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CA Wakim betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS723954835830.447.36.377.5HIGH
overallLIST_A1147344643.0106.111.943.7HIGH
overallT20767799.684.810.155.7LOW
overallFIRST_CLASS18816225.281.0MEDIUM

Why we like it

Splits where CA Wakim scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: South Australia (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    990 runs off 1830 balls in 10 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 54.1 vs 47.3 overall, average 61.9 vs 30.4 overall.

  • Venue: Karen Rolton Oval, Adelaide (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    566 runs off 1140 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 49.6 vs 47.3 overall, average 56.6 vs 30.4 overall.

  • Venue: Adelaide Oval (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    364 runs off 746 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 48.8 vs 47.3 overall, average 91.0 vs 30.4 overall.

  • Venue: Junction Oval, Melbourne (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    350 runs off 664 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 52.7 vs 47.3 overall, average 58.3 vs 30.4 overall.

  • Bowling type: UNKNOWN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    360 runs off 590 balls in 30 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 61.0 vs 47.3 overall, average 30.0 vs 30.4 overall.

  • Venue: Bellerive Oval, Hobart (LIST A)MEDIUM sample

    312 runs off 264 balls in 5 LIST A matches — strike rate 118.2 vs 106.1 overall, average 62.4 vs 43.0 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    212 runs off 654 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 32.4 vs 47.3 overall, average 26.5 vs 30.4 overall.

  • Venue: Park 25 No 2, Adelaide (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    202 runs off 430 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 47.0 vs 47.3 overall, average 16.8 vs 30.4 overall.

  • Venue: Sydney Cricket Ground (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    28 runs off 162 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 17.3 vs 47.3 overall, average 4.7 vs 30.4 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (LIST A)MEDIUM sample

    283 runs off 264 balls in 11 LIST A matches — strike rate 107.2 vs 106.1 overall, average 31.4 vs 43.0 overall.

  • Opposition: New South Wales (LIST A)LOW sample

    105 runs off 115 balls in 2 LIST A matches — strike rate 91.3 vs 106.1 overall, average 52.5 vs 43.0 overall.

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

Western AustraliaFIRST_CLASS18928190425.848.76.678.3HIGH
South AustraliaFIRST_CLASS10990183061.954.16.772.7HIGH
VictoriaFIRST_CLASS12684161031.142.55.079.0HIGH
QueenslandFIRST_CLASS14660152423.643.36.379.9HIGH
New South WalesFIRST_CLASS18692149024.746.47.078.5HIGH
New South WalesLIST_A210511552.591.38.746.1LOW
South AustraliaLIST_A2979648.5101.012.549.0LOW
Western AustraliaLIST_A21109455.0117.013.836.2LOW
QueenslandLIST_A31099336.3117.212.940.9LOW
VictoriaLIST_A2524826.0108.312.547.9LOW

Bowling

South AustraliaFIRST_CLASS15613425.267.0MEDIUM

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Bellerive Oval, HobartFIRST_CLASS321558319626.948.77.078.2HIGH
Karen Rolton Oval, AdelaideFIRST_CLASS6566114056.649.67.076.8HIGH
Western Australia Cricket Association Ground, PerthFIRST_CLASS840483825.348.26.277.6HIGH
Adelaide OvalFIRST_CLASS236474691.048.85.170.2HIGH
Junction Oval, MelbourneFIRST_CLASS435066458.352.76.672.3HIGH
Melbourne Cricket GroundFIRST_CLASS421265426.532.42.484.4HIGH
Brisbane Cricket Ground, Woolloongabba, BrisbaneFIRST_CLASS422647428.347.78.079.3HIGH
Park 25 No 2, AdelaideFIRST_CLASS620243016.847.06.080.5HIGH
Bellerive Oval, HobartLIST_A531226462.4118.212.937.5MEDIUM
Sydney Cricket GroundFIRST_CLASS4281624.717.32.588.9MEDIUM
Adelaide OvalLIST_A1495949.083.18.552.5LOW
University of Tasmania Stadium, LauncestonLIST_A2375518.567.37.358.2LOW
Cricket Central, SydneyFIRST_CLASS2445422.081.511.159.3LOW
Karen Rolton Oval, AdelaideLIST_A1483748.0129.718.943.2LOW
Bellerive Oval, HobartT202283414.082.411.858.8LOW

Bowling

Adelaide OvalFIRST_CLASS15613425.267.0MEDIUM

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS723954835830.447.36.377.5HIGH
UnknownLIST_A1147344643.0106.111.943.7HIGH
UnknownT20767799.684.810.155.7LOW

Bowling

UnknownFIRST_CLASS18816225.281.0MEDIUM

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS703146655632.848.06.376.7HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS62808180223.844.86.280.7HIGH
middleLIST_A936135245.1102.610.542.6HIGH
powerplayLIST_A5787339.0106.816.452.1LOW
powerplayT205454822.593.812.554.2LOW

Bowling

old_ballFIRST_CLASS18816225.281.0MEDIUM

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEFIRST_CLASS722636571628.746.16.479.5HIGH
SPINFIRST_CLASS52958205236.846.75.573.6HIGH
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS3036059030.061.08.572.2HIGH
PACELIST_A1128326431.4107.212.545.8MEDIUM
SPINLIST_A917015985.0106.910.738.4MEDIUM
SPINT20634448.577.36.850.0LOW
PACET207333511.094.314.362.9LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.