | 1194 | 16.2 | 46.2 | 6.0 | 75.9 | HIGH |
| new_ball | TEST | 6 | 136 | 283 | 27.2 | 48.1 | 6.0 | 76.0 | MEDIUM |
| old_ball | TEST | 4 | 118 | 242 | 19.7 | 48.8 | 5.0 | 71.1 | MEDIUM |
| powerplay | T20 | 26 | 293 | 234 | 17.2 | 125.2 | 18.8 | 40.2 | MEDIUM |
| middle | LIST_A | 7 | 151 | 193 | 30.2 | 78.2 | 5.2 | 43.0 | MEDIUM |
| middle | ODI | 3 | 84 | 126 | 42.0 | 66.7 | 4.8 | 52.4 | MEDIUM |
| middle | T20 | 9 | 132 | 97 | 16.5 | 136.1 | 18.6 | 28.9 | LOW |
| powerplay | ODI | 3 | 80 | 84 | — | 95.2 | 14.3 | 58.3 | LOW |
| powerplay | LIST_A | 6 | 64 | 68 | 32.0 | 94.1 | 14.7 | 55.9 | LOW |
| death | LIST_A | 2 | 49 | 36 | 49.0 | 136.1 | 16.7 | 25.0 | LOW |
Bowling
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 96 | 62 | 2 | 3.9 | 31.0 | LOW |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| PACE | FIRST_CLASS | 34 | 1020 | 2140 | 20.4 | 47.7 | 6.6 | 76.1 | HIGH |
| PACE | TEST | 6 | 158 | 323 | 22.6 | 48.9 | 5.0 | 72.1 | HIGH |
| SPIN | FIRST_CLASS | 20 | 182 | 296 | 22.8 | 61.5 | 8.8 | 68.9 | MEDIUM |
| PACE | LIST_A | 10 | 188 | 201 | 31.3 | 93.5 | 10.9 | 45.8 | MEDIUM |
| PACE | T20 | 22 | 237 | 182 | 15.8 | 130.2 | 21.4 | 42.9 | MEDIUM |
| SPIN | TEST | 4 | 85 | 181 | 21.3 | 47.0 | 6.1 | 76.2 | MEDIUM |
| SPIN | T20 | 17 | 182 | 140 | 20.2 | 130.0 | 17.9 | 30.7 | MEDIUM |
| UNKNOWN | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 66 | 126 | — | 52.4 | 6.3 | 76.2 | MEDIUM |
| PACE | ODI | 3 | 101 | 121 | — | 83.5 | 9.9 | 54.5 | MEDIUM |
| SPIN | LIST_A | 6 | 76 | 96 | 38.0 | 79.2 | 4.2 | 39.6 | LOW |
| SPIN | ODI | 3 | 63 | 89 | 31.5 | 70.8 | 6.7 | 55.1 | LOW |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.