Cricket betting

BJ Pomare betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.


overall	FIRST_CLASS	30	1042	2222	28.9	46.9	6.2	77.4	HIGH
overall	T20	13	145	130	12.1	111.5	16.2	55.4	MEDIUM

Why we like it

Splits where BJ Pomare scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

Opposition: Otago Volts (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
388 runs off 542 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 71.6 vs 46.9 overall, average 38.8 vs 28.9 overall.
Opposition: Auckland Aces (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
170 runs off 302 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 56.3 vs 46.9 overall, average 42.5 vs 28.9 overall.
Venue: Seddon Park, Hamilton (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
398 runs off 648 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 61.4 vs 46.9 overall, average 39.8 vs 28.9 overall.
Venue: University Oval, Dunedin (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
194 runs off 340 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 57.1 vs 46.9 overall, average 32.3 vs 28.9 overall.
Bowling type: SPIN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
502 runs off 1052 balls in 28 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 47.7 vs 46.9 overall, average 50.2 vs 28.9 overall.
Venue: Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
142 runs off 224 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 63.4 vs 46.9 overall, average 71.0 vs 28.9 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

Opposition: Central Stags (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
272 runs off 830 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 32.8 vs 46.9 overall, average 22.7 vs 28.9 overall.
Opposition: Wellington Firebirds (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
140 runs off 336 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 41.7 vs 46.9 overall, average 14.0 vs 28.9 overall.
Bowling type: PACE (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
402 runs off 896 balls in 30 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 44.9 vs 46.9 overall, average 15.5 vs 28.9 overall.
Opposition: Canterbury (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
72 runs off 212 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 34.0 vs 46.9 overall, not yet dismissed vs 28.9 overall.
Venue: McLean Park, Napier (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
54 runs off 234 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 23.1 vs 46.9 overall, average 13.5 vs 28.9 overall.
Venue: Hagley Oval, Christchurch (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
72 runs off 212 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 34.0 vs 46.9 overall, not yet dismissed vs 28.9 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.


Central Stags	FIRST_CLASS	6	272	830	22.7	32.8	4.1	81.2	HIGH
Otago Volts	FIRST_CLASS	10	388	542	38.8	71.6	11.8	73.8	HIGH
Wellington Firebirds	FIRST_CLASS	6	140	336	14.0	41.7	3.6	76.8	HIGH
Auckland Aces	FIRST_CLASS	6	170	302	42.5	56.3	6.6	71.5	HIGH
Canterbury	FIRST_CLASS	2	72	212	—	34.0	3.8	81.1	MEDIUM
Canterbury	T20	5	32	48	8.0	66.7	6.3	56.3	LOW
Central Districts	T20	2	33	30	16.5	110.0	16.7	63.3	LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.


Seddon Park, Hamilton	FIRST_CLASS	8	398	648	39.8	61.4	9.9	74.1	HIGH
University Oval, Dunedin	FIRST_CLASS	4	194	340	32.3	57.1	8.8	77.1	HIGH
McLean Park, Napier	FIRST_CLASS	2	54	234	13.5	23.1	1.7	82.1	MEDIUM
Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland	FIRST_CLASS	4	142	224	71.0	63.4	7.1	68.8	MEDIUM
Hagley Oval, Christchurch	FIRST_CLASS	2	72	212	—	34.0	3.8	81.1	MEDIUM
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui	FIRST_CLASS	2	34	196	8.5	17.3	2.0	90.8	MEDIUM
Basin Reserve, Wellington	FIRST_CLASS	2	40	166	10.0	24.1	2.4	88.0	MEDIUM
Cobham Oval, Whangarei	FIRST_CLASS	2	54	86	27.0	62.8	7.0	60.5	LOW
Cobham Oval (New), Whangarei	FIRST_CLASS	2	46	84	11.5	54.8	2.4	71.4	LOW
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui	T20	3	67	34	22.3	197.1	32.4	47.1	LOW
Seddon Park, Hamilton	T20	3	23	34	7.7	67.6	8.8	50.0	LOW
Seddon Park	FIRST_CLASS	2	8	32	—	25.0	0.0	75.0	LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.


Unknown	FIRST_CLASS	30	1042	2222	28.9	46.9	6.2	77.4	HIGH
Unknown	T20	13	145	130	12.1	111.5	16.2	55.4	MEDIUM

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.


old_ball	FIRST_CLASS	28	898	1948	29.9	46.1	5.9	77.6	HIGH
new_ball	FIRST_CLASS	16	144	274	24.0	52.6	8.8	75.9	MEDIUM
powerplay	T20	6	75	67	25.0	111.9	19.4	64.2	LOW
middle	T20	8	47	49	6.7	95.9	10.2	51.0	LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.


SPIN	FIRST_CLASS	28	502	1052	50.2	47.7	4.9	74.9	HIGH
PACE	FIRST_CLASS	30	402	896	15.5	44.9	6.9	79.5	HIGH
UNKNOWN	FIRST_CLASS	18	138	274	—	50.4	8.8	80.3	MEDIUM
PACE	T20	11	78	67	26.0	116.4	17.9	61.2	LOW
SPIN	T20	9	41	43	5.9	95.3	11.6	53.5	LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.