BM Tickner betting stats, splits & projections
All-rounder
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 88 | 1244 | 3406 | 14.8 | 36.5 | 4.5 | 80.3 | HIGH |
| overall | TEST | 3 | 17 | 64 | 17.0 | 26.6 | 3.1 | 87.5 | LOW |
| overall | T20 | 9 | 31 | 35 | 5.2 | 88.6 | 8.6 | 45.7 | LOW |
| overall | ODI | 6 | 16 | 28 | 8.0 | 57.1 | 3.6 | 64.3 | LOW |
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 18028 | 9562 | 328 | 3.2 | 29.2 | HIGH |
| overall | T20 | 1463 | 2165 | 93 | 8.9 | 23.3 | HIGH |
| overall | TEST | 901 | 604 | 22 | 4.0 | 27.5 | HIGH |
| overall | ODI | 623 | 679 | 16 | 6.5 | 42.4 | HIGH |
Why we like it
Splits where BM Tickner scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Opposition: Canterbury (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
274 runs off 902 balls in 12 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 30.4 vs 36.5 overall, average 22.8 vs 14.8 overall.
- Venue: McLean Park (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
198 runs off 500 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 39.6 vs 36.5 overall, average 49.5 vs 14.8 overall.
- Venue: County Ground, Derby (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
188 runs off 384 balls in 12 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 49.0 vs 36.5 overall, average 15.7 vs 14.8 overall.
- Venue: Hagley Oval, Christchurch (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
110 runs off 328 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 33.5 vs 36.5 overall, average 27.5 vs 14.8 overall.
- Bowling type: PACE (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
768 runs off 1662 balls in 74 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 46.2 vs 36.5 overall, average 19.2 vs 14.8 overall.
- Opposition: Northamptonshire (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
82 runs off 154 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 53.2 vs 36.5 overall, average 13.7 vs 14.8 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
- Venue: Saxton Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
80 runs off 496 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 16.1 vs 36.5 overall, average 13.3 vs 14.8 overall.
- Bowling type: SPIN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
388 runs off 1572 balls in 74 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 24.7 vs 36.5 overall, average 10.8 vs 14.8 overall.
- Opposition: Leicestershire (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
52 runs off 224 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 23.2 vs 36.5 overall, average 8.7 vs 14.8 overall.
- Opposition: Auckland Aces (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
48 runs off 180 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 26.7 vs 36.5 overall, average 4.0 vs 14.8 overall.
- Venue: Kennards Hire Community Oval (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample
20 runs off 110 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 18.2 vs 36.5 overall, average 3.3 vs 14.8 overall.
- Venue: Queen's Park, Chesterfield (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample
22 runs off 94 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 23.4 vs 36.5 overall, average 11.0 vs 14.8 overall.
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| Canterbury | FIRST_CLASS | 12 | 274 | 902 | 22.8 | 30.4 | 3.5 | 85.1 | HIGH |
| Northern Districts | FIRST_CLASS | 14 | 202 | 578 | 12.6 | 34.9 | 4.5 | 83.0 | HIGH |
| Otago Volts | FIRST_CLASS | 14 | 170 | 450 | 14.2 | 37.8 | 4.0 | 78.7 | HIGH |
