BNJ Lockrose betting stats, splits & projections
All-rounder
Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.
Record by format
Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 32 | 976 | 2168 | 20.3 | 45.0 | 6.5 | 77.2 | HIGH |
| overall | T20 | 25 | 228 | 162 | 13.4 | 140.7 | 17.9 | 34.0 | MEDIUM |
| overall | FIRST_CLASS | 4466 | 2804 | 50 | 3.8 | 56.1 | HIGH |
| overall | T20 | 785 | 1023 | 34 | 7.8 | 30.1 | HIGH |
Why we like it
Splits where BNJ Lockrose scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.
- Opposition: Northern Districts (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
466 runs off 876 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 53.2 vs 45.0 overall, average 25.9 vs 20.3 overall.
- Venue: University Oval, Dunedin (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
278 runs off 572 balls in 8 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 48.6 vs 45.0 overall, average 34.8 vs 20.3 overall.
- Venue: Seddon Park, Hamilton (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
204 runs off 378 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 54.0 vs 45.0 overall, average 51.0 vs 20.3 overall.
- Venue: Seddon Park (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
148 runs off 222 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 66.7 vs 45.0 overall, average 37.0 vs 20.3 overall.
- Opposition: Wellington Firebirds (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample
38 runs off 66 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 57.6 vs 45.0 overall, average 6.3 vs 20.3 overall.
- Opposition: Central Districts (T20)LOW sample
108 runs off 66 balls in 6 T20 matches — strike rate 163.6 vs 140.7 overall, average 36.0 vs 13.4 overall.
Risks
Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.
- Opposition: Auckland Aces (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
152 runs off 496 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 30.6 vs 45.0 overall, average 19.0 vs 20.3 overall.
- Opposition: Canterbury (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
128 runs off 356 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 36.0 vs 45.0 overall, average 16.0 vs 20.3 overall.
- Bowling type: SPIN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample
382 runs off 1066 balls in 28 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 35.8 vs 45.0 overall, average 21.2 vs 20.3 overall.
- Venue: Molyneux Park, Alexandra (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
30 runs off 152 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 19.7 vs 45.0 overall, average 15.0 vs 20.3 overall.
- Venue: Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
18 runs off 134 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 13.4 vs 45.0 overall, average 9.0 vs 20.3 overall.
- Phase: new_ball (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample
90 runs off 206 balls in 16 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 43.7 vs 45.0 overall, average 9.0 vs 20.3 overall.
Against each opponent
Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.
| Northern Districts | FIRST_CLASS | 10 | 466 | 876 | 25.9 | 53.2 | 8.0 | 72.8 | HIGH |
| Auckland Aces | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 152 | 496 | 19.0 | 30.6 | 3.2 | 79.4 | HIGH |
| Central Stags | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 192 | 374 | 24.0 | 51.3 | 8.6 | 78.1 | HIGH |
| Canterbury | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 128 | 356 | 16.0 | 36.0 | 5.1 | 85.4 | HIGH |
| Wellington Firebirds | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 38 | 66 | 6.3 | 57.6 | 6.1 | 69.7 | LOW |
| Central Districts | T20 | 6 | 108 | 66 | 36.0 | 163.6 | 21.2 | 30.3 | LOW |
| Auckland | T20 | 5 | 42 | 32 | 10.5 | 131.3 | 18.8 | 40.6 | LOW |
Bowling
| Central Stags | FIRST_CLASS | 1424 | 816 | 16 | 3.4 | 51.0 | HIGH |
| Auckland Aces | FIRST_CLASS | 1044 | 706 | 10 | 4.1 | 70.6 | HIGH |
| Northern Districts | FIRST_CLASS | 936 | 694 | 12 | 4.4 | 57.8 | HIGH |
| Canterbury | FIRST_CLASS | 610 | 340 | 8 | 3.3 | 42.5 | HIGH |
| Wellington Firebirds | FIRST_CLASS | 452 | 248 | 4 | 3.3 | 62.0 | HIGH |
| Auckland | T20 | 174 | 243 | 9 | 8.4 | 27.0 | MEDIUM |
| Wellington | T20 | 168 | 207 | 10 | 7.4 | 20.7 | MEDIUM |
| Northern Districts | T20 | 164 | 236 | 7 | 8.6 | 33.7 | MEDIUM |
| Central Districts | T20 | 159 | 184 | 3 | 6.9 | 61.3 | MEDIUM |
| Canterbury | T20 | 120 | 153 | 5 | 7.6 | 30.6 | LOW |
By venue
Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.
