BJ McCarthy betting stats, splits & projections
Bowler
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | T20 | 27 | 217 | 175 | 12.8 | 124.0 | 15.4 | 42.3 | MEDIUM |
| overall | TEST | 3 | 68 | 147 | 13.6 | 46.3 | 4.8 | 76.2 | MEDIUM |
| overall | ODI | 6 | 56 | 74 | 11.2 | 75.7 | 8.1 | 54.1 | LOW |
| overall | T20 | 966 | 1370 | 46 | 8.5 | 29.8 | HIGH |
| overall | ODI | 719 | 710 | 22 | 5.9 | 32.3 | HIGH |
| overall | TEST | 471 | 244 | 12 | 3.1 | 20.3 | HIGH |
Why we like it
Splits where BJ McCarthy scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Bowling type: PACE (T20)MEDIUM sample
166 runs off 122 balls in 24 T20 matches — strike rate 136.1 vs 124.0 overall, average 13.8 vs 12.8 overall.
- Opposition: Bangladesh (TEST)LOW sample
56 runs off 91 balls in 1 TEST match — strike rate 61.5 vs 46.3 overall, average 28.0 vs 13.6 overall.
- Venue: Sylhet International Cricket Stadium (TEST)LOW sample
56 runs off 91 balls in 1 TEST match — strike rate 61.5 vs 46.3 overall, average 28.0 vs 13.6 overall.
- Phase: death (T20)LOW sample
172 runs off 119 balls in 23 T20 matches — strike rate 144.5 vs 124.0 overall, average 13.2 vs 12.8 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
No split is materially below their own format baseline.
Current projections
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| Bangladesh | TEST | 1 | 56 | 91 | 28.0 | 61.5 | 7.7 | 71.4 | LOW |
| Zimbabwe | TEST | 2 | 12 | 56 | 4.0 | 21.4 | 0.0 | 83.9 | LOW |
| India | T20 | 3 | 53 | 42 | 26.5 | 126.2 | 19.0 | 52.4 | LOW |
| England | ODI | 1 | 41 | 37 | 41.0 | 110.8 | 13.5 | 37.8 | LOW |
Bowling
| Zimbabwe | TEST | 369 | 172 | 10 | 2.8 | 17.2 | HIGH |
| Netherlands | ODI | 168 | 119 | 2 | 4.3 | 59.5 | MEDIUM |
| West Indies | ODI | 163 | 200 | 9 | 7.4 | 22.2 | MEDIUM |
| United Arab Emirates | ODI | 132 | 113 | 3 | 5.1 | 37.7 | LOW |
| Zimbabwe | T20 | 108 | 143 | 5 | 7.9 | 28.6 | LOW |
| Bangladesh | TEST | 102 | 72 | 2 | 4.2 | 36.0 | LOW |
| Italy | T20 | 87 | 131 | 4 | 9.0 | 32.8 | LOW |
| England | ODI | 84 | 110 | 1 | 7.9 | 110.0 | LOW |
| New Zealand | T20 | 72 | 119 | 0 | 9.9 | — | LOW |
| Scotland | T20 | 72 | 140 | 2 | 11.7 | 70.0 | LOW |
| United Arab Emirates | T20 | 69 | 96 | 4 | 8.3 | 24.0 | LOW |
| Nepal | ODI | 60 | 63 | 2 | 6.3 | 31.5 | LOW |
| United States of America | ODI | 58 | 49 | 2 | 5.1 | 24.5 | LOW |
| England | T20 | 58 | 85 | 2 | 8.8 | 42.5 | LOW |
| Sri Lanka | ODI | 54 | 56 | 3 | 6.2 | 18.7 | LOW |
| India | T20 | 50 | 68 | 2 | 8.2 | 34.0 | LOW |
| Bangladesh | T20 | 48 | 50 | 3 | 6.3 | 16.7 | LOW |
| Netherlands | T20 | 48 | 71 | 0 | 8.9 | — | LOW |
| Pakistan | T20 | 48 | 54 | 3 | 6.8 | 18.0 | LOW |
| South Africa | T20 | 48 | 86 | 1 | 10.8 | 86.0 | LOW |
| West Indies | T20 | 48 | 88 | 2 | 11.0 | 44.0 | LOW |
| Australia | T20 | 42 | 66 | 3 | 9.4 | 22.0 | LOW |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| Sylhet International Cricket Stadium | TEST | 1 | 56 | 91 | 28.0 | 61.5 | 7.7 | 71.4 | LOW |
| Trent Bridge, Nottingham | ODI | 1 | 41 | 37 | 41.0 | 110.8 | 13.5 | 37.8 | LOW |
| Queens Sports Club, Bulawayo | TEST | 1 | 11 | 37 | 5.5 | 29.7 | 0.0 | 81.1 | LOW |
| Malahide, Dublin | T20 | 2 | 53 | 36 | 53.0 | 147.2 | 22.2 | 44.4 | LOW |
Bowling
| Civil Service Cricket Club, Stormont, Belfast | TEST | 189 | 75 | 4 | 2.4 | 18.8 | MEDIUM |
| Queens Sports Club, Bulawayo | TEST | 180 | 97 | 6 | 3.2 | 16.2 | MEDIUM |
| Sportpark Maarschalkerweerd, Utrecht | ODI | 168 | 119 | 2 | 4.3 | 59.5 | MEDIUM |
| Castle Avenue, Dublin | ODI | 163 | 200 | 9 | 7.4 | 22.2 | MEDIUM |
| Takashinga Sports Club, Highfield, Harare | ODI | 118 | 112 | 4 | 5.7 | 28.0 | LOW |
| Sylhet International Cricket Stadium | TEST | 102 | 72 | 2 | 4.2 | 36.0 | LOW |
| Sheikh Zayed Stadium | ODI | 90 | 86 | 2 | 5.7 | 43.0 | LOW |
| Bellerive Oval, Hobart | T20 | 84 | 132 | 1 | 9.4 | 132.0 | LOW |
| Harare Sports Club | T20 | 84 | 119 | 5 | 8.5 | 23.8 | LOW |
| Grange Cricket Club Ground, Raeburn Place, Edinburgh | T20 | 72 | 80 | 6 | 6.7 | 13.3 | LOW |
| Sportpark Westvliet, The Hague | T20 | 72 | 110 | 0 | 9.2 | — | LOW |
| 7he Sevens Stadium, Dubai | T20 | 63 | 97 | 4 | 9.2 | 24.3 | LOW |
| Trent Bridge, Nottingham | ODI | 60 | 71 | 1 | 7.1 | 71.0 | LOW |
| Queens Sports Club, Bulawayo | ODI | 54 | 56 | 3 | 6.2 | 18.7 | LOW |
| Bir Sreshtho Flight Lieutenant Matiur Rahman Stadium, Chattogram | T20 | 48 | 50 | 3 | 6.3 | 16.7 | LOW |
| Civil Service Cricket Club, Stormont, Belfast | T20 | 48 | 73 | 0 | 9.1 | — | LOW |
| County Ground, Bristol | T20 | 48 | 86 | 1 | 10.8 | 86.0 | LOW |
| Goldenacre, Edinburgh | T20 | 48 | 41 | 3 | 5.1 | 13.7 | LOW |
| Dubai International Cricket Stadium | T20 | 47 | 59 | 4 | 7.5 | 14.8 | LOW |
| Al Amerat Cricket Ground Oman Cricket (Ministry Turf 1) | T20 | 46 | 53 | 2 | 6.9 | 26.5 | LOW |
| Bulawayo Athletic Club | ODI | 42 | 27 | 1 | 3.9 | 27.0 | LOW |
| The Village, Malahide, Dublin | T20 | 40 | 65 | 1 | 9.8 | 65.0 | LOW |
| Nassau County International Cricket Stadium, New York | T20 | 38 | 42 | 2 | 6.6 | 21.0 | LOW |
| Malahide, Dublin | T20 | 36 | 50 | 2 | 8.3 | 25.0 | LOW |
| R Premadasa Stadium, Colombo | T20 | 36 | 77 | 2 | 12.8 | 38.5 | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | T20 | 24 | 202 | 165 | 14.4 | 122.4 | 15.2 | 42.4 | MEDIUM |
| Unknown | TEST | 3 | 68 | 147 | 13.6 | 46.3 | 4.8 | 76.2 | MEDIUM |
| Unknown | ODI | 6 | 56 | 74 | 11.2 | 75.7 | 8.1 | 54.1 | LOW |
Bowling
| Unknown | T20 | 882 | 1251 | 41 | 8.5 | 30.5 | HIGH |
| Unknown | ODI | 629 | 624 | 20 | 6.0 | 31.2 | HIGH |
| Unknown | TEST | 471 | 244 | 12 | 3.1 | 20.3 | HIGH |
| United Arab Emirates | ODI | 90 | 86 | 2 | 5.7 | 43.0 | LOW |
| Zimbabwe | T20 | 84 | 119 | 5 | 8.5 | 23.8 | LOW |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| death | T20 | 23 | 172 | 119 | 13.2 | 144.5 | 19.3 | 37.0 | LOW |
| old_ball | TEST | 3 | 38 | 80 | 9.5 | 47.5 | 6.3 | 76.3 | LOW |
| new_ball | TEST | 2 | 30 | 67 | 30.0 | 44.8 | 3.0 | 76.1 | LOW |
| middle | T20 | 9 | 45 | 55 | 15.0 | 81.8 | 7.3 | 52.7 | LOW |
| middle | ODI | 3 | 46 | 51 | 15.3 | 90.2 | 9.8 | 47.1 | LOW |
Bowling
| powerplay | T20 | 420 | 528 | 18 | 7.5 | 29.3 | HIGH |
| powerplay | ODI | 342 | 290 | 10 | 5.1 | 29.0 | MEDIUM |
| old_ball | TEST | 303 | 143 | 8 | 2.8 | 17.9 | MEDIUM |
| death | T20 | 276 | 482 | 18 | 10.5 | 26.8 | MEDIUM |
| middle | T20 | 270 | 360 | 10 | 8.0 | 36.0 | MEDIUM |
| middle | ODI | 247 | 215 | 6 | 5.2 | 35.8 | MEDIUM |
| new_ball | TEST | 168 | 101 | 4 | 3.6 | 25.3 | MEDIUM |
| death | ODI | 130 | 205 | 6 | 9.5 | 34.2 | LOW |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| PACE | T20 | 24 | 166 | 122 | 13.8 | 136.1 | 18.0 | 41.8 | MEDIUM |
| SPIN | TEST | 2 | 32 | 75 | 32.0 | 42.7 | 2.7 | 74.7 | LOW |
| PACE | TEST | 3 | 36 | 72 | 9.0 | 50.0 | 6.9 | 77.8 | LOW |
| SPIN | T20 | 16 | 46 | 51 | 9.2 | 90.2 | 7.8 | 45.1 | LOW |
| SPIN | ODI | 5 | 34 | 50 | 11.3 | 68.0 | 6.0 | 58.0 | LOW |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.