| Wellington Firebirds | FIRST_CLASS | 12 | 160 | 432 | 16.0 | 37.0 | 4.2 | 81.0 | HIGH |
| Leicestershire | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 52 | 224 | 8.7 | 23.2 | 3.6 | 83.9 | MEDIUM |
| Auckland Aces | FIRST_CLASS | 10 | 48 | 180 | 4.0 | 26.7 | 4.4 | 85.6 | MEDIUM |
| Glamorgan | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 66 | 174 | 16.5 | 37.9 | 3.4 | 70.1 | MEDIUM |
| Northamptonshire | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 82 | 154 | 13.7 | 53.2 | 7.8 | 68.8 | MEDIUM |
| Lancashire | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 40 | 104 | 20.0 | 38.5 | 5.8 | 84.6 | LOW |
| Sussex | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 94 | 94 | 47.0 | 100.0 | 12.8 | 53.2 | LOW |
| Middlesex | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 34 | 76 | 17.0 | 44.7 | 5.3 | 71.1 | LOW |
| England | TEST | 2 | 15 | 59 | 15.0 | 25.4 | 3.4 | 89.8 | LOW |
| Yorkshire | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 22 | 38 | — | 57.9 | 5.3 | 52.6 | LOW |
Bowling
| Otago Volts | FIRST_CLASS | 3492 | 1668 | 60 | 2.9 | 27.8 | HIGH |
| Wellington Firebirds | FIRST_CLASS | 2940 | 1516 | 68 | 3.1 | 22.3 | HIGH |
| Northern Districts | FIRST_CLASS | 2476 | 1336 | 36 | 3.2 | 37.1 | HIGH |
| Auckland Aces | FIRST_CLASS | 2338 | 1108 | 60 | 2.8 | 18.5 | HIGH |
| Canterbury | FIRST_CLASS | 2242 | 1216 | 40 | 3.3 | 30.4 | HIGH |
| Northamptonshire | FIRST_CLASS | 972 | 598 | 12 | 3.7 | 49.8 | HIGH |
| Leicestershire | FIRST_CLASS | 936 | 664 | 16 | 4.3 | 41.5 | HIGH |
| Glamorgan | FIRST_CLASS | 924 | 496 | 14 | 3.2 | 35.4 | HIGH |
| Lancashire | FIRST_CLASS | 744 | 430 | 12 | 3.5 | 35.8 | HIGH |
| Sri Lanka | TEST | 485 | 308 | 8 | 3.8 | 38.5 | HIGH |
| Middlesex | FIRST_CLASS | 432 | 214 | 6 | 3.0 | 35.7 | HIGH |
| Yorkshire | FIRST_CLASS | 304 | 174 | 2 | 3.4 | 87.0 | MEDIUM |
| Canterbury | T20 | 276 | 368 | 21 | 8.0 | 17.5 | MEDIUM |
| Wellington | T20 | 258 | 434 | 12 | 10.1 | 36.2 | MEDIUM |
| Otago | T20 | 252 | 373 | 16 | 8.9 | 23.3 | MEDIUM |
| Auckland | T20 | 240 | 341 | 16 | 8.5 | 21.3 | MEDIUM |
| Sussex | FIRST_CLASS | 228 | 142 | 2 | 3.7 | 71.0 | MEDIUM |
| Northern Districts | T20 | 198 | 273 | 14 | 8.3 | 19.5 | MEDIUM |
| England | TEST | 168 | 148 | 4 | 5.3 | 37.0 | MEDIUM |
| Ireland | ODI | 156 | 184 | 3 | 7.1 | 61.3 | MEDIUM |
| Ireland | TEST | 152 | 116 | 6 | 4.6 | 19.3 | MEDIUM |
| India | ODI | 144 | 164 | 4 | 6.8 | 41.0 | LOW |
| Pakistan | ODI | 102 | 126 | 1 | 7.4 | 126.0 | LOW |
| West Indies | TEST | 96 | 32 | 4 | 2.0 | 8.0 | LOW |
| Netherlands | ODI | 90 | 88 | 5 | 5.9 | 17.6 | LOW |
| Pakistan | T20 | 87 | 135 | 6 | 9.3 | 22.5 | LOW |
| Sri Lanka | ODI | 71 | 55 | 2 | 4.6 | 27.5 | LOW |
| Scotland | ODI | 60 | 62 | 1 | 6.2 | 62.0 | LOW |
| Netherlands | T20 | 45 | 52 | 5 | 6.9 | 10.4 | LOW |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| McLean Park | FIRST_CLASS | 10 | 198 | 500 | 49.5 | 39.6 | 4.4 | 78.8 | HIGH |
| Saxton Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 80 | 496 | 13.3 | 16.1 | 1.6 | 90.7 | HIGH |
| McLean Park, Napier | FIRST_CLASS | 12 | 140 | 388 | 14.0 | 36.1 | 4.1 | 82.0 | HIGH |
| County Ground, Derby | FIRST_CLASS | 12 | 188 | 384 | 15.7 | 49.0 | 6.3 | 73.4 | HIGH |
| Hagley Oval, Christchurch | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 110 | 328 | 27.5 | 33.5 | 3.0 | 82.3 | HIGH |
| Saxton Oval, Nelson | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 92 | 226 | 7.7 | 40.7 | 6.2 | 80.5 | MEDIUM |
| Bay Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 84 | 198 | 42.0 | 42.4 | 6.1 | 80.8 | MEDIUM |