| University Oval, Dunedin | FIRST_CLASS | 8 | 278 | 572 | 34.8 | 48.6 | 7.3 | 78.7 | HIGH |
| Seddon Park, Hamilton | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 204 | 378 | 51.0 | 54.0 | 8.5 | 71.4 | HIGH |
| University of Otago Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 4 | 178 | 366 | 22.3 | 48.6 | 6.0 | 71.6 | HIGH |
| Seddon Park | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 148 | 222 | 37.0 | 66.7 | 9.9 | 70.3 | MEDIUM |
| Molyneux Park, Alexandra | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 30 | 152 | 15.0 | 19.7 | 2.6 | 85.5 | MEDIUM |
| Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 18 | 134 | 9.0 | 13.4 | 1.5 | 89.6 | MEDIUM |
| Fitzherbert Park | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 18 | 110 | 4.5 | 16.4 | 1.8 | 92.7 | LOW |
| McLean Park | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 30 | 86 | 7.5 | 34.9 | 4.7 | 81.4 | LOW |
| University Oval, Dunedin | T20 | 7 | 94 | 56 | 18.8 | 167.9 | 25.0 | 28.6 | LOW |
| Molyneux Park | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 32 | 46 | 16.0 | 69.6 | 13.0 | 73.9 | LOW |
| Cello Basin Reserve | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 30 | 40 | 7.5 | 75.0 | 10.0 | 70.0 | LOW |
| Mainpower Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 2 | 2 | 36 | 0.5 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 94.4 | LOW |
Bowling
| University Oval, Dunedin | FIRST_CLASS | 942 | 586 | 10 | 3.7 | 58.6 | HIGH |
| University of Otago Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 708 | 464 | 8 | 3.9 | 58.0 | HIGH |
| McLean Park | FIRST_CLASS | 528 | 326 | 4 | 3.7 | 81.5 | HIGH |
| Fitzherbert Park | FIRST_CLASS | 452 | 294 | 6 | 3.9 | 49.0 | HIGH |
| Molyneux Park, Alexandra | FIRST_CLASS | 396 | 284 | 0 | 4.3 | — | HIGH |
| Seddon Park, Hamilton | FIRST_CLASS | 336 | 272 | 4 | 4.9 | 68.0 | MEDIUM |
| Cello Basin Reserve | FIRST_CLASS | 272 | 136 | 2 | 3.0 | 68.0 | MEDIUM |
| Molyneux Park | FIRST_CLASS | 228 | 58 | 4 | 1.5 | 14.5 | MEDIUM |
| University Oval, Dunedin | T20 | 224 | 281 | 9 | 7.5 | 31.2 | MEDIUM |
| Basin Reserve, Wellington | FIRST_CLASS | 180 | 112 | 2 | 3.7 | 56.0 | MEDIUM |
| Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland | FIRST_CLASS | 180 | 62 | 4 | 2.1 | 15.5 | MEDIUM |
| Seddon Park | FIRST_CLASS | 144 | 150 | 2 | 6.3 | 75.0 | LOW |
| Molyneux Park, Alexandra | T20 | 132 | 188 | 6 | 8.5 | 31.3 | LOW |
| Mainpower Oval | FIRST_CLASS | 100 | 60 | 4 | 3.6 | 15.0 | LOW |
| Basin Reserve, Wellington | T20 | 96 | 126 | 5 | 7.9 | 25.2 | LOW |
| Eden Park Outer Oval, Auckland | T20 | 90 | 140 | 5 | 9.3 | 28.0 | LOW |
| Hagley Oval, Christchurch | T20 | 48 | 50 | 2 | 6.3 | 25.0 | LOW |
| John Davies Oval, Queenstown | T20 | 48 | 64 | 2 | 8.0 | 32.0 | LOW |
| Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui | T20 | 42 | 51 | 2 | 7.3 | 25.5 | LOW |
| McLean Park, Napier | T20 | 39 | 48 | 0 | 7.4 | — | LOW |
By country
Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 32 | 976 | 2168 | 20.3 | 45.0 | 6.5 | 77.2 | HIGH |
| Unknown | T20 | 25 | 228 | 162 | 13.4 | 140.7 | 17.9 | 34.0 | MEDIUM |
Bowling
| Unknown | FIRST_CLASS | 4466 | 2804 | 50 | 3.8 | 56.1 | HIGH |
| Unknown | T20 | 785 | 1023 | 34 | 7.8 | 30.1 | HIGH |
By match phase
Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 32 | 886 | 1962 | 23.3 | 45.2 | 6.4 | 77.3 | HIGH |
| new_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 16 | 90 | 206 | 9.0 | 43.7 | 6.8 | 76.7 | MEDIUM |
| death | T20 | 20 | 164 | 96 | 12.6 | 170.8 | 24.0 | 31.3 | LOW |
| middle | T20 | 11 | 64 | 66 | 16.0 | 97.0 | 9.1 | 37.9 | LOW |
Bowling
| old_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 4346 | 2744 | 50 | 3.8 | 54.9 | HIGH |
| middle | T20 | 500 | 655 | 16 | 7.9 | 40.9 | HIGH |
| powerplay | T20 | 174 | 216 | 10 | 7.4 | 21.6 | MEDIUM |
| new_ball | FIRST_CLASS | 120 | 60 | 0 | 3.0 | — | LOW |
| death | T20 | 111 | 152 | 8 | 8.2 | 19.0 | LOW |
Against pace and spin
Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.
| SPIN | FIRST_CLASS | 28 | 382 | 1066 | 21.2 | 35.8 | 4.9 | 81.8 | HIGH |
| PACE | FIRST_CLASS | 32 | 504 | 992 | 18.0 | 50.8 | 7.5 | 73.8 | HIGH |
| UNKNOWN | FIRST_CLASS | 6 | 90 | 110 | 45.0 | 81.8 | 12.7 | 63.6 | LOW |
| PACE | T20 | 17 | 93 | 72 | 15.5 | 129.2 | 15.3 | 31.9 | LOW |
| SPIN | T20 | 17 | 60 | 56 | 8.6 | 107.1 | 10.7 | 39.3 | LOW |
| UNKNOWN | T20 | 8 | 75 | 34 | 18.8 | 220.6 | 35.3 | 29.4 | LOW |
How these splits are used
The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.