BMA Mbida betting stats, splits & projections
Bowler
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | T20 | 21 | 178 | 243 | 8.5 | 73.3 | 8.6 | 60.1 | MEDIUM |
| overall | T20 | 307 | 332 | 8 | 6.5 | 41.5 | MEDIUM |
Why we like it
Splits where BMA Mbida scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Venue: Gahanga International Cricket Stadium. Rwanda (T20)LOW sample
57 runs off 70 balls in 6 T20 matches — strike rate 81.4 vs 73.3 overall, average 9.5 vs 8.5 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
No split is materially below their own format baseline.
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| Sierra Leone | T20 | 3 | 45 | 68 | 15.0 | 66.2 | 7.4 | 61.8 | LOW |
| Malawi | T20 | 4 | 21 | 39 | 5.3 | 53.8 | 10.3 | 84.6 | LOW |
Bowling
| Malawi | T20 | 66 | 60 | 1 | 5.5 | 60.0 | LOW |
| Mozambique | T20 | 42 | 44 | 2 | 6.3 | 22.0 | LOW |
| Sierra Leone | T20 | 36 | 27 | 1 | 4.5 | 27.0 | LOW |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| Gahanga International Cricket Stadium. Rwanda | T20 | 6 | 57 | 70 | 9.5 | 81.4 | 10.0 | 54.3 | LOW |
| Gahanga B Ground, Rwanda | T20 | 5 | 50 | 68 | 10.0 | 73.5 | 11.8 | 69.1 | LOW |
| Botswana Cricket Association Oval 1, Gaborone | T20 | 4 | 28 | 53 | 7.0 | 52.8 | 3.8 | 64.2 | LOW |
| Botswana Cricket Association Oval 2, Gaborone | T20 | 6 | 43 | 52 | 7.2 | 82.7 | 7.7 | 51.9 | LOW |
Bowling
| Gahanga International Cricket Stadium. Rwanda | T20 | 102 | 118 | 1 | 6.9 | 118.0 | LOW |
| Botswana Cricket Association Oval 2, Gaborone | T20 | 91 | 71 | 4 | 4.7 | 17.8 | LOW |
| Gahanga B Ground, Rwanda | T20 | 66 | 74 | 1 | 6.7 | 74.0 | LOW |
| Botswana Cricket Association Oval 1, Gaborone | T20 | 48 | 69 | 2 | 8.6 | 34.5 | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | T20 | 21 | 178 | 243 | 8.5 | 73.3 | 8.6 | 60.1 | MEDIUM |
Bowling
| Unknown | T20 | 307 | 332 | 8 | 6.5 | 41.5 | MEDIUM |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| middle | T20 | 12 | 94 | 129 | 11.8 | 72.9 | 8.5 | 58.9 | MEDIUM |
| powerplay | T20 | 13 | 69 | 94 | 7.7 | 73.4 | 9.6 | 63.8 | LOW |
Bowling
| middle | T20 | 198 | 200 | 2 | 6.1 | 100.0 | MEDIUM |
| powerplay | T20 | 78 | 82 | 4 | 6.3 | 20.5 | LOW |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| PACE | T20 | 16 | 103 | 138 | 10.3 | 74.6 | 8.7 | 58.0 | MEDIUM |
| UNKNOWN | T20 | 9 | 39 | 56 | 5.6 | 69.6 | 8.9 | 66.1 | LOW |
| SPIN | T20 | 9 | 36 | 49 | 9.0 | 73.5 | 8.2 | 59.2 | LOW |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.