| Sophia Gardens, Cardiff | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 66 | 174 | 16.5 | 37.9 | 3.4 | 70.1 | MEDIUM |
| Grace Road, Leicester | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 52 | 134 | 26.0 | 38.8 | 6.0 | 73.1 | MEDIUM |
| University of Otago Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 46 | 134 | 23.0 | 34.3 | 4.5 | 79.1 | MEDIUM |
| Kennards Hire Community Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 20 | 110 | 3.3 | 18.2 | 3.6 | 90.9 | LOW |
| Queen's Park, Chesterfield | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 22 | 94 | 11.0 | 23.4 | 2.1 | 89.4 | LOW |
| Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui | TEST | 1 | 11 | 53 | 11.0 | 20.8 | 3.8 | 92.5 | LOW |
| Cello Basin Reserve | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 12 | 48 | 3.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 87.5 | LOW |
| University Oval, Dunedin | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 14 | 46 | 2.3 | 30.4 | 0.0 | 78.3 | LOW |
| Headingley, Leeds | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 22 | 38 | — | 57.9 | 5.3 | 52.6 | LOW |
| County Ground, Northampton | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 22 | 30 | 11.0 | 73.3 | 13.3 | 60.0 | LOW |
Bowling
| McLean Park, Napier | FIRST_CLASS | 2624 | 1146 | 66 | 2.6 | 17.4 | HIGH |
| McLean Park | FIRST_CLASS | 2584 | 1248 | 50 | 2.9 | 25.0 | HIGH |
| County Ground, Derby | FIRST_CLASS | 1836 | 1114 | 22 | 3.6 | 50.6 | HIGH |
| Saxton Oval, Nelson | FIRST_CLASS | 1294 | 662 | 10 | 3.1 | 66.2 | HIGH |
| Kennards Hire Community Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 1006 | 476 | 24 | 2.8 | 19.8 | HIGH |
| University Oval, Dunedin | FIRST_CLASS | 970 | 532 | 12 | 3.3 | 44.3 | HIGH |
| Saxton Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 948 | 554 | 8 | 3.5 | 69.3 | HIGH |
| Sophia Gardens, Cardiff | FIRST_CLASS | 924 | 496 | 14 | 3.2 | 35.4 | HIGH |
| Hagley Oval, Christchurch | FIRST_CLASS | 742 | 438 | 20 | 3.5 | 21.9 | HIGH |
| Basin Reserve, Wellington | FIRST_CLASS | 726 | 364 | 20 | 3.0 | 18.2 | HIGH |
| University of Otago Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 708 | 370 | 12 | 3.1 | 30.8 | HIGH |
| Fitzherbert Park | FIRST_CLASS | 648 | 348 | 10 | 3.2 | 34.8 | HIGH |
| Grace Road, Leicester | FIRST_CLASS | 408 | 338 | 10 | 5.0 | 33.8 | HIGH |
| Queen's Park, Chesterfield | FIRST_CLASS | 384 | 220 | 4 | 3.4 | 55.0 | HIGH |
| Seddon Park | FIRST_CLASS | 384 | 262 | 6 | 4.1 | 43.7 | HIGH |
| Cello Basin Reserve | FIRST_CLASS | 372 | 222 | 10 | 3.6 | 22.2 | HIGH |
| Old Trafford, Manchester | FIRST_CLASS | 360 | 210 | 8 | 3.5 | 26.3 | HIGH |
| County Ground, Northampton | FIRST_CLASS | 324 | 166 | 4 | 3.1 | 41.5 | MEDIUM |
| Headingley, Leeds | FIRST_CLASS | 304 | 174 | 2 | 3.4 | 87.0 | MEDIUM |
| Fitzherbert Park, Palmerston North | FIRST_CLASS | 294 | 96 | 16 | 2.0 | 6.0 | MEDIUM |
| Basin Reserve, Wellington | TEST | 293 | 137 | 8 | 2.8 | 17.1 | MEDIUM |
| Hagley Oval, Christchurch | TEST | 288 | 203 | 4 | 4.2 | 50.8 | MEDIUM |
| McLean Park, Napier | T20 | 174 | 211 | 15 | 7.3 | 14.1 | MEDIUM |
| McLean Park | T20 | 168 | 254 | 11 | 9.1 | 23.1 | MEDIUM |
| The Village, Malahide, Dublin | ODI | 156 | 184 | 3 | 7.1 | 61.3 | MEDIUM |
| Civil Service Cricket Club, Stormont, Belfast | TEST | 152 | 116 | 6 | 4.6 | 19.3 | MEDIUM |
| Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui | TEST | 150 | 127 | 4 | 5.1 | 31.8 | MEDIUM |
| Seddon Park, Hamilton | FIRST_CLASS | 116 | 76 | 0 | 3.9 | — | LOW |
| Pukekura Park, New Plymouth | T20 | 114 | 166 | 4 | 8.7 | 41.5 | LOW |
| Basin Reserve, Wellington | T20 | 96 | 152 | 4 | 9.5 | 38.0 | LOW |
| Pukekura Park | T20 | 90 | 133 | 5 | 8.9 | 26.6 | LOW |
| Hagley Oval, Christchurch | T20 | 87 | 135 | 5 | 9.3 | 27.0 | LOW |
| Seddon Park, Hamilton | ODI | 78 | 73 | 1 | 5.6 | 73.0 | LOW |
| Bay Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 72 | 50 | 0 | 4.2 | — | LOW |
| Hagley Oval | T20 | 72 | 64 | 8 | 5.3 | 8.0 | LOW |
| Basin Reserve | T20 | 66 | 102 | 5 | 9.3 | 20.4 | LOW |
| Eden Park Outer Oval | T20 | 66 | 110 | 4 | 10.0 | 27.5 | LOW |
| Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui | ODI | 60 | 50 | 4 | 5.0 | 12.5 | LOW |
| Grange Cricket Club Ground, Raeburn Place, Edinburgh | ODI | 60 | 62 | 1 | 6.2 | 62.0 | LOW |
| Holkar Cricket Stadium, Indore | ODI | 60 | 76 | 3 | 7.6 | 25.3 | LOW |
| Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal, Hyderabad | ODI | 60 | 69 | 1 | 6.9 | 69.0 | LOW |
| Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium | ODI | 54 | 52 | 1 | 5.8 | 52.0 | LOW |
| Fitzherbert Park, Palmerston North | T20 | 54 | 107 | 7 | 11.9 | 15.3 | LOW |
| National Stadium, Karachi | ODI | 48 | 74 | 0 | 9.3 | — | LOW |
| University Oval, Dunedin | T20 | 48 | 77 | 0 | 9.6 | — | LOW |
| Sportpark Westvliet, The Hague | T20 | 45 | 52 | 5 | 6.9 | 10.4 | LOW |
| Saxton Oval, Nelson | T20 | 42 | 83 | 1 | 11.9 | 83.0 | LOW |
| Seddon Park | T20 | 42 | 46 | 3 | 6.6 | 15.3 | LOW |
| Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland | T20 | 36 | 64 | 1 | 10.7 | 64.0 | LOW |
| University Oval | T20 | 36 | 47 | 1 | 7.8 | 47.0 | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 88 | 1244 | 3406 | 14.8 | 36.5 | 4.5 | 80.3 | HIGH |
| Unknown | TEST | 3 | 17 | 64 | 17.0 | 26.6 | 3.1 | 87.5 | LOW |
| Unknown | T20 | 9 | 31 | 35 | 5.2 | 88.6 | 8.6 | 45.7 | LOW |
Bowling
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 18028 | 9562 | 328 | 3.2 | 29.2 | HIGH |
| Unknown | T20 | 1367 | 2068 | 82 | 9.1 | 25.2 | HIGH |
| Unknown | TEST | 901 | 604 | 22 | 4.0 | 27.5 | HIGH |
| Unknown | ODI | 569 | 627 | 15 | 6.6 | 41.8 | HIGH |
| New Zealand | T20 | 72 | 64 | 8 | 5.3 | 8.0 | LOW |
| Pakistan | ODI | 54 | 52 | 1 | 5.8 | 52.0 | LOW |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 86 | 1124 | 3048 | 16.1 | 36.9 | 4.5 | 80.2 | HIGH |
| new_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 34 | 120 | 358 | 8.6 | 33.5 | 3.9 | 81.0 | HIGH |
| old_ball | TEST | 3 | 15 | 58 | 15.0 | 25.9 | 3.4 | 87.9 | LOW |
Bowling
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 13936 | 7468 | 244 | 3.2 | 30.6 | HIGH |
| new_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 4092 | 2094 | 84 | 3.1 | 24.9 | HIGH |
| old_ball | TEST | 835 | 542 | 20 | 3.9 | 27.1 | HIGH |
| middle | T20 | 576 | 774 | 31 | 8.1 | 25.0 | HIGH |
| powerplay | T20 | 564 | 785 | 40 | 8.4 | 19.6 | HIGH |
| middle | ODI | 419 | 395 | 11 | 5.7 | 35.9 | HIGH |
| death | T20 | 323 | 606 | 22 | 11.3 | 27.5 | MEDIUM |
| death | ODI | 120 | 198 | 5 | 9.9 | 39.6 | LOW |
| powerplay | ODI | 84 | 86 | 0 | 6.1 | — | LOW |
| new_ball | TEST | 66 | 62 | 2 | 5.6 | 31.0 | LOW |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| PACE | FIRST_CLASS | 74 | 768 | 1662 | 19.2 | 46.2 | 6.1 | 76.5 | HIGH |
| SPIN | FIRST_CLASS | 74 | 388 | 1572 | 10.8 | 24.7 | 2.4 | 85.0 | HIGH |
| UNKNOWN | FIRST_CLASS | 18 | 88 | 172 | 11.0 | 51.2 | 7.0 | 73.3 | MEDIUM |
| PACE | TEST | 3 | 16 | 43 | 16.0 | 37.2 | 4.7 | 83.7 | LOW |
| PACE | T20 | 8 | 29 | 32 | 5.8 | 90.6 | 9.4 | 46.9 | LOW |